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Hurricane Ike Live Thread IV
NOAA/NHC ^ | 14 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 11:29:13 PM PDT by NautiNurse

The eyewall of Hurricane Ike crossed Galveston Island in the early hours of Saturday morning. Reports indicate as many as 20,000 residents of Galveston Island chose not to evacuate as storm surge engulfed the island. The Freeport Chief of Police reported as many as 2000 residents did not evacuate as flood waters swamped coastal communities. There are widespread reports of power outages and coastal flooding throughout the Texas/Louisiana region. The U.S. Coast Guard received hundreds of calls Friday afternoon to rescue people stranded by flood waters along the barrier islands and Galveston Bay communities.

Multiple fires broke out in the Greater Houston area fueled by strong winds. Fire fighting efforts were hampered by flood waters. Brennan's Restaurant, a landmark in Houston, burned to the ground. A 584-foot freighter crippled in the Gulf of Mexico and its crew of 22 survived the storm after The U.S. Coast Guard was forced to abort rescue efforts Friday afternoon due to foul weather

Gulf Coast wholesale gasoline prices jumped to nearly $5 a gallon over fears that water and wind damage could keep the facilities closed for days or longer. Oil companies had shut down 97.5 percent of production in the Gulf of Mexico by Friday morning and were battening down refineries and petrochemical plants in an area that accounts for one-fifth of U.S. refining capacity.

Exxon Mobil reported evacuating workers from its Gulf Coast offshore platforms and onshore facilities in the anticipated path of Ike, shutting down daily production of about 36,000 barrels of oil and 270 million cubic feet of gas..

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston


KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; US: Louisiana; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneike; ike; iketexas; louisiana; spartansixdelta; weather
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To: penelopesire

Everybody tried to talk jpsb into evac, nobody got through.


2,921 posted on 09/15/2008 8:18:04 PM PDT by txhurl (Denali/Bolton)
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To: Amelia; Arthur Wildfire! March; NautiNurse; stlnative; STARWISE; AFPhys; jeffers
Thanks all of you for offering up a prayer. The river has not yet crested, but by my measurements seems to be about a foot below their forecast. We have water surrounding our building, but I feel pretty sure that we will escape flood damage. Thank you. As always, there is some bitter with sweet and the water flowing around my building is continuing on towards town and has flooded some low laying houses. No injuries.

I'm going to take a few minutes to read this thread and then hit the hay. Sleeping on the floor at the business is just like staying at a Holiday Inn Express!

Thanks again!

2,922 posted on 09/15/2008 8:19:44 PM PDT by arkady_renko
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To: stlnative

Good advice. I have minimal scripts permitted for that site.


2,923 posted on 09/15/2008 8:25:14 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: penelopesire; jpsb; NautiNurse; stlnative; All

Sounds like he’s in a good higher area and
in a good strong home ..

