Hurricane Ike Live Thread III

NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

[Xenalyte]

You’re on!

[kinghorse]

The point is a direct hit at Galveston west beach of anything higher than a Cat 2 is a major event whereas it might not be if the storm was coming onshore at Pensacola. The shallow shelf and bay funnel effect amplify the storm effects. That’s what makes this one seem worse.

[BlueAngel]

Houston Mayor is a dem. Considering some of the other dem mayors in the country, he isn’t too bad.

[AFPhys]

That 125mph is the wind velocity 122meters above the surface - about 400 feet.

Surface winds are considerably less.

[humblegunner]

I’ma start an H-town Hurricane ping list for communication and gossip and such like. Iffen you want on it, let me know!

Do it!

Do it now!

Do it often and count me in.

I'm in as long as I got power and The Keep don't get wrecked.

[NautiNurse]

I know I won’t be watching FNC hurricane coverage tonight.

[arkady_renko]

www.khou.com/

Just interviewed a mother with two children and her sister staying on Galveston. Wants to take care of her house and her pets. Good Lord. Seconds later the years old pier in the background disappears into the ocean.

[Aggie Mama]

61st street runs perpendicular to I-45. It's also very close to the Strand which has great shops and restaurants. Lots of historic buildings there with breathtaking architecture.

[SomeCallMeTim]

(This bit of levity brought to you by Monty Python)

I feel HAPPY! I think I'll go for a walk!

[Moose4]

I saw a screencap on another forum...was there really some moron in a BEAR SUIT dancing around on top of the seawall just now?!?

I guess God has a special place in His plan for idiots...

}:-)4

[Aggie Mama]

Can you add me too? Thanks!

[AFPhys]

“I watched Rita like a hawk for them. Made the right calls, too.”

I will verify that. I was with dirtboy then. He hit it dead on, and not due to chance, but due to excellent analysis.

[eastforker]

If bad comes to worse we got a couch and beer over here!

[dirtboy]

The point is a direct hit at Galveston west beach of anything higher than a Cat 2 is a major event whereas it might not be if the storm was coming onshore at Pensacola. The shallow shelf and bay funnel effect amplify the storm effects. That’s what makes this one seem worse.

And the fetch for this thing, pushing water into the NE Texas coast, goes all the way back to Cuba. This beast is almost like a hybrid between a hurricane and a N'oreaster.

[NautiNurse]

How much less is considerably less?

[pax_et_bonum]

At this point it looks like you’ll barely be on the clean side.

[avacado]

You're right on all points and add to that the fact that high tide will be 4:00am Saturday, about 14 hours from now.

Tides for Galveston Bay Entrance, south jetty starting with September 12, 2008. 
Day        High      Tide  Height   Sunrise    Moon  Time      % Moon
           /Low      Time    Feet    Sunset                    Visible

F   12     High   4:10 AM     2.3   7:02 AM     Set  4:15 AM      87
    12      Low   8:31 AM     2.0   7:27 PM    Rise  5:56 PM
    12     High  12:35 PM     2.1
    12      Low   8:06 PM     0.4

Sa  13     High   4:14 AM     2.3   7:03 AM     Set  5:15 AM      93
    13      Low   8:35 AM     1.9   7:26 PM    Rise  6:28 PM
    13     High   1:54 PM     2.1
    13      Low   8:42 PM     0.6

[gracesdad]

One station just showed a rattler and rat crossing a highway.

[dirtboy]

I was fervently hoping Ike would mimic Rita closely enough to where Ike made landfall east of Galveston Bay. But the hope of that happening became very remote last night when the forecast track stopped shifting eastward. Now, if anything, it is shifting slightly westward. So I don’t see how Galveston Bay escapes this with just a minor impact.

[fatima]

Good luck OB1,my son just got back from Gustav on Sunday and they said he had to wait 2 weeks before he could go out again-FEMA rules.He is a firefighter.He wanted to go right back down again.