Flux Density Values in sfu for 22:00 on 2008:02:12As you can see, it still isn't going up.
Julian Day Number : 2454509.406
Carrington Rotation Number : 2066.683
Observed Flux Density : 0072.2
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0070.4
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0063.4
clickable link/solar activity info.
http://www.drao-ofr.hia-iha.nrc-cnrc.gc.ca/icarus/www/current_flux.shtml
Rurudyne?
Any relation to the Yoyodyne industries?
Do you know Dr John Bigbootie?
I’d like to point out the obvious... we’re at the bottom of the current solar cycle, which means yes, indeed solar flux is low, geomagnetic field will be relatively quiet. Technically, we are probably starting on the upslope of the next cycle (24) so we will see an increase in solar activity over the next 5 or so years as sun spots increase, the sun becomes more active, and magnetic fields start to shift again.
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/SolarCycle/
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/SWN/
http://www.dxlc.com/solar/
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2008/20080104_sunspot.html
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 12 Feb 2008
SDF Number 043 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Feb 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. The visible solar disk remained spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels
bflr
Under normal circumstances that would be a very uncontroversial observation. However, given the current hysteria over global warming, we might discover that the political benefits of global cooling outweigh the economic costs.
In other words, a continuing belief in catastrophic anthropogenic global warming will have enormous worldwide long-term economic costs as CO2 emissions are regulated, and equally enormous political costs as our various freedoms (including freedom of speech in opposition to global warming orthodoxy) are suppressed.
Whereas a significant and irrefutable reduction in current global temperatures, along with credible predictions of future temperature declines as the sun's output diminishes and we enter a Maunder Minimum, will discredit the global warming alarmists. It will take awhile, and they won't go down easily, but it will become harder and harder for them to maintain that anthropogenic global warming is going to destroy the earth when the earth keeps getting cooler.
If this derails the agenda of Gore acolytes, it may well compensate for the economic disadvantages of cooling. After all, we have the technology to keep ourselves warm. I like living in sunny southern California, but I was born and raised in Wisconsin and I can survive in a colder climate. Improved nuclear power and other advanced energy sources will be developed long before the slow pace of cooling can have a drastic impact on our lives.
What’s the TAX we need to pay to stop this???
This story is a significant exageration.
Solar flux is low, of course, like it always is at the bottom of the solar cycle but the current figures are not that unusual.
This cycle is a long one. There is definitely some correlation with declining global temperatures and longer solar cycles so that makes it important. But it isn’t significantly longer than the average yet.
Before articles like this appear, the lack of a new cycle starting would have to be played out for another 6 months or more.
If that does happen, however, then we should start worrying because there will likely be crop failures and colder temperatures like the last drops in solar activity in the early 1800s and Maunder Minimum in the 17th century.
But solar cycle 24 will probably start in a few more months.
If so, wasn’t the original predictions for cycle 24 supposed to have it starting (going through this minimum period) around the middle of April LAST year?
Discovery Channel has a big special coming up, I think this weekend, called 6 Degrees changing the world. Or something like that. IT IS pure propaganda. From what I see on their advertisements, 2 degrees melts the ice caps, 4 degrees turns the Amazon into sand dunes, and 6 degrees puts NY City under 200 feet of water.
February 14th update
Flux Density Values in sfu for 18:00 on 2008:02:14
Julian Day Number : 2454511.239
Carrington Rotation Number : 2066.751
Observed Flux Density : 0070.1
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0068.3
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0061.5
Just great. I want my global warming!
I feel like I’m back in 6th grade in the 1970’s. That’s what we were being told then. And they were also serious at that time..