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**India's GDP to Grow at 9.5% in FY 2009**
Financial Express (India) ^ | 17 June 2008 | Financial Express (India)

Posted on 06/17/2008 12:43:16 AM PDT by AmericanInTokyo

'India's GDP to grow at 9.5% in FY 09'

Mumbai, June 16: India's real GDP is expected to grow at an impressive 9.5 per cent in FY 09, the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) said in its monthly review in Mumbai.

The Indian Economy is heading towards the fourth consecutive year of an over-9 per cent growth and like in the last five years, growth this year too was expected to be driven by capital investments happening in India, CMIE said.

As per CMIE CapEx Service, projects worth Rs 3.4 lakh-crore are scheduled for commissioning in FY 09. This would be the highest-ever completion of investments in the Indian history, CMIE said.

The capital investment boom in the country drives the current growth phase of the Indian Economy.

India's GDP started rising by over eight per cent since FY 04. And, the gross capital formation (GSF) grew in the range of 13-23 per cent during this period.

CMIE expects growth in GSF to accelerate to 18.7 per cent in FY 09 from 13.4 per cent in FY 08. This robust growth in GSF is expected to more than offset the moderation in the growth in private final consumption expenditure (PFCE) and Government final consumption expenditure (GFCE).

CMIE stated that the PFCE is expected to grow by five per cent in FY 09, after growing by 7-9 per cent in the preceding three years. While the slower growth in the PFCE would mainly be on account of the higher base in 2007, the prevailing high inflation would also affect the consumption demand to some extent.

However, inflation is not expected to depress the PFCE dramatically as income levels in India have also gone up significantly in the last one year.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: asiarising; business; competition; economics; economy; hunger; india; indiarising; juggernaut; subprime
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1 posted on 06/17/2008 12:43:16 AM PDT by AmericanInTokyo
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To: AmericanInTokyo
Latest:

BOMBAY STOCK EX 500 IDX 6,112.15 +66.47 +1.10% 03:37

yitbos

2 posted on 06/17/2008 12:51:33 AM PDT by bruinbirdman ("Those who control language control minds." - Ayn Rand)
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To: AmericanInTokyo
Hunger and Thirst.

Unbridled Passion.

Optimism and Enthusiasm.

"By golly, we will be second to NONE."

Do people in the USA see it coming? Perhaps they sense it, even if they cannot see it yet. Our Indian friends will have ups and downs, no doubt, but the long term trend is unmistakeably UP.

3 posted on 06/17/2008 12:53:16 AM PDT by AmericanInTokyo ("President-elect" McCain Will Announce His Cabinet Bit-by-Bit To The Disbelieving Groans of FREEPERS)
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To: bruinbirdman
Sensex running right now:

Our good friends over at मुंबई शेयर बाज़ार ...

4 posted on 06/17/2008 12:55:29 AM PDT by AmericanInTokyo ("President-elect" McCain Will Announce His Cabinet Bit-by-Bit To The Disbelieving Groans of FREEPERS)
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To: bruinbirdman
A lakh-crore = 1 trillion

1.00 INDIAN RUPEE (INR) = 0.0233 US DOLLAR (USD)

5 posted on 06/17/2008 12:57:04 AM PDT by bruinbirdman ("Those who control language control minds." - Ayn Rand)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

It will be be interesting to see how China v. India plays out. Two nations with a shared border that have huge populations and are aggressively expanding with enormous appetites for resources. I see fireworks. Big fireworks.


6 posted on 06/17/2008 12:57:43 AM PDT by TheWasteLand
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To: TheWasteLand

The world’s largest democracy (and largest English speaking population of any one nation), bordering the world’s largest dictatorship. Yes, it will be interesting.


7 posted on 06/17/2008 12:59:33 AM PDT by AmericanInTokyo ("President-elect" McCain Will Announce His Cabinet Bit-by-Bit To The Disbelieving Groans of FREEPERS)
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To: AmericanInTokyo
Do people in the USA see it coming?

Many Americans are isolationists and do not travel outside of the States much less think about our place in the world economy. I would guess that 95% of Americans could not tell you the value of the dollar against the Euro and the vast majority do not understand the impact of the declining dollar on their daily lives.

While America is not in economic decline the economies of India, China and Brasil are on the way up. However, at some point in time at least one of the above mentioned nations will match the US in GDP and perhaps even surpass us.

8 posted on 06/17/2008 1:02:45 AM PDT by trumandogz ("He is erratic. He is hotheaded. He loses his temper and it worries me." Sen Cochran on McCain)
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To: AmericanInTokyo
I don't recall seeing Hindi at FR before. There are a lot of English speakers in India. I always told those illegals back home, "Ingles es dinero."

yitbos

9 posted on 06/17/2008 1:03:49 AM PDT by bruinbirdman ("Those who control language control minds." - Ayn Rand)
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To: AmericanInTokyo
As I understand it, Indians generally admire America and even like President Bush, at least based on a poll I read the other day here on FR.

