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Rasmussen: Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (Obama 47%, McCain 46% with leaners)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | Tuesday, July 29, 2008 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 07/29/2008 6:59:40 AM PDT by GOPGuide

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that Barack Obama’s Berlin bounce is gone. Obama now attracts 44% of the vote while John McCain earns 42%. When "leaners" are included, it’s Obama 47% and McCain 46%. Compared to a week ago, Obama has gained a single percentage point (see recent daily results).

However, the week’s polling showed a roller-coaster of opinion surrounding Obama’s big speech. The event in Berlin was well-covered and initial reviews on the speech were positive. Polling on Thursday and Friday nights was very strong for the Democrat, leading to a six-point advantage in our Saturday morning release. However, polling for the past three days shows no trace of a bounce. The data looks very similar to results from the period preceding the speech and, with fourteen weeks to go, the race for the White House is a toss-up. Tracking Polls are released at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day.

Obama earns the vote from 78% of Democrats, McCain is supported by 86% of Republicans, and unaffiliated voters are evenly divided. McCain leads 50% to 44% among White voters and 51% to 43% among men. Obama leads 51% to 42% among women and 92% to 5% among African-Americans (see other recent demographic highlights).

Obama is viewed favorably by 56% of voters, McCain by 54%. Other key stats of Election 2008 are updated daily at Obama-McCain: By the Numbers.

As Vice Presidential rumors swirl about Tim Kaine, 20% of voters nationwide have a favorable opinion of the Virginia Governor. Another 20% have an unfavorable view while most have no opinion. John Edwards and Hillary Clinton have the highest favorable among the rumored running mate prospects. On the GOP side, Huckabee, Lieberman, and Romney are each viewed favorably by more than 40% of voters.

snip


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; electionpresident; poll; polls
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1 posted on 07/29/2008 6:59:41 AM PDT by GOPGuide
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To: GOPGuide

How can this be, don’t people know he is Messiah!?

:)


2 posted on 07/29/2008 7:00:23 AM PDT by GOPGuide
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To: GOPGuide

Oh glory days! I can’t wait to see all the Lib/Dem hysterical cry babies come November 4-5, 2008!


3 posted on 07/29/2008 7:01:54 AM PDT by avacado
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To: GOPGuide

It is the electoral college estimates that worry me.


4 posted on 07/29/2008 7:03:32 AM PDT by buckalfa (confused and bewildered)
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To: GOPGuide

Bounce, what bounce?


5 posted on 07/29/2008 7:04:08 AM PDT by moose2004 (Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill And Then Drill Some More)
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To: GOPGuide
John Edwards and Hillary Clinton have the highest favorable among the rumored running mate prospects.

Would that be the "Two Americas, Two Families" John Edwards?

6 posted on 07/29/2008 7:04:20 AM PDT by mplsconservative
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To: GOPGuide

It’s interesting that the “favorable opinion” ratings have flipped from previous polls— and amazing that Obama has a higher favorable than McC. But the German bounce is over I think.


7 posted on 07/29/2008 7:04:32 AM PDT by Snow Eagle
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To: buckalfa

They’ll adjust over time.


8 posted on 07/29/2008 7:04:43 AM PDT by moose2004 (Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill And Then Drill Some More)
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To: buckalfa

Look at it this way, if he is getting no traction in the national polls, then he is not likely getting traction in the state polls either.


9 posted on 07/29/2008 7:05:00 AM PDT by GOPGuide
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To: GOPGuide
John Edwards and Hillary Clinton have the highest favorable among the rumored running mate prospects
Please Pick John Edwards! PLEASE PLEASE!
10 posted on 07/29/2008 7:05:15 AM PDT by TV Dinners
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To: GOPGuide

How can this be, don’t people know he is Messiah!?

If those numbers don’t go up soon, They’ll probably stage a mock crucifixion.


11 posted on 07/29/2008 7:06:11 AM PDT by almcbean
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To: avacado

Oh glory days! I can’t wait to see all the Lib/Dem hysterical cry babies come November 4-5, 2008. ......................... Save your gloating until after the election and the DNC Covention, as strange things can still occur. We don’t know what will be brokered at the convention and if, by a long shot, it becomes a Obama/Hillary ticket, then the election becomes a slam dunk for them. I still don’t see her out of it yet.


12 posted on 07/29/2008 7:07:54 AM PDT by Bringbackthedraft (If everyone stays home and no one votes will Congress disappear?)
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To: GOPGuide
The event in Berlin was well-covered and initial reviews on the speech were positive. Polling on Thursday and Friday nights was very strong for the Democrat, leading to a six-point advantage in our Saturday morning release. However, polling for the past three days shows no trace of a bounce.

It was a cotton candy speech, treacly and without substance.

The global Marxist subtext was the only thing of note in it, and the media completely ignored it.

13 posted on 07/29/2008 7:07:57 AM PDT by dead (I've got my eye out for Mullah Omar.)
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To: buckalfa
"It is the electoral college estimates that worry me."

Here's an electoral college graph for 2008 and the comparison timeline graph for the 2004 election (3rd graph down). Kerry was leading the electoral college at this time before the election much the same as Obama today. These graphs provide "some" comfort.

Electoral College Graph: 2004 / 2008

14 posted on 07/29/2008 7:10:20 AM PDT by avacado
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To: Bringbackthedraft
"if, by a long shot, it becomes a Obama/Hillary ticket, then the election becomes a slam dunk for them."

I think that ticket would be a sunk boat. Just my opinion though.

15 posted on 07/29/2008 7:14:13 AM PDT by avacado
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To: GOPGuide
Did all of you think the huge crowd in Germany was there for the Obama Sermon to the Germans? I did and I was duped.

***"Just prior to Obama taking stage (two major music groups appeared), which were the principle draws for the crowd. The first band was named Patrice and is apparently a reggae band. The second was Reamonn and they are a rock band."***

Also to counteract the Obama Book, the GOP has put up (The Barack Book) Factual and very entertaining. Obama is truly not what he is marketed to be...he is your typical political product whose shelf life is in question.

16 posted on 07/29/2008 7:17:41 AM PDT by yoe ( Socialism/Marxism with Obama who is history and geographically challenged about America .)
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To: yoe

Obama’s campaign has done this several times, and no one in the idiot media thinks it’s newsworthy to report the tactic. This country is really in some kind of ethical shambles.


17 posted on 07/29/2008 7:22:49 AM PDT by popdonnelly (Boycott Washington D.C. until they allow gun ownership)
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To: avacado

Originally, I thought that such a ticket would be next to impossible to beat, but I’ve changed by views. I think too many of her supporters fear that a BHO administration, coupled with the Dem Congress, would be far too left and the “moderate” (in their mind) Hillary would be helpless to prevent it. Additionally, all the bad blood since Spring would probably give pause to the Hillary people voting for him simply because she is “on the ticket”. They don’t like Barack, and see her as VP as a slap in the face...

With all of this said, McCain had better make a good choice for his own VP.


18 posted on 07/29/2008 7:24:27 AM PDT by Grandsons of Liberty (Revolutionaries for the 21st Century)
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To: Bringbackthedraft
I think the Clintons work behind the scenes to defeat Obama. I think they think Hillary can beat McCain in ‘12.
19 posted on 07/29/2008 7:24:54 AM PDT by normy (Don't take it personally, just take it seriously.)
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To: GOPGuide
92%? Gee, does that mean African-American voters are racist?
20 posted on 07/29/2008 7:25:03 AM PDT by Boagenes (I'm your huckleberry, that's just my game.)
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