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Gallup Daily: Obama Now Leads McCain by 5 Points
Gallup ^ | 9/19/08 | Gallup

Posted on 09/19/2008 10:10:03 AM PDT by tatown

PRINCETON, NJ -- Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Tuesday through Thursday finds Barack Obama with a five percentage point lead over John McCain in the presidential preferences of registered voters, 49% to 44%.

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; electionpresident; gallup; mccainpalin; poll
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1 posted on 09/19/2008 10:10:03 AM PDT by tatown
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To: tatown

2 posted on 09/19/2008 10:11:34 AM PDT by perfect_rovian_storm (Palin 2008 (oh yeah, and McCain too))
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To: tatown

and this matters, why? I’m far more interested in Pennsyvania, Ohio , Michigan and Virginia.


3 posted on 09/19/2008 10:11:53 AM PDT by Chuzzlewit
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To: tatown

0bama up 49-44 among Demoncrats...at Berkley.


4 posted on 09/19/2008 10:12:06 AM PDT by DRey
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To: tatown

Ouch. I can’t wait for the debates. Too much media filtering going on now. The debates, like the conventions, will give the candidates a chance to address the voters directly. I like our chances better then.


5 posted on 09/19/2008 10:12:10 AM PDT by Rumierules
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To: tatown

thanks for posting though, tatown.


6 posted on 09/19/2008 10:12:45 AM PDT by Chuzzlewit
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To: perfect_rovian_storm

That graphic makes me laugh every time I see it!


7 posted on 09/19/2008 10:13:17 AM PDT by netmilsmom (Tis "Talk like a Pirate Day" Sept 19th! Arrrgh!)
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To: tatown

That will change after the weekend. This is still a fallout of the economic beating. Now that it has been revealed this started with Fannie Mac...AND Obamas own Raines....it will change.


8 posted on 09/19/2008 10:13:47 AM PDT by IndianPrincessOK (McCain/Palin...2 pit bulls, one with lipstick! Pigs will fly with lipstick Nov. 4th)
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To: Chuzzlewit

“and this matters, why? I’m far more interested in Pennsyvania, Ohio , Michigan and Virginia.”

And don’t forget Wisconsin and Iowa. They’re comin’ around!


9 posted on 09/19/2008 10:13:51 AM PDT by DRey
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To: tatown

This is no time to go wobbly, FReepers!

10 posted on 09/19/2008 10:14:00 AM PDT by TonyInOhio (Government intervention helped make the Great Depression great.)
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To: tatown
The trend certainly in all of the polls seems to be with him currently. I wonder if something like the economic "crisis" really brings out the difference even more between Gallup's poll methodology and Rasmussen's?

What I mean is that Gallup does not weight their results, so maybe the type of people that are more willing to answer a pollster call during a time like this lean Democratic, and Rasmussen weights his results by using assumed party identification numbers. AKA, Gallup may be rather volatile to "events".

11 posted on 09/19/2008 10:14:54 AM PDT by bcatwilly (West Virginia is McCain-Palin Country!)
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To: tatown

haha..quick, someone pull the plug on Zero’s teleprompter.

Who are these people????


12 posted on 09/19/2008 10:15:24 AM PDT by SueRae
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To: DRey; perfect_rovian_storm
This is a little disturbing. WTF is going on?
13 posted on 09/19/2008 10:16:31 AM PDT by Perdogg (Sen Robert Byrd - Ex community organizer)
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To: tatown

McCain-Palin striking back HARD today - this won’t continue.


14 posted on 09/19/2008 10:18:00 AM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: tatown

McCain went from even to -2 to -4 to -5 in the last 4 Gallup trackers. This is consistent with him being in -5 range for the last 3 days.

Rasmussen still shows it even, but his party ID numbers may be too optimistic, since they include the RNC bounce, which is now dissipating.

Gallup may be a bit volatile, since they did not normalize the sample, but together with the recent state polls it is quite clear that McCain is at least 2-3 points behind. The AIG/FNM/FRE ordeal really hurt the ticket.

If Obama’s lead stays in the current range, there is a good chance the race will tighten after the first debate. Also, a calm week or two in the markets would be a big help. If not, Obama is a shoe-in.

In any case, the next president inherits a huge mess. I almost wish Obama gets to deal with it, but he will use it as an excuse for New Deal 2.0, and we all know how New Deal 1.0 worked.


15 posted on 09/19/2008 10:18:23 AM PDT by ubaldus
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To: IndianPrincessOK
"Now that it has been revealed this started with Fannie Mac...AND Obamas own Raines Raines owns Obama."

There. Fixed.

16 posted on 09/19/2008 10:18:43 AM PDT by Thane_Banquo (You can put lipstick on a donkey, but it's still just a jackass.)
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To: bcatwilly

Osama’s promise of welfare handouts to the deadbeat leftists, carries water with their empty heads. I’m more interested in the electoral college and people attacking Comrade Osama for his terrorist ties and Mother Russia policies.


17 posted on 09/19/2008 10:19:45 AM PDT by NoobRep
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To: TonyInOhio

Great picture! Great Post! Keep it handy becasue i think you’re going to need to post it often between now and election day.


18 posted on 09/19/2008 10:20:10 AM PDT by pgkdan (Tolerance is the virtue of the man without convictions - G.K. Chesterton)
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To: tatown

On Nov. 4th, Americans will have to REALLY choose between these two men. I doubt that the majority will choose Obama.

But if they do, oh well. My life does not really depend on who the Presidnet is. I chart my own course, with help from The Almighty.


19 posted on 09/19/2008 10:20:19 AM PDT by Retired Greyhound
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To: tatown
We would be idiots to ignore polling "trends", but my Gallup adjustment based on their own recent article and 2004 pre-election polls is to always subtract 4. So basically this means that Obama is up 1 point right now during a time that would seem to be very favorable to him politically. And this adjustment does match up pretty well with Rasmussen's likely voter tracking.

No question that the debates are important, and I look forward to McCain getting a chance to speak directly to the American people. If the country still blindly walks off the cliff with Obama after the debates have completed, then we simply have to take heart in the fact that it is in God's hands.

20 posted on 09/19/2008 10:20:35 AM PDT by bcatwilly (West Virginia is McCain-Palin Country!)
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