Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 441-460461-480481-500 ... 2,861-2,863 next last
To: texasredtop

What town/area do you live in? Have you ever referenced a map that estimates how high the surge needs to be to reach your neighborhood?


461 posted on 09/12/2008 9:28:51 AM PDT by dirtboy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 457 | View Replies]

To: OBXWanderer
I repeat.

KHOU CHANNEL 361, DIRECTV


462 posted on 09/12/2008 9:28:59 AM PDT by OBXWanderer (Now is the time for all good men [and women] to come to the aid of their country.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 449 | View Replies]

To: OBXWanderer

Are there really people staying in the Flagship Hotel during
this storm? That would be suicide.


463 posted on 09/12/2008 9:29:09 AM PDT by soycd
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 408 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse
I don't get it. There is a mental block that gets stuck on wind speed, despite all of the supporting data--and now video--showing what this freak storm is going to produce in storm surge.

I don't get that, either.

464 posted on 09/12/2008 9:29:42 AM PDT by pax_et_bonum (That midget hates it when I do that.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 451 | View Replies]

To: pax_et_bonum

I am sure it is a very hard decision to pack up the family & pets & few important things knowing that all might be gone in next day or so...and not there when you return

We (well me) are much to tied down to our “things” in life. Something like this puts in in perspective.


465 posted on 09/12/2008 9:30:16 AM PDT by DollyCali (Don't tell GOD how big your storm is -- Tell the storm how B-I-G your God is!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 455 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse; dirtboy

I think maybe we need a new or alternate measurment system for hurricanes. The Saffir Simpson scale is only useful to a point and it seems that we continue to be in a time where massive GOM storms are going to produce historic surges... the cycle should last at least another few years in my opinion. There’s no doubt in my mind that some folks are looking at a cat 2 before everything else and assuming things will be OK. I sure hope the figures are not comparable to Katrina when all is said and done, but this has a pretty good shot to rank up there in the top 5... maybe top 2 all time costliest/deadliest storms in the U.S.


466 posted on 09/12/2008 9:30:24 AM PDT by nwctwx
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 451 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse

We discussed this already. She’s “in the orange” of the map linked Post#51, and is aware of the surge factor.

Thinks other environmental factors in her immediate area are favorable.

I don’t know any more than that. It’s a tough call - she’s made it for herself, and seems to have all the knowledge taken into account. It’s up to her... like I said, I’m just happy jpsb seems gone - he, I’d be deathly afraid for.


467 posted on 09/12/2008 9:31:00 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 445 | View Replies]

To: pax_et_bonum
"Now they’re saying on Channel 13 that lots of folks are staying in the Kemah area and that they haven’t even boarded up."

My sister is in League City..I guess you could say the Kemah side of League City. She has neighbors staying and is pretty calm..said they'll make a decision around noon. Said they'd just go to a local conference center, about a mile from her house, if they do leave the house. She thinks I'm just being my old emotional self when I say they may want to consider leaving the area!

468 posted on 09/12/2008 9:31:04 AM PDT by sweet_diane (Fairhope AL with family in League City TX)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 455 | View Replies]

To: pax_et_bonum

Just got an e-mail from a friend who lives in that area in Clear Lake. They have left, and she says it’s looking bad for that area.

Do you think people would stay around for something like this???

I grew up in Texas and my grandmother used to talk about the 1961 hurricane. Do people just not know about what can happen now?

Oh well, sending my prayers that people will be okay.


469 posted on 09/12/2008 9:31:13 AM PDT by luckystarmom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 455 | View Replies]

To: RikaStrom

We just finished policing the yard & now setting all emergancy supplies in one area.

It is cloudy outside, but not a lot of wind.


470 posted on 09/12/2008 9:31:14 AM PDT by TheMom (Southwest Houston - near Sugar Land and Stafford)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 387 | View Replies]

To: nwctwx

Recon data continues to say Ike might be a cat 3 now.


471 posted on 09/12/2008 9:33:45 AM PDT by nwctwx
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 466 | View Replies]

To: TheMom

11:33 am, Texas time: We have property in Conroe. Will someone please tell me the current weather there and do you expect the weather to impact that area as well, like Houston?


472 posted on 09/12/2008 9:34:50 AM PDT by Max7
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 470 | View Replies]

To: conservativeinferno
I finally got it to work. OMG!!!!!
473 posted on 09/12/2008 9:35:50 AM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 317 | View Replies]

To: Max7
We have property in Conroe.

As long as your property didn't flood during Allison, IMO you should not face flooding from this storm. You will probably lose some trees and/or limbs.

474 posted on 09/12/2008 9:38:14 AM PDT by dirtboy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 472 | View Replies]

To: DollyCali
I am sure it is a very hard decision to pack up the family & pets & few important things knowing that all might be gone in next day or so...and not there when you return

We (well me) are much to tied down to our “things” in life. Something like this puts in in perspective.

I'm living with a friend on Burnett Bay, fourteen feet above sea level. (Her home has the bay as a back yard.)

I left many sentimental items in her home, happily, as I knew my real treasures (fiancee, sons, family, friends from my area) were already in or headed toward safer areas.

Life is too short to worry about "stuff" - no matter how precious!

475 posted on 09/12/2008 9:38:20 AM PDT by pax_et_bonum (That midget hates it when I do that.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 465 | View Replies]

To: nwctwx

I am wondering, how are all the reporters out there going to survive the storm?


476 posted on 09/12/2008 9:38:34 AM PDT by Abigail Adams
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 471 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse

i apologize if this has been posted: evacuation routes as follows:

UH grads: I10 west
Baylor grads: 45N
UT grads: I10 east
Rice grads: 59 south
A&M grads: 610 loop


477 posted on 09/12/2008 9:39:33 AM PDT by Frapster (McCain / Palin 2008!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: nwctwx

Galveston Island is going to be under water.

Period.

That and the waves are going to wipe away and float away most of the structures now in existence there.

The picture I posted in #360 shows only a 13foot surge. 15ft will every part of it underwater. The waves and tide will make it even worse.

This is going to be much worse than Katrina.


478 posted on 09/12/2008 9:40:22 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 438 | View Replies]

To: dirtboy
The Weather channel reports that 50% of the residents of Galveston have chosen to ride it out.. Soon they won't be able to change their minds.

God Help Them.

sw

479 posted on 09/12/2008 9:41:07 AM PDT by spectre (Spectre's wife (Is He the one?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 453 | View Replies]

To: metmom

I am so behind on this thread.God help anybody that did not get out.


480 posted on 09/12/2008 9:41:12 AM PDT by fatima (Put your lipstick on girls and go vote.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 385 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 441-460461-480481-500 ... 2,861-2,863 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson