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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: fatima

That is the station I am watching now. They are doing a great job of showing what is going on around Galveston.


61 posted on 09/12/2008 6:00:28 AM PDT by TheMom (Sarah is one of us . . . there is hope for America!)
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To: AFPhys

We are still living in the 20th century . . . no laptop. ;-)


62 posted on 09/12/2008 6:01:10 AM PDT by TheMom (Sarah is one of us . . . there is hope for America!)
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To: Nachoman
Over the years, a lot of sand has piled up against the seawall, effectively raising the ocean floor. This is going to give the storm surge a leg up over the wall.

uh, not exactly ... inceased "sand level" does not increase "sea level".

63 posted on 09/12/2008 6:01:34 AM PDT by TheRightGuy (ERROR CODE 018974523: Random Tagline Compiler Failure)
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To: abb
Traders probably expect refinery outages in the Houston area to be significant.

I heard yesterday that, even if they sustain no damage, once they are shut down, it takes at least a couple weeks to bring them back on line.

64 posted on 09/12/2008 6:02:02 AM PDT by DeaconBenjamin
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To: politicalwit
Crude prices are still dropping.,,,,, Dated Brent is currently at $95.50/bbl.

Good that some prices are dropping, but I was speaking about the near term with those markets effected by rigs and refineries in the Gulf of Mexico.

Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana and Texas are carrying the load of suppling energy to several states that do not produce crude.

65 posted on 09/12/2008 6:02:03 AM PDT by TYVets
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To: Allegra

Check out the link in #54.

If we do loose power I will call you.


66 posted on 09/12/2008 6:02:32 AM PDT by TheMom (Sarah is one of us . . . there is hope for America!)
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To: TheMom

Did you see the cars driving next to the seawall.I would be so out of there.Hope these souls are getting out of town.


67 posted on 09/12/2008 6:02:40 AM PDT by fatima (Put your lipstick on girls and go vote.)
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To: NautiNurse

Good morning dear lady! Thank you for the ping.

Hope you and all here and those dear folks in the target area rested well last night.

I’m praying that Ike disolves and does not hit land with such force.

God bless all who are in his path.


68 posted on 09/12/2008 6:02:49 AM PDT by LadyPilgrim ((Lifted up was He to die; It is finished was His cry; Hallelujah what a Savior!!!!!! ))
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To: VirginiaMom

That is a great link....thanks.


69 posted on 09/12/2008 6:03:14 AM PDT by ErnBatavia (...forward this to your 10 very best friends....)
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To: politicalwit

Here in Charlotte many gas stations are out of gas. Others are putting a limit on how many gallons you can purchase. There is now a run on gas in this area. Prices are rising hourly.


70 posted on 09/12/2008 6:03:35 AM PDT by Afronaut (It's 1984)
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To: SouthTexas
Stay safe, brother!

Will be watching.......

71 posted on 09/12/2008 6:04:16 AM PDT by LasVegasMac (Islam: Bringing the world death and destruction for 1400 years!)
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To: TheMom

hmm... maybe the right answer to “how to survive without power for 2 weeks” is “pitch a tent?”


72 posted on 09/12/2008 6:05:53 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: AFPhys

I’m in the orange. Going to try and ride it out. We’re thinking it will take another turn east like Rita which would be easy on us. The roads are clear and if it doesn’t look good later this afternoon, we can get out easy.


73 posted on 09/12/2008 6:06:18 AM PDT by texasredtop
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To: Tim n Texas

Buy lots of canned goods, and several tanks of propane for the grill. Your refrigerated goods will likely spoil.

A generator would be nice as well, and bottled water.


74 posted on 09/12/2008 6:06:25 AM PDT by MrEdd (Heck? Geewhiz Cripes, thats the place where people who don't believe in Gosh think they aint going.)
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To: Dog Gone

Be safe


75 posted on 09/12/2008 6:07:30 AM PDT by r-q-tek86 (Keep the Change)
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To: fatima

I am seeing cars driving around the area. I do hope they are getting the hell outta Dodge ~ Galveston & the surrounding Gulf area is going to be under water.


76 posted on 09/12/2008 6:08:04 AM PDT by TheMom (Sarah is one of us . . . there is hope for America!)
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To: comps4spice

So did I! Verbatim as NN posted it.


77 posted on 09/12/2008 6:08:47 AM PDT by txhurl (Denali/Bolton)
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To: LasVegasMac

Debating mowing at the moment.


78 posted on 09/12/2008 6:08:53 AM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: TheMom; Tim n Texas
How does one prepare for 2-weeks with no power? Valid question.

That scenario is always in the back of our minds (earthquake country in California desert)... being as our home is all electric, we try and keep overstocked on canned stuff, make sure at least 3 of our 5 barbecue-size propane tanks are filled.....and pray nothing happens when it's 115 degrees.

One thing we learned after the Northridge quake, since we were close to ground zero and out of power for almost 3 days......cash is king! Achmed WILL keep his convenience store open, but he won't be able to process credit cards.

79 posted on 09/12/2008 6:09:08 AM PDT by ErnBatavia (...forward this to your 10 very best friends....)
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To: DeaconBenjamin
I'm telling you what NPR said.

NPR isn't the best source for information. If you want the real picture on pricing you need to check either NYMEX or Bloomberg. Unleaded gas prices are listed as RBOB and priced @ FOB-Gulf Low Water.http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/commodities/energyprices.html

80 posted on 09/12/2008 6:10:07 AM PDT by politicalwit (AKA... A Tradition Continues...Now a Hoosier Freeper)
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