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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: AU72

Ah, yes. Perhaps they should bump it up 24 hours and call it Friday Night/Saturday Morning Live because that will be when we need his Messiah powers :-)


181 posted on 09/12/2008 7:09:55 AM PDT by texasredtop
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To: TornadoAlley3

Oh, I know what’s happening. I’m in the line of fire. I’m just trying to figure out how a 23-hour difference can be deemed concurrent.

Damn New Math.


182 posted on 09/12/2008 7:10:52 AM PDT by Xenalyte (West Houston . . . Beltway and I-10, more or less)
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To: penelopesire

We are far enough from the water not to be worried. My concern is the wind that will hit us this evening.


183 posted on 09/12/2008 7:11:44 AM PDT by TheMom (Sarah is one of us . . . there is hope for America!)
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To: Tim n Texas

Right there with you Tim. I have enough food for about 5 days but if we still do not have power on Sunday I am bugging out to Aransas Pass. I can work out of my weekend place for a week or so.

Hang in there.


184 posted on 09/12/2008 7:11:55 AM PDT by OC_Steve
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To: texasredtop

they happen in all monsoon environments


185 posted on 09/12/2008 7:11:57 AM PDT by advertising guy ( CHARITY BEGINS AT HUT !)
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To: TomGuy

Thanks for the link. Good info.


186 posted on 09/12/2008 7:12:06 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: TheMom

Where are you?


187 posted on 09/12/2008 7:12:15 AM PDT by lonestar (Jasper)
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To: TornadoAlley3

Well..if a tanker comes riding in on a wave from the gulf and hits his high rise hotel, it won’t matter how tall the building is, it will likely go down.

Once the debris gets to swirling around, folks are going to die. This is very disturbing to watch already.

Did they learn nothing from the Mississippi gulf coast during Katrina?

There was nothing LEFT!!


188 posted on 09/12/2008 7:12:56 AM PDT by penelopesire ("The only CHANGE you will get with the Democrats is the CHANGE left in your pocket")
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To: AFPhys; fatima; jpsb

yea... By this morning, he probably saw water already starting to come over the wall... and, began to respect the power of this storm..

I sure hope so... Cause, I honestly believe their will be no survivors from San Leon.

I’m very afraid that this storm is going to cause far more devastation than most people expect...


189 posted on 09/12/2008 7:13:01 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( When you find yourself going through Hell, keep going!)
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To: TheMom

What time you think we’re gonna get some wind?

I just went out and moved all the potted plants inside off the patio, and it is STILL and HOT out there.


190 posted on 09/12/2008 7:13:33 AM PDT by Xenalyte (West Houston . . . Beltway and I-10, more or less)
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To: lonestar

Hey there! How’s your Mom doing?


191 posted on 09/12/2008 7:13:35 AM PDT by texasredtop
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To: TheMom

Our prayers will be with you. Please be careful.


192 posted on 09/12/2008 7:13:50 AM PDT by penelopesire ("The only CHANGE you will get with the Democrats is the CHANGE left in your pocket")
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To: TornadoAlley3

“And his freaking out about the corps of engineer guy swimming, Whorealdo is dangerous, seriously, a Darwin award candidate.”

Saw that. He thought he was the first person to discover and report that someone was drowning...frantically yelling for someone to help the guy...

turned out the guy had a life jacket on and was being towed by a rope? Right? Geraldo is a nutbar.


193 posted on 09/12/2008 7:14:44 AM PDT by toldyou (Even if the voices aren't real they have some pretty good ideas.)
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To: NonValueAdded

Gas in Illinois and Kentucky is as high as $5 now. It jumped nearly $2 overnight.

Here in Western Kentucky stations have gas at $4.59 in Lone Oak. This rose $1 in four hours last night.

Gas was $3.50 yesterday at noon.

Cars are lined up into the streets. Some stations are out of gas. This all started at 5 PM last night.


194 posted on 09/12/2008 7:14:47 AM PDT by silentknight
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To: Tim n Texas

How does one prepare for 2 weeks without power? You plan a trip to the high country, NM, CO,MT. I grew up in Houston without A/C I am too old to go back to that.


195 posted on 09/12/2008 7:15:07 AM PDT by Ditter
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To: TornadoAlley3

Glad my house is clean cause I can’t break away from that cam :D


196 posted on 09/12/2008 7:15:35 AM PDT by meanie monster
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To: NautiNurse
Thanks for the thread, NN!

Godspeed to all in Ike's path.

Amen to that.

FNC just mentioned this...

Ship Carrying 22 People Stranded Off Galveston in Path of Hurricane Ike

197 posted on 09/12/2008 7:15:44 AM PDT by mewzilla (In politics the middle way is none at all. John Adams)
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To: Xenalyte

I’m in the line of fire.

Stay safe!


198 posted on 09/12/2008 7:16:08 AM PDT by TornadoAlley3 ('GOP' : Get Our Petroleum)
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To: penelopesire

I can’t confirm this, but I’ve read on another forum that people saw on TWC where Jim “Storm Stud” Cantore said that HALF of the people on Galveston Island did not evacuate. Thirty thousand people are still on that island. Eighteen hours to landfall, water’s already flooding the streets and pounding the seawall, and there’s still 30,000 people in one of the worst, most vulnerable spots to be in right now. God help ‘em all, because I think they’re going to need it.

}:-)4


199 posted on 09/12/2008 7:17:03 AM PDT by Moose4 (http://moosedroppings.wordpress.com -- Because 20 million self-important blogs just aren't enough.)
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To: meanie monster

and it is still so early, will everything be covered by water when this is over?


200 posted on 09/12/2008 7:17:15 AM PDT by TornadoAlley3 ('GOP' : Get Our Petroleum)
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