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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: SomeCallMeTim

“Also a good spot! :-) Probably, also GONE! “

Yeah I know. I heard that the Dairy Queen not far from there is already gone. Sad day indeed.


1,081 posted on 09/12/2008 2:19:56 PM PDT by Syntyr (Voss and Woodway 77057)
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To: jeffers

Same thing happened during the 1900 hurricane. Galveston proper flooded to about 18 inches early in the morning, then the surge didn’t come ashore till 4 pm. Back then they had tall curbs, so the streets ponded, but not the sidewalks. Then around 4 pm, the levels went up at least 4 feet in 30 seconds, and beyond that, no-one was keeping precise records.

The biggest part of the destruction was due to wave action, which took out so many buildings on the Gulf side shore that the debris built a levee and protected buldings more than 10-15 blocks inland from wave action, they flooded in a relatively calm sea. The seawall will affect that dynamic, this time around, since it wasn’t built in 1900, but I’m not going to try to predict just how. Instead, I’m going to wait and see what happens.

YMMV.

-—<>-—<>-—<>-—<>-—<>-—

Thank you for the great recounting. I agree that the effects of the seawall are not known now. I hope it is very very helpful. I’m quite worried for sure anyway.

YMMV.


1,082 posted on 09/12/2008 2:20:25 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: metmom

I don’t think the officials would announce to the whole world when an evacuation will take place. It may have already happened for all we know.


1,083 posted on 09/12/2008 2:21:13 PM PDT by Texas_shutterbug
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To: Syntyr

Posting to modify tagline.


1,084 posted on 09/12/2008 2:21:22 PM PDT by Xenalyte (West Houston . . . Briar Forest and Kirkwood, 77077)
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To: Royal Wulff

Excuse me? I said from the get-go that I was in Deer Park - 10 miles from the northwest corner of Galveston Bay - more than a couple of times. I told someone I was in the orange surge area and they mistook me for being in Orange, Tx. So if anyone in Galveston dies it’s my fault for someone misreading my posts? Anyone staying on Galveston Island after yesterday was taking a very high risk. But as I am already there, I will lead them into the light........ ;-)


1,085 posted on 09/12/2008 2:22:09 PM PDT by ghost of texasredtop
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To: SomeCallMeTim
it will come ashore just west of Galveston.

ouch ... worst case scenario

1,086 posted on 09/12/2008 2:22:41 PM PDT by TheRightGuy (ERROR CODE 018974523: Random Tagline Compiler Failure)
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To: SomeCallMeTim
it will come ashore just west of Galveston.

ouch ... worst case scenario

1,087 posted on 09/12/2008 2:22:41 PM PDT by TheRightGuy (ERROR CODE 018974523: Random Tagline Compiler Failure)
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To: Syntyr

That pic was in the Ike Photo Slideshow at KHOU.com. It is attributed to Chris Nocera.


1,088 posted on 09/12/2008 2:24:06 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: SomeCallMeTim; TheRightGuy

1,089 posted on 09/12/2008 2:24:20 PM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: justlurking; devolve

Thank you, I always spell it wrong! My three brothers live in the Kemah, Seabrook and Nassau Bay areas so I have been there a million times. Grew up in Texas City.


1,090 posted on 09/12/2008 2:24:34 PM PDT by potlatch ("OUR LIVES BEGIN TO END THE DAY WE REMAIN SILENT ABOUT THE THINGS THAT MATTER")
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To: SomeCallMeTim

I am going to miss Ernies II. I launched my kayak by there and always bought my bait there. A friend said he saw it on the news earlier and it was surrounded by water. Normally it just has the canal behind it but the spit of land it was on was gone. He said he saw their bait flag out and thought we could get a deal on shrimp.


1,091 posted on 09/12/2008 2:24:50 PM PDT by OC_Steve (The hatches are battened down here in Cypress.)
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To: spectre

All Arkansas crews are staying in Arkansas this time.
Gustav taught us a valuable lesson.


1,092 posted on 09/12/2008 2:24:55 PM PDT by OB1kNOb (Our patriotic hockey mom can beat up your commie community organizer.)
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To: TheRightGuy

oops ... steady ol’ boy ... flying fickle trigger finger on mouse


1,093 posted on 09/12/2008 2:25:15 PM PDT by TheRightGuy (ERROR CODE 018974523: Random Tagline Compiler Failure)
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To: SaveTheChief

Yeah, this one is going to affect a lot of Texas. Good luck to you all.


1,094 posted on 09/12/2008 2:25:16 PM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA (The only difference between Obama and Osama is BS......)
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To: pnz1

I heard they had a power failure. I would imagine any captain would have been wanting to get out.


1,095 posted on 09/12/2008 2:26:14 PM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: pnz1

I heard they had a power failure. I would imagine any captain would have been wanting to get out.


1,096 posted on 09/12/2008 2:26:22 PM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: Royal Wulff

SHE NEVER ONCE represented herself as on Galveston Island!


1,097 posted on 09/12/2008 2:30:52 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: metmom

placemarker


1,098 posted on 09/12/2008 2:31:11 PM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: SomeCallMeTim
"I’m really going to miss “Miss Kitty’s Purple Cow” at Surfside.. Greatest GREASY BURGERS in the world.."

I hear they have a great tuna melt also. My cousins ate there when we were in Lake Jackson for a wedding in August.

1,099 posted on 09/12/2008 2:31:57 PM PDT by sweet_diane (Fairhope AL with family in League City TX (evacuating to New Braunsfel (sp?))
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To: Enosh

and mess with underwater pipelines


1,100 posted on 09/12/2008 2:32:22 PM PDT by antivenom (Obama's parsed and lawyerly language is empty of any credible meaning...)
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