Maybe they can keep China busy for awhile for us.

10 posted on 06/17/2008 1:05:03 AM PDT by smedley64
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To: trumandogz
"However, at some point in time at least one of the above mentioned nations will match the US in GDP and perhaps even surpass us."

U.S.A. GDP = $13.84 trillion (2007 est.)

Red China GDP=$ 3.251 trillion (2007 est.)

India GDP....=$ 1.099 trillion (2007 est.)

The U.S. economy grows the GDP of India every year.

yitbos

11 posted on 06/17/2008 1:12:26 AM PDT by bruinbirdman ("Those who control language control minds." - Ayn Rand)
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To: trumandogz
I did not know whether to laugh or cry when someone just last week cracked a joke out here:

War is God's Way of Teaching Americans Geography

I think ol' Fred Thompson said something during the campaign, after he had been on the road for awhile in many hamlets, towns and cities, about "he senses something out there in America worrysome on the minds of people" and I think maybe he was talking about this (America's competitive future).

I do wonder if we will get an intelligent discussion of it during the Fall Debates, or just some short soundbites and then on to other topics.

12 posted on 06/17/2008 1:13:26 AM PDT by AmericanInTokyo ("President-elect" McCain Will Announce His Cabinet Bit-by-Bit To The Disbelieving Groans of FREEPERS)
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To: bruinbirdman

I liked that, “Red” China, just now...


13 posted on 06/17/2008 1:15:23 AM PDT by AmericanInTokyo ("President-elect" McCain Will Announce His Cabinet Bit-by-Bit To The Disbelieving Groans of FREEPERS)
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To: bruinbirdman

I am not saying the US economy will be eclipsed by India, China or Brasil next week but perhaps in the next century.


14 posted on 06/17/2008 1:19:20 AM PDT by trumandogz ("He is erratic. He is hotheaded. He loses his temper and it worries me." Sen Cochran on McCain)
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To: smedley64

If you don’t count the Muslim population, India is a fairly conservative western friendly place. Although they have a bigger bureaucracy then America. John Stossel did a special about how it can take years and even over a decade to get a business permit, while in Hong Kong it takes less than 24 hours.


15 posted on 06/17/2008 1:23:27 AM PDT by LukeL (Yasser Arafat: "I'd kill for a Nobel Peace Prize")
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To: LukeL
Wow, ten years to get a business permit? That IS a lot of bureaucracy.

India is moslty Hindu, isn't it? Do you know what % of the population is muslim? I know I've seen some stories about muslims causing problems in India with some isolated terror incidents, but they're fairly outnumbered there, aren't they?

16 posted on 06/17/2008 1:30:37 AM PDT by smedley64
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To: trumandogz
Brazil GDP = $1.314 trillion (2007 est.)
GDP - real growth rate: 5.4% (2007 est.)
Annual inflation rate up to 5.6 percent

Brazil doesn't look bad and they found some oil.

yitbos

17 posted on 06/17/2008 1:36:56 AM PDT by bruinbirdman ("Those who control language control minds." - Ayn Rand)
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To: smedley64
India:

Ethnic groups: Indo-Aryan 72%, Dravidian 25%, Mongoloid and other 3% (2000)

Religions: Hindu 80.5%, Muslim 13.4%, Christian 2.3%, Sikh 1.9%, other 1.8%, unspecified

yitbos

18 posted on 06/17/2008 1:39:45 AM PDT by bruinbirdman ("Those who control language control minds." - Ayn Rand)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

India’s rise doesn’t have to be threat to the US. Just as the UK or Germany or Japan’s rise from poverty post WWII did cause some heartburn for the US, in the long-term, all came out good. It’s a good thing that india and China are doing well — my gut feel is that china will either bust as a commie power or slowly transition out of it’s faux-communism


19 posted on 06/17/2008 1:44:32 AM PDT by Cronos ("Islam isn't in America to be equal to any other faith, but to become dominant" - Omar Ahmed, CAIR)
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To: trumandogz
China, if it doesn't implode, and IF it keeps up it's 9 to 10% growth (two, admittedly big ifs) will overtake the US by the middle of this century. The 2007 real GDPs for the US, China and India were: 13.8 trillion US$, 3.25 and 1.1 respectively and their GDP growth rates in 2007 were 2.2, 11.4 and 8.5 respectively.

Assuming that the US, china and india grow at 2.5, 10 and 8 for the time period, by 2020, their GDPs will be 18.6, 10.2 and 2.76 trillion respectively.

By 2029, China, by the same ASSUMPTION above, would overtake the US GDP, and the respective GDPs would be 23, 24 and 6 trillion.
20 posted on 06/17/2008 1:57:46 AM PDT by Cronos ("Islam isn't in America to be equal to any other faith, but to become dominant" - Omar Ahmed, CAIR)
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