Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.
The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.
Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.
Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours
Discussion Updated every 6 hours
Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico
Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar
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Additional Resources:
Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site
KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston
KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi
Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)
Tornado's are scarey. Hang tight, God Bless you.
sw
Also recall that Rita re-flooded NOLA on a similar track. I hope NOLA doesn't get a surge surprise from this storm - the floodwalls were barely high enough for Gustav.
It was a JOKE.................... :-))))))))))
bump
With your flippant attitude, I really wouldn't care at this point, except you are planning to call the authorities to bail you out if you are wrong. I freely admit that there is probably just a ten percent chance I am right about the dangers you are facing. But the consequences of that ten percent are huge.
Please discontinue to respond to me, I am dead now and my ghost is posting for me. LOL
Hi Spec!
Bill White used to be the state chair of the Democratic Party. ‘Nuff said.
We are just outside of the surge zone for a strong cat 5. Only two neighbors have left.
Now my ex-bil is staying in Clear Lake on the water with a neighbor. He’s on the second floor.
And already standing in waist deep water.
C’mon people.
As an Aggie, that makes me feel good. I miss College Station!!! I live in California now, and nothing compares to how much I enjoyed living in College Station. I want to retire there.
Anyway, I heard they closed classes at A&M. I’m afraid they’ll get flooding up there from the rain, and I don’t know how the wind will be.
Coastal storm surge flooding of up to 20 feet...with a few spots to
near 25 feet...above normal tide along with large and dangerous
battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where
the center of Ike makes landfall. The surge extends a greater
than usual distance from the center due to the large size of
the cyclone.
Winds 105 mph, 957 mb, moving WNW at 12 mph.
A turn to the NW is expected later today.
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
Almost a week ago, some on the triple hurricane thread were saying over and over “I’ve got a bad feeling about Ike”...
I was not one of them... just kept saying, I don’t know.
They were very right to have the bad feeling. I honestly believe this could be the worst.
1300 Central NWS advisory on Ike, properly formatted this time so I avoid the wrathful stormsurge of Hurricane NautiNurse... :)
...Winds and seas increasing on the upper texas coast as hurricane Ike approaches....
At 1 pm CDT...1800 UTC...the hurricane warning south of Port Aransas Texas has been replaced with a tropical storm warning. A hurricane warning remains in effect from Morgan City Louisiana to north of Port Aransas. Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast in the warning area later today.
A tropical storm warning is now in effect from Port Aransas to Port Mansfield texas. A tropical storm warning is also in effect from east of Morgan City to the Mississippi-Alabama border...including the city of New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 100 pm cdt...1800z...the center of hurricane Ike was located near latitude 27.4 north...longitude 93.1 west or about 165 miles...270 km...southeast of Galveston Texas and about 270 miles...430 km...east of Corpus Christi Texas.
Ike is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph...19 km/hr. A turn toward the northwest is expected later today...with a turn toward the north expected on saturday. On the forecast track...the center of Ike will be very near the upper texas coast by late today or early saturday. However...because Ike is a very large tropical cyclone...weather will begin to deteriorate along the coastline very soon.
Data from both NOAA and Air Force reconnaissance planes indicate that the maximum sustained winds remain near 105 mph...165 km/hr...with higher gusts. Ike is a category two hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale but could reach the coast as a category three...major hurricane. Stronger winds...especially in gusts...are likely on high rise buildings.
Ike remains a very large tropical cyclone. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 120 miles...195 km...from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 275 miles...445 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure from a reconnaissance aircraft is 957 mb...28.26 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of up to 20 feet...with a few spots to near 25 feet...above normal tide along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the center of Ike makes landfall. The surge extends a greater than usual distance from the center due to the large size of the cyclone. Water levels have already risen by more than 5 feet along much of the northwestern Gulf coast.
Ike is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches over eastern Texas and extreme southwestern Louisiana...with isolated amounts of 15 inches possible.
Isolated tornadoes are possible today over portions of southern Louisiana and extreme southern Mississippi. Isolated tornadoes are possible tonight over portions of southwestern Louisiana and southeastern Texas.
Repeating the 100 pm CDT position...27.4 n...93.1 w. Movement toward...west-northwest near 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure...957 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 400 pm CDT.
$$
Forecaster Avila
}:-)4
Tell Elvis we said,”Hi” :D
Have you read my posts? I am committed to nothing at this point. We may leave, just not until we think we should which may be not at all. I’m going for a nap now and will decide if I’m going to continue posting when I wake up. I’m tired of being told over and over in the last few hours how I’m going to die in this storm. I didn’t know there were so many Gods on this thread. See ya later, alligator, maybe????
PLEASE stay in touch!!!!!
sw
incoming
For the FRecord.
and continue to post from the "other side"/afterlife!!!!!
I hope you're still laughing tomorrow.
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