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Hurricane Ike Live Thread IV
NOAA/NHC ^ | 14 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 11:29:13 PM PDT by NautiNurse

The eyewall of Hurricane Ike crossed Galveston Island in the early hours of Saturday morning. Reports indicate as many as 20,000 residents of Galveston Island chose not to evacuate as storm surge engulfed the island. The Freeport Chief of Police reported as many as 2000 residents did not evacuate as flood waters swamped coastal communities. There are widespread reports of power outages and coastal flooding throughout the Texas/Louisiana region. The U.S. Coast Guard received hundreds of calls Friday afternoon to rescue people stranded by flood waters along the barrier islands and Galveston Bay communities.

Multiple fires broke out in the Greater Houston area fueled by strong winds. Fire fighting efforts were hampered by flood waters. Brennan's Restaurant, a landmark in Houston, burned to the ground. A 584-foot freighter crippled in the Gulf of Mexico and its crew of 22 survived the storm after The U.S. Coast Guard was forced to abort rescue efforts Friday afternoon due to foul weather

Gulf Coast wholesale gasoline prices jumped to nearly $5 a gallon over fears that water and wind damage could keep the facilities closed for days or longer. Oil companies had shut down 97.5 percent of production in the Gulf of Mexico by Friday morning and were battening down refineries and petrochemical plants in an area that accounts for one-fifth of U.S. refining capacity.

Exxon Mobil reported evacuating workers from its Gulf Coast offshore platforms and onshore facilities in the anticipated path of Ike, shutting down daily production of about 36,000 barrels of oil and 270 million cubic feet of gas..

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston


KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; US: Louisiana; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneike; ike; iketexas; louisiana; spartansixdelta; weather
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Comment #941 Removed by Moderator

To: DrewsMum

Thanks for the tip. She should have listened to you.


942 posted on 09/13/2008 10:12:53 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: jeffers

why just strong “urging people to stay off streets”

why NOT a curfew ???

some people think URGING refers to everyone else.. NOT ME


943 posted on 09/13/2008 10:13:44 AM PDT by DollyCali (Don't tell GOD how big your storm is -- Tell the storm how B-I-G your God is!)
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To: NautiNurse

The bill should also include a year of jail in the county pen, with bread and water rations and no TV


944 posted on 09/13/2008 10:14:44 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: CindyDawg
It looks severe but Galveston will rebuild.

That little jaunt to the north just before landfall probably ended up saving Galveston. Had it been just a bit south, it pretty much would have all been under water.

945 posted on 09/13/2008 10:16:36 AM PDT by dfwgator ( Go OSU, beat USC!)
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To: AFPhys
A ray of sunshine...

Gulf Coast refineries appear to have escaped serious damage 10:41 AM Sat, Sep 13, 2008

946 posted on 09/13/2008 10:18:46 AM PDT by mewzilla (In politics the middle way is none at all. John Adams)
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To: Liberty Valance

Your Kemah image probably shows highway 146. If so, both good and bad news.

Bad news, that highway runs alongside a RR tracks, with near constant elevation from Texas City to north of Seabrook. The image confirms water over 146, which indicates pretty deep surge at Texas City and points west, possibly into LeMarque.

Heavily populated area, and all that debris came from what used to be buildings.

Good news, that image shows a low spot and the debris pile is finite in the distance. A few feet less surge there makes a huge difference for the above mentioned areas.

Fingers crossed.


947 posted on 09/13/2008 10:19:06 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: NautiNurse

Just struck me as odd...and hopeful. Remember after Katrina we were getting word from people who were doing the search and rescue with grim reports as they were going through houses on the coasts?


948 posted on 09/13/2008 10:19:24 AM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet-McCain/Palin 08)
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BATON ROUGE — The Louisiana Department of Wildlife and Fisheries (LDWF) began search and rescue (SAR) operations Friday, Sept. 12.

Total rescues for Sept. 12 were 173 from St. Tammany Parish to lower Terrebonne Parish. SAR teams deployed again this morning at 6:00 a.m. from a Forward Command Post established at Jennings and in the Houma area.

Teams responded with 29 boats to Hackberry and Big Lake Island. LDWF enforcement teams from central and northern Louisiana arrived at the Jennings Command Center early this morning with additional wildlife agent teams, 15 US Department of Interior boat crews and one Federal USAR team reporting at noon to assist and reinforce SAR operations as needed.

Total SAR personnel on a state level is 623, with 334 watercraft vehicles. These numbers include LDWF personnel and equipment, and personnel and equipment provided by the Louisiana National Guard, Federal USAR Teams and fish and! game state agencies from Arkansas, Kentucky, Ohio and Virginia. The Louisiana National Guard and U.S. Coast Guard will additionally provide aerial reconnaissance support for SAR missions. Flight assessments by the Louisiana National Guard and LDWF Enforcement personnel and US Coast Guard will determine the extent of SAR rescue activity needed.

