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Rasmussen: Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (Obama 47%, McCain 46% with leaners)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | Tuesday, July 29, 2008 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 07/29/2008 6:59:40 AM PDT by GOPGuide

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that Barack Obama’s Berlin bounce is gone. Obama now attracts 44% of the vote while John McCain earns 42%. When "leaners" are included, it’s Obama 47% and McCain 46%. Compared to a week ago, Obama has gained a single percentage point (see recent daily results).

However, the week’s polling showed a roller-coaster of opinion surrounding Obama’s big speech. The event in Berlin was well-covered and initial reviews on the speech were positive. Polling on Thursday and Friday nights was very strong for the Democrat, leading to a six-point advantage in our Saturday morning release. However, polling for the past three days shows no trace of a bounce. The data looks very similar to results from the period preceding the speech and, with fourteen weeks to go, the race for the White House is a toss-up. Tracking Polls are released at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day.

Obama earns the vote from 78% of Democrats, McCain is supported by 86% of Republicans, and unaffiliated voters are evenly divided. McCain leads 50% to 44% among White voters and 51% to 43% among men. Obama leads 51% to 42% among women and 92% to 5% among African-Americans (see other recent demographic highlights).

Obama is viewed favorably by 56% of voters, McCain by 54%. Other key stats of Election 2008 are updated daily at Obama-McCain: By the Numbers.

As Vice Presidential rumors swirl about Tim Kaine, 20% of voters nationwide have a favorable opinion of the Virginia Governor. Another 20% have an unfavorable view while most have no opinion. John Edwards and Hillary Clinton have the highest favorable among the rumored running mate prospects. On the GOP side, Huckabee, Lieberman, and Romney are each viewed favorably by more than 40% of voters.

snip


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; electionpresident; poll; polls
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To: popdonnelly

“no one in the idiot media thinks it’s newsworthy to report the tactic”

No...can’t be...Especially not the New York Slimes. /s/


21 posted on 07/29/2008 7:26:55 AM PDT by Grandsons of Liberty (Revolutionaries for the 21st Century)
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To: GOPGuide

Its all over . McCain is president. Obama should be ahead by 12 to 15 points now. We are seening a perfect example of the Bradley effect


22 posted on 07/29/2008 7:31:21 AM PDT by golfisnr1 (Democrats are like roaches - hard to get rid of.)
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To: buckalfa

Yep, that’s what worries me too.


23 posted on 07/29/2008 7:32:00 AM PDT by Obadiah (I remember when the climate never changed, then Bush stole the election.)
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To: Grandsons of Liberty

If you read the full article on electoral vote.com you will find that the comments are pure Democrat.


24 posted on 07/29/2008 7:32:22 AM PDT by alnotgore
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To: golfisnr1

Just in case any of you reluctant McCain voters think this gets you off the hook, we need to get a lot more votes to make certain that this young vampire gets a branch of holly thru his heart.
I won’t believe we won until they put out the fires in East LA.


25 posted on 07/29/2008 7:35:09 AM PDT by Oldexpat (Drill Here, Drill There..we must drill everywhere.)
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To: GOPGuide
John Edwards and Hillary Clinton have the highest favorable among the rumored running mate prospects.

Say what?

26 posted on 07/29/2008 7:37:07 AM PDT by nikos1121 (The first black president of the US should be at least a "Jackie Robinson.")
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To: GOPGuide
John Edwards and Hillary Clinton have the highest favorable among the rumored running mate prospects.

Say what?

27 posted on 07/29/2008 7:37:43 AM PDT by nikos1121 (The first black president of the US should be at least a "Jackie Robinson.")
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To: nikos1121

That’s not the Rasmussen poll Barry Knew !!!!


28 posted on 07/29/2008 7:45:58 AM PDT by RED SOUTH
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To: Snow Eagle
"It’s interesting that the “favorable opinion” ratings have flipped from previous polls— and amazing that Obama has a higher favorable than McC. But the German bounce is over I think."

