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SurveyUSA OH: With 10% More Dems Polled, McCain in MOE (OH Bad News for Barack)!
Survey USA ^ | 10-28-08 | Survey USA

Posted on 10/28/2008 9:05:48 AM PDT by TitansAFC

...800 adults interviewed; of them, 736 were registered to vote; of them, 648 were identified by SurveyUSA as having already voted or as being likely to vote on or before election day. Ohio has 20 electoral votes. George W. Bush carried the state by 4 points in 2000 and by 2 points in 2004...

(Excerpt) Read more at surveyusa.com ...


TOPICS: Government; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Ohio
KEYWORDS: 2008; 2008polls; conspiracy; mccain; obama; oh2008; palin
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45% Democrats
35% GOP
19% Independents

And McCain is still within Margin of Error!!!!!! LOL

1 posted on 10/28/2008 9:05:48 AM PDT by TitansAFC
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To: Norman Bates

Ping time!


2 posted on 10/28/2008 9:06:07 AM PDT by TitansAFC (In 2008, please vote GOP and show us that you love your country more than you hate John McCain)
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To: TitansAFC

In the final analysis, I don’t believe seniors are going to vote for Obama — even many Democrats. During the primaries, seniors were his worst demographic - and they vote in disproportionate numbers.


3 posted on 10/28/2008 9:09:00 AM PDT by mwl8787
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To: TitansAFC

22% of the people they polled already voted.

Of that 22% who already voted, 3% were undecided.

Solid poll.


4 posted on 10/28/2008 9:11:44 AM PDT by truthfreedom
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To: TitansAFC

I took a look at this earlier. The regional breakdown is interesting. They poll 40% from Cleveland region, and 60% from the rest of the state including no respondents from SE Ohio. This is obviously completely wrong, but two important numbers, Obama is losing 24 points in Cincinnati, 10 points in Toledo and breaking even in Columbus.

These are not winning numbers for a Democrat in OH.

NE Ohio has been bleeding population while Cincy/Columbus have been gaining.


5 posted on 10/28/2008 9:12:15 AM PDT by delapaz
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To: TitansAFC

Where did you find the internals to this poll?


6 posted on 10/28/2008 9:13:37 AM PDT by Big D in DC
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To: TitansAFC
The pollsters are laying the groundwork to cover their arses. They will ovesample RATS to "assist" BHO as much as possible, but will fall back on the "our calculations were incorrect due to a staffer who chose to mix SuperChickens sauce with the wrong formula."

you will hear things like:

...the leading economic indicators pointed to..

...based on the GOTV voter model we chose to...

...this election was an abberition and we could not have...

...due to a computer glitch...

...the dog ate my formula...

...my beeber was supposed to be set for stune...

...we realized that the indy's we sampled really were plants...

add your own.

7 posted on 10/28/2008 9:13:46 AM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature (Democrats don't have opposable thumbs and are scared of vacuum cleaners, like my dog.)
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To: truthfreedom

LOL!


8 posted on 10/28/2008 9:15:01 AM PDT by theophilusscribe
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To: delapaz

I saw that, its ridiculous, they deliberately over sampled Bambi’s strong area.


9 posted on 10/28/2008 9:16:29 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: TitansAFC

What was the turnout in 2004/2006?


10 posted on 10/28/2008 9:17:31 AM PDT by theophilusscribe
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To: TitansAFC
45% Democrats
35% GOP
19% Independents

I would suspect that is about right for "likely voters", or real voters come next week, in Ohio. It's a big Union state, I'd actually not be too surprised if there weren't *more" than 45% Democrats in the final turnout.

11 posted on 10/28/2008 9:19:54 AM PDT by El Gato ("The Second Amendment is the RESET button of the United States Constitution." -- Doug McKay)
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To: TitansAFC

I’m no mathematician, but I think this poll is useless crap. How many voters who have already cast their ballots did they question? That figure has to be tiny in relation to the total number of “likely voters they questioned.” Then to simply average the two out is laughable.


12 posted on 10/28/2008 9:20:06 AM PDT by moose2004 (Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill And Then Drill Some M,ore)
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To: TitansAFC
My 82 year old mother is a registered Ohio Democrat. Says she likes to mess with their minds. She hasn't voted Democrat in something like 40 years. She's one sharp cookie. She keeps charts on what even the local politicians are saying and what they are running for.

When McCain talked about his mother going to England and trying to rent a car--they told her she was too old, so she bought a car and drove around at 94! That would be my mom!

13 posted on 10/28/2008 9:21:38 AM PDT by Pure Country
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To: TitansAFC

Never mind . . . I found it.

Dem 37%
Rep 37%
Ind 26%

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/president/


14 posted on 10/28/2008 9:23:12 AM PDT by theophilusscribe
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To: delapaz

40% from Cleveland? None from SE Ohio? Absurd. Almost as effective to just ask a dozen people in Akron and call it 100% Obama. This is why polls should be for the most part ignored.

(Although the breaking even in Columbus thing has me smiling.)


15 posted on 10/28/2008 9:23:12 AM PDT by agrace
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To: mwl8787
I don’t believe seniors are going to vote for Obama — even many Democrats

My 82 y/o mother did, and although she doesn't live in Ohio, she probalby fits the demographic of Ohio seniors pretty well. Strong Union supporter. Rarely, if ever, voted for a Republican. She didn't like The One, mainly based on race I think, but she voted for him anyway. She did like Biden, so maybe she voted for the team, just as I will vote for Sarah and the McCainiac gets a free ride with me.

16 posted on 10/28/2008 9:23:38 AM PDT by El Gato ("The Second Amendment is the RESET button of the United States Constitution." -- Doug McKay)
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To: TitansAFC
I'm convinced a week out from Election Day, that Obama is in trouble. He can't crack 50% even with Democrat oversampling of up to 14% in various polls, he hasn't closed the sale and there's an unprecedented numbers of undecideds which we've never seen this late in an election before. Now I know the MSM has anointed him the President In Waiting. But if he's within the MOE, why can't he seem to break away? No one though wants to answer that question.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

17 posted on 10/28/2008 9:24:22 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: theophilusscribe
2006 (landslide Dem year):

Democrats 40%
GOP 37%
Indies 23%

2004:

Democrats 35%
GOP 40%
Indies 25%

2000:

Democrats 37%
GOP 37%
Indies 26%
18 posted on 10/28/2008 9:24:44 AM PDT by TitansAFC (In 2008, please vote GOP and show us that you love your country more than you hate John McCain)
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To: TitansAFC

Don’t know what the regristration numbers democratic to republican are but the democrats turned out about two to one over the republicans in the primary. If in fact there is a 2 to 1 difference then being within the MOE bodes well for McCain..


19 posted on 10/28/2008 9:28:08 AM PDT by deport ( ----Cue Spooky Music---)
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To: delapaz

Southeast Ohio is solid McCain.


20 posted on 10/28/2008 9:29:20 AM PDT by se_ohio_young_conservative (SP for VP ! ......GO SARAH !)
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