For the latest information on Hurricanes Gustav and Ike, you can visit emergency.louisiana.gov or call the state’s emergency hotline at 1-866-288-2484 to listen to a recorded message with the most up-to-date information.

Information released by the Louisiana Department of Wildlife and Fisheries.


949 posted on 09/13/2008 10:19:53 AM PDT by TornadoAlley3 ('GOP' : Get Our Petroleum)
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To: AlaninSA
Here are some CNN pictures from Baytown:



They say more than 4 million without power; the storm surge flooded 1,800 homes in Cameron Parish, Louisiana, and rescue officials initially couldn't get to them because of high winds; Many people in Orange County -- which lies on the Louisiana state line -- were stranded on rooftops and in attics because of storm surge

950 posted on 09/13/2008 10:21:23 AM PDT by lainie
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To: SE Mom

I am glad the khou coverage has very few commercials

cant recall many at all in over 12 hours watching it


951 posted on 09/13/2008 10:21:24 AM PDT by DollyCali (Don't tell GOD how big your storm is -- Tell the storm how B-I-G your God is!)
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To: Gondring

Gondring wrote:
What software?

***************

Global Mapper, 3DEM and MicroDEM all allow sea level manipulation.


952 posted on 09/13/2008 10:21:31 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: dfwgator

Most of them do. I get more concerned with the ones just to the left of me than those that have me as a direct hit. I don’t know why but look ....most of them curve. The index finger of God? :’)


953 posted on 09/13/2008 10:21:51 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: dfwgator
Galveston County Daily News:
Rescues begin amid Ike's destruction



Published September 13, 2008

Emergency crews have not yet reported any fatalities as they make their way through high waters Saturday morning, rescuing injured survivors of Hurricane Ike. They have pulled people from high water and rescued people in the Fish Village area on the East End.

Winds and rain have destroyed the Balinese Room and MurDoch’s on the Seawall and severely damaged the Flagship hotel. The roof of city hall has collapsed, emergency responders said. Partial pieces of the 61st Street fishing pier are still intact, but the rest is gone.

A building near 63rd Street and Stewart Road is on fire, but firefighters are unsure if they can make it through the floodwaters to reach it. They said the burning building might be a church.

Firefighters are also trying to reach a large house fire that broke out last night at 51st Street and Avenue K. They’re not sure if it’s still burning, but last night the flames from the building reached into the sky.

At Ball High School, which was opened as a shelter of last resort, 12 Galveston firefighters are managing the injured. The city’s water system is not functioning.

Part of the roof of the San Luis Hotel was torn off and glass in the back of the building shattered. Water poured inside from the ceiling.


954 posted on 09/13/2008 10:22:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: Gondring; Right_Handed_Writer

I should probably have wondered more about what you wrote when I first saw it right away. I’m sorry I didn’t even really think about it before.

“Hey, one of the models has Ike headed to Montana! Ya never know! ;-)”

After I ran across this comment a second time, it snapped out to me what the heck you were probably talking about ... (It would not normally surprise me that a model would be out in left field, but this one would have) ... I just went to look, and sure enough:

That track now “to Montana” is not a model. - It is a straight line extrapolation of the past 12 hours (I think) movement. ALL the models have this curling off to the NorthEast.


955 posted on 09/13/2008 10:22:37 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: arkady_renko
Was following the Ike thread last night - immersed in the drama, and completely missed that we were under a tornado warning. Lost power for a bit. We are under a Flash Flood warning now,

Similar experience here in northern Illinois. We got as much rain as the eye of Ike laid down.

I'm glad for the folks down there. Though a 20' surge was predicted, it sounds like it was only about 12'. A tragedy indeed. But, in most cases, not a catastrophe.

It seems many prayers have been answered.

956 posted on 09/13/2008 10:22:46 AM PDT by Barnacle (Obama or Pistol Pack'n Momma? You decide 2008.)
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To: NautiNurse
Spamming the thread under the influence

For a long time my tagline read: "Never drink and FReep"...

957 posted on 09/13/2008 10:23:47 AM PDT by ErnBatavia (...forward this to your 10 very best friends....)
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To: lainie

My BIL is in Baytown. My husband hasn’t been able to reach him. They have a 2 story home though so I guess they are ok.


958 posted on 09/13/2008 10:24:00 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: Arrowhead1952
FLooding of Roadways in Houston is nothing new... Roads served as a good drainage system in major rains. Here's a couple of shots for Allison in 2001


I-10 and I-45 interchange just north of downtown

959 posted on 09/13/2008 10:25:07 AM PDT by deport ( ----Cue Spooky Music---)
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To: ErnBatavia

LOL! Might be a good time to recycle that one.


960 posted on 09/13/2008 10:25:56 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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