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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: RDTF

OMG 2,000 in Freeport!


1,941 posted on 09/12/2008 7:27:43 PM PDT by stlnative (HurraMcCain Palin will continue to build strength as it travels across the USA over the next 60 days)
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To: lonestar

Oh you’d have laughed...Geraldo couldn’t tell they could hear him and Shep was going to show a clip from earlier, and it started showing the Geraldo falling today...

Shep said he could do without airing that again and it kinda sickened him and they didn’t need to play it over and over again. I think he’s a wee bit testy after his own flop onto his butt got reaired over and over and over last time. LOL.


1,942 posted on 09/12/2008 7:27:53 PM PDT by mfccinsd
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To: conservativeinferno
conservativeinferno asked:

"ATTENTION ENGINEERS:
What would it take to knock down the hotel on Galveston where the reporters are staying? Once the bottom floor or two is comprised, I can only imagine that the weight would collapse upon itself."

If the hotel is 6+ stories built to code, a small nuke would bring it down. Or a bigger building crashing into it. Ramming it with a large 200+ mph jet aircraft full of fuel would do it too.

As for this hurricane, the storm would have to scour away the sand below the building for a distance of 25-30 feet. The puppies are generally built on 50 foot long steel pilings, and half or more of those would have to be exposed before I'd worry about building integrity.

I'm not saying it would be habitable - obviously anyone on the first 2-3 floors would drown if the water rose that high. Flying objects might come through the holes where the windows had been, and people might even be sucked out.

I just hope there are enough buildings like that on Galveston Island to hold all the poor people stuck there.

1,943 posted on 09/12/2008 7:27:57 PM PDT by Thud
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To: AFPhys; Gabz
been googling the 1900 Galveston huricane.......The hurricane caused great loss of life with the estimated death toll between 6,000 and 12,000 individuals
1,944 posted on 09/12/2008 7:28:01 PM PDT by tioga (Obama -- I'll make government "COOL")
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To: Texas_shutterbug
Oh boy..now I really feel bad.

Geraldo is doing a good job. Hope he doesn't make a martyr of himself.

sw

1,945 posted on 09/12/2008 7:28:09 PM PDT by spectre (Spectre's wife (Is He the one?)
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To: Abigail Adams

They were discussing how he could get sucked out to sea and then... nothing...

They cut out just after it looked like a wave about took him out.

I wonder what happened to him.


1,946 posted on 09/12/2008 7:28:21 PM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: Abigail Adams

I saw that. He had a helmet on too....but no life jacket..(eye roll)


1,947 posted on 09/12/2008 7:29:00 PM PDT by penelopesire ("The only CHANGE you will get with the Democrats is the CHANGE left in your pocket")
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To: SE Mom

dear God! I hope all are out of there long ago!


1,948 posted on 09/12/2008 7:29:01 PM PDT by tioga (Obama -- I'll make government "COOL")
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To: proudofthesouth

More prayers sent for everyone in the path of Ike.

We have our tornadoes here, cannot imagine experiencing a hurricane. Thinking of all of you.


1,949 posted on 09/12/2008 7:29:19 PM PDT by mplsconservative
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To: SE Mom

He is going to get smacked in the head with an object.


1,950 posted on 09/12/2008 7:29:50 PM PDT by conservativeinferno (My SUV is the urban squirrel's worst predator.)
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To: RDTF

He can’t even stand up straight anymore. /shakes head

I usually feel more inclined to mock him espically when I saw him go right up to the levee, but as the Shep seemed to also becoming annoyed by people re-showing the picture of Geroldo falling, I just feel sorry for him and his crew. OH, big thing just flew by him.


1,951 posted on 09/12/2008 7:29:52 PM PDT by Toki
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To: RDTF
I captured this frame from Whorealdo's report from the beach:


1,952 posted on 09/12/2008 7:30:02 PM PDT by Petronski (Please pray for the success of McCain and Palin. Every day, whenever you pray.)
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To: RDTF

I think that Geraldo is doing a respectable job tonight.

What is he doing that you think makes him look like a fool?


1,953 posted on 09/12/2008 7:31:22 PM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: tioga
Sending a special prayer to the guy in the 3 story store, with 45 other people with him.

I got a real bad feeling about that one.

1,954 posted on 09/12/2008 7:31:45 PM PDT by mware (F-R-E-E, that spells free. FReerepublic,com baby)
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To: tioga

In the 1900 hurricane, they tried sinking all of the dead out in the ocean..but the next day, they all started washing back unto the beaches. They finally had to burn the bodies in huge fires on the beach!

Very tragic stuff.


1,955 posted on 09/12/2008 7:31:53 PM PDT by penelopesire ("The only CHANGE you will get with the Democrats is the CHANGE left in your pocket")
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To: metmom

I was wondering what happened to the guy, as I didn’t see him after that, and then the camera panned away.


1,956 posted on 09/12/2008 7:32:14 PM PDT by Abigail Adams
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To: mware
When they do those interviews with people who stayed, I feel like we are listening to dead people. God help them

When hurricane Fran hit Wilmington,a radio station took a call from a man who stayed in his beach house.It was as if he wanted to say his goodbyes,because he knew he made a terrible mistake staying.It was so sad listening to it.In his case he was fortunate,he survived.

1,957 posted on 09/12/2008 7:32:53 PM PDT by tapatio
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To: Abigail Adams

Surfside Beach is totally under water!


1,958 posted on 09/12/2008 7:33:31 PM PDT by PhiKapMom ( VOTE FOR McCAIN/PALIN2008! McCainNow.com; LetsGetThisRight.com)
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To: MplsSteve

Did you not hear him when they were trying to get a signal and he didn’t know if the signal was there?

Whatever. Whorealdo is an idiot.


1,959 posted on 09/12/2008 7:33:44 PM PDT by RDTF (my worst nightmare is being on jury duty sequestered with 11 liberals)
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To: NautiNurse; Petronski; All

Let’s all of us.....for a moment, as freepers together, pray for the souls of those in the path of this storm tonight.

May God bless and protect them all.

Amen.


1,960 posted on 09/12/2008 7:33:59 PM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet-McCain/Palin 08)
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