It's not surprising at all given the adoration of the media for Obama. What is surprising is that it is so close. It seems Obama ought to be up double digits at the minimum. My take is he peaked way to soon and the more we learn about what little there really is to the guy the worse off he will be.

29 posted on 07/29/2008 7:45:59 AM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: Bringbackthedraft
"If it becomes a Obama/Hillary ticket, then the election becomes a slam dunk for them. I still don’t see her out of it yet."

Slam dunk? I could not disagree any more. The spectre of Clinton back in the WH would be the single most galvanizing moment in political history, and not for the left.

30 posted on 07/29/2008 7:47:22 AM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: GOPGuide
As Vice Presidential rumors swirl about Tim Kaine, 20% of voters nationwide have a favorable opinion of the Virginia Governor. Another 20% have an unfavorable view while most have no opinion.

....but he reminds 60% of Dilbert's boss! Geez, I hope BO does this!


31 posted on 07/29/2008 7:48:02 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: golfisnr1
Obama should be ahead by 12 to 15 points now. We are seeing a perfect example of the Bradley effect

The Bradley Effect would take place in the voting booth where previous self proclaimed supporters of Obama would vote their TRUE feelings, unafraid of being called racist for saying they won't for him. Since he is almost dead even in the polling despite the massive press coverage, it would appear Obama is heading for a defeat of truly monumental, McGovern like proportions.

32 posted on 07/29/2008 7:53:16 AM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: mplsconservative
"Two Americas, Two Families"

LOL!

33 posted on 07/29/2008 7:53:22 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: GOPGuide
Polling on Thursday and Friday nights was very strong for the Democrat, leading to a six-point advantage in our Saturday morning release. However, polling for the past three days shows no trace of a bounce.

A political bounce is only good for a few days or a couple of weeks.

With that thought in mind, what Obama and his handlers have to do is to make sure the election is held immediately after he gives a big speech in front of a big crowd. They should've asked for the election to be held while he was still in Europe.

Or, he should've held off on his world tour until a couple of days before the November election.
34 posted on 07/29/2008 8:10:30 AM PDT by adorno
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To: avacado
Here's an electoral college graph for 2008 and the comparison timeline graph for the 2004 election (3rd graph down). Kerry was leading the electoral college at this time before the election much the same as Obama today. These graphs provide "some" comfort.

I'm not sure it's comparable. McCain is polling better in CA and NY than Bush. So what. No way he wins those states but it makes his national numbers look good. But it means he's polling worse than Bush in battleground states. That's why McCain is losing the electoral college map right now. The increased support in NY and CA is worthless.

35 posted on 07/29/2008 8:15:33 AM PDT by ModelBreaker
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To: GOPGuide

I can’t wait for these daily polls to come out for the next 3 months!! /s


36 posted on 07/29/2008 8:28:24 AM PDT by Carl LaFong (Building Code Under Fire)
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To: GOPGuide
***Obama leads 51% to 42% among women***

Maybe this 51% of women think Obama will summons the Gas Fairy and magically fill up their Soccer Mommy SUVs free of charge?

37 posted on 07/29/2008 8:34:09 AM PDT by tobyhill (fraud -noun;(1)deceit, trickery, sharp practice, or breach of confidence, (2) Obama)
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To: nikos1121
Say what?

Say people are stupid. John Edwards and Hillary Clinton are names they've heard, names that landed on them like rain on turkeys.

38 posted on 07/29/2008 9:23:59 AM PDT by 668 - Neighbor of the Beast (Only a Kennedy between us and tyranny.)
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To: avacado

Oh glory days! I can’t wait to see all the Lib/Dem hysterical cry babies come November 4-5, 2008!

Can’t wait for the crying jags like the performance Kerry and his sweetie Edwards gave when they lost!...More popcorn please!....


39 posted on 07/29/2008 9:26:51 AM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: 101voodoo

“It’s not surprising given the adoration of the media”...Good point. They were completely Obasmic over the guy — maybe people are beginning to see how scarey he really is. I’ll keep praying... “deliver us from EVIL”.


40 posted on 07/29/2008 9:57:14 AM PDT by Snow Eagle
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