We’re lookin’ for ya, jpsb. Check in when
you can. We’ve got prayers going strong.

~~~~

Thursday, September 11, 2008 10:53:03 PM · 874 of 993
jpsb to NautiNurse

“This storm is no stronger Alicia in 83, San Leon will be OK. Just about everyone here is staying. My neighbor has a concrete/stone three story house. I will be fine I am on the high side of San Leon (12’), I worry about the folks staying on the low side (4’)of San Leon.”

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2079371/posts?page=874#874


2,924 posted on 09/15/2008 8:25:37 PM PDT by STARWISE (They (Dims) think of this WOT as Bush's war, not America's war-RichardMiniter, respected OBL author)
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To: txflake

where was jpsb staying?


2,925 posted on 09/15/2008 8:26:34 PM PDT by stlnative (HurraMcCain Palin will continue to build strength as it travels across the USA over the next 60 days)
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To: arkady_renko
Thank you for checking in. You are in my prayers again tonight. Take care, and keep us updated on your situation.

{{{hugs}}}

2,926 posted on 09/15/2008 8:28:01 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: stlnative

San Leon.


2,927 posted on 09/15/2008 8:29:56 PM PDT by txhurl (Denali/Bolton)
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To: NautiNurse
You need to check out the reports from Wayne Delpheino[sp]. He talks of how many people were probably killed in Crystal Beach and Gilchrist; those are from reports of people from those areas. He just gave a report...they'll probably have it up again. http://abclocal.go.com/ktrk/index
2,928 posted on 09/15/2008 8:31:30 PM PDT by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand;but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: STARWISE

Many were not at water’s edge before Friday night !
Don’t know about Bolivar but in many parts of west Galveston there were dunes ahead of the stilt houses.


2,929 posted on 09/15/2008 8:33:06 PM PDT by 1066AD
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To: NautiNurse

GMTA .... ;)


2,930 posted on 09/15/2008 8:33:14 PM PDT by STARWISE (They (Dims) think of this WOT as Bush's war, not America's war-RichardMiniter, respected OBL author)
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To: stlnative

San Leon devasted by Ike, note lack of leaves on trees.

2,931 posted on 09/15/2008 8:33:52 PM PDT by txhurl (Denali/Bolton)
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To: arkady_renko

Hang in there ... may the waters
have receded by morning. Stay safe.


2,932 posted on 09/15/2008 8:34:52 PM PDT by STARWISE (They (Dims) think of this WOT as Bush's war, not America's war-RichardMiniter, respected OBL author)
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To: 1066AD

Ooh .. they were .. didn’t know that.
Thanks for that info. I’ve seen so
many at water’s edge, I thought it
was allowed.


2,933 posted on 09/15/2008 8:36:15 PM PDT by STARWISE (They (Dims) think of this WOT as Bush's war, not America's war-RichardMiniter, respected OBL author)
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To: txflake

You should have seen all the leaves in my yard and driveway. I described it to my family...a carpet of leaves on my driveway.


2,934 posted on 09/15/2008 8:36:38 PM PDT by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand;but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: txflake
more San Leon photos
2,935 posted on 09/15/2008 8:36:51 PM PDT by txhurl (Denali/Bolton)
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To: shield

The thing I noticed about the leaves is that they were mulched. A lawn mower doesn’t even do that good a job. On the windows that were boarded up, there were leaf pieces parts on the glass.


2,936 posted on 09/15/2008 8:39:06 PM PDT by Jaded ("Eloquence is no substitute for experience" -Joe Lieberman)
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To: arkady_renko
I am thinking about you and praying.

Thank you for checking in. I am sure you have been busting your butt all day trying to keep that flood water out.

Make sure if you have to walk through any of the water that you get a series preventive hep shots and tetanus.

I went through this crap in 1993 (chest high flood water) trying to save stuff that was up high in a business of a friend. I had to go get the hep shots and tetanus shots to make sure I did not catch anything after wading in 1993 flood waters.

2,937 posted on 09/15/2008 8:39:12 PM PDT by stlnative (HurraMcCain Palin will continue to build strength as it travels across the USA over the next 60 days)
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To: txflake

Oh no...


2,938 posted on 09/15/2008 8:40:14 PM PDT by stlnative (HurraMcCain Palin will continue to build strength as it travels across the USA over the next 60 days)
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To: txflake

Agonizing decimation in those photos.


2,939 posted on 09/15/2008 8:41:56 PM PDT by STARWISE (They (Dims) think of this WOT as Bush's war, not America's war-RichardMiniter, respected OBL author)
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To: STARWISE

To: jpsb
OK jpsb and anyone else feeling invincible, this is the post where I make an idiot out of myself. (Again.) I don't care. Four days ago Ike was on the east side of Cuba. I looked at it and sort instinctively knew where it was headed. The 'X' in this picture represents where I thought it would go:

Now, I'm no weather genius, not a psychic, not a prophet. Maybe just a lucky guess. I posted the pic on here on the 9th. I would really like to be wrong on the little red X. I have nothing invested in being right and would gladly be a fool. This is one case where I'd love to be a complete idiot and a laughingstock.

You need to clear out if you can. Just as I saw the track in my pea brain, I got the idea there would be 500-600 fatalities. Boy, I really hope everyone looks back at this post in a few days and says, "What an idiot, Renko. No fatalities at all! Not even a dog." I'll relish being the idiot again. It would be delicious to be wrong.

So, let me be the idiot for anyone on the fence thinking of leaving. Let me nudge you into your car and out the driveway. If in two days it was all hype and Ike is a bust, come back here and make fun of me. I'll provide a picture of me you that you can put lipstick on! At least you'll be alive and I won't have any regrets.

This is a big storm pushing a bunch of water. Water weighs around 8 pounds per gallon. The surge will crush a house - doesn't matter if it is one story or two. Get away from Galveston and low lying areas and come back in a few days and make fun of Arkady Renko. I'll love it.

May God bless and give everyone in the path wisdom.

898 posted on 09/11/2008 9:33:09 PM PDT by arkady_renko
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2,940 posted on 09/15/2008 8:50:47 PM PDT by txhurl (Denali/Bolton)
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