[TitansAFC]

45% Democrats
35% GOP
19% Independents

And McCain is still within Margin of Error!!!!!! LOL

[TitansAFC]

Ping time!

[mwl8787]

In the final analysis, I don’t believe seniors are going to vote for Obama — even many Democrats. During the primaries, seniors were his worst demographic - and they vote in disproportionate numbers.

[truthfreedom]

22% of the people they polled already voted.

Of that 22% who already voted, 3% were undecided.

Solid poll.

[delapaz]

I took a look at this earlier. The regional breakdown is interesting. They poll 40% from Cleveland region, and 60% from the rest of the state including no respondents from SE Ohio. This is obviously completely wrong, but two important numbers, Obama is losing 24 points in Cincinnati, 10 points in Toledo and breaking even in Columbus.

These are not winning numbers for a Democrat in OH.

NE Ohio has been bleeding population while Cincy/Columbus have been gaining.

[Big D in DC]

Where did you find the internals to this poll?

[IllumiNaughtyByNature]

The pollsters are laying the groundwork to cover their arses. They will ovesample RATS to "assist" BHO as much as possible, but will fall back on the "our calculations were incorrect due to a staffer who chose to mix SuperChickens sauce with the wrong formula."

you will hear things like:

...the leading economic indicators pointed to..

...based on the GOTV voter model we chose to...

...this election was an abberition and we could not have...

...due to a computer glitch...

...the dog ate my formula...

...my beeber was supposed to be set for stune...

...we realized that the indy's we sampled really were plants...

add your own.

[theophilusscribe]

What was the turnout in 2004/2006?

[El Gato]

45% Democrats
35% GOP
19% Independents

I would suspect that is about right for "likely voters", or real voters come next week, in Ohio. It's a big Union state, I'd actually not be too surprised if there weren't *more" than 45% Democrats in the final turnout.

[moose2004]

I’m no mathematician, but I think this poll is useless crap. How many voters who have already cast their ballots did they question? That figure has to be tiny in relation to the total number of “likely voters they questioned.” Then to simply average the two out is laughable.

[Pure Country]

My 82 year old mother is a registered Ohio Democrat. Says she likes to mess with their minds. She hasn't voted Democrat in something like 40 years. She's one sharp cookie. She keeps charts on what even the local politicians are saying and what they are running for.

When McCain talked about his mother going to England and trying to rent a car--they told her she was too old, so she bought a car and drove around at 94! That would be my mom!

[theophilusscribe]

Never mind . . . I found it.

Dem 37%
Rep 37%
Ind 26%

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/president/

[goldstategop]

I'm convinced a week out from Election Day, that Obama is in trouble. He can't crack 50% even with Democrat oversampling of up to 14% in various polls, he hasn't closed the sale and there's an unprecedented numbers of undecideds which we've never seen this late in an election before. Now I know the MSM has anointed him the President In Waiting. But if he's within the MOE, why can't he seem to break away? No one though wants to answer that question.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

[deport]

Don’t know what the regristration numbers democratic to republican are but the democrats turned out about two to one over the republicans in the primary. If in fact there is a 2 to 1 difference then being within the MOE bodes well for McCain..

[Names Ash Housewares]

[TitansAFC]

The McCain List.

[meadsjn]

I believe Obama is toast, coast-to-coast.

Really, look at the Reagan/Mondale race. Those two had more in common than the opposing parties in this race. Mondale took only his home state of MN. Obama may even lose IL. He will probably take DC (3 EV).

[DemonDeac]

Good news. Ohio is a must hold. I’m curious, what are the voter registration stats for the state?

[Kevmo]

bmflr