Rasmussen Poll: Three way tie

Rasmussen Reports ^ | 1-18-07 | Rasmussen Reports

[dangus]

Huckabee, 22% McCain, 21% Romney, 19% Thompson, 12% Giuliani, 10% Ron Paul, 3% Some other Republican (named Duncan Hunter), ?%

My own notes Please note that any Republican is likely to do better in the electoral college than in the general election. Ohio is much more solidly Republican, after they've tasted Democrats running the state; Michigan is sick of their own female, liberal chief executive. And I predict Hillary "beats the spread" in very conservative states (leaving them comfortably Republican), and wastefully piles on the victory margins in very liberal states (NY, etc.), but underperforms in the purplish industrial states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and the aforementioned Michigan and Ohio.

[DoughtyOne]

Have you seen the new tracking image that just came out?

[DoughtyOne]

I sure hate to admit it, but I think he agrees with you. If he could at least show a strong improvement that would be helpful.

We’ll see.

[pa mom]

ping

[LibLieSlayer]

Wrong... and NH proved gamblers have no special insight.

LLS

[Extremely Extreme Extremist]

At Intrade, the Fred Thompson withrawing from the race in January contract is at 80%

This Forum would be on suicide watch, then. ROFL

[Petronski]

Fred needs to win in SC to stay alive.

Not so. He needs to do well, to be sure, but not necessarily win.

[ElectricStrawberry]

Just wondering.....how is a solid fourth place poll # in a State you are supposed to win....”coming on strong”?

Sarcasm?

[dangus]

Paul... *chuckle* His own train, going nowhere.

As much as I like him, Hunter should be represented by one of those two-man pump-driven cars.

[LWalk18]

Not so. He needs to do well, to be sure, but not necessarily win.

Thompson has to at least beat Huckabee for second place, IMO, if McCain wins SC. If he does worse than that you have to wonder where other than TN can he get the delegates from to win or at least be a contender in a brokered convention.

[dangus]

I missed... what’s the new data? All I’ve seen is a link to one talking head...

[DoughtyOne]

I actually considered the maintenance pump car for Paul, but then that would imply he’s going somewhere. On top of that, which direction do you face him. On many issues he’s headed right. On one major issue he’d be comfortable joining a protest with Ried and Pelosi.

Putting him on an isolated track seemed appropriate.

As for Hunter, he is a good man. He’s way behind the FRederal Express, but he’s headed in the right direction and deserves respect for it.

Thanks for the comments. They were all reasonable and I appreciate it.

[Miss Didi]

It's puzzling...Rush referred to this story, only it's dated July '07. Will check over on the Rush thread to see if they know more:

'FRED THOMPSON'S RACE TO LOSE'

[citizen]

I can't believe Fred will endorse McCain. He would have to have been lying to us all along to do that.

He wasn't lying and he wan't endorse McCain.

[Doogle]

sheeesh...I didn’t say nothing...just sitting over here in the corner...sort of a cyber “timeout” for being FRedmerized.

[Plutarch]

I can't believe Fred will endorse McCain. He would have to have been lying to us all along to do that.

He wasn't lying and he wan't endorse McCain.

Fred isn't lying when he calls McCain his good friend.

At Intrade, Fred getting out before January 31st has been running at 80%. You wouldn't want to bet against it.

Who will he endorse? Probably not the candidates he has been smashing his battle-axe on, which is Huck, Giuliani and Romney.

Do you think it might be the candidate he has been tickling with a feather duster? That would be McCain.

[for-q-clinton]

Thompson surges.

[apocalypto]

I cannot believe Fred Thompson, whom I support along with Duncan Hunter, would endorse crazy John McCain. One look at McCain’s amnesty votes and ultra liberal record (and his mental issues) and and it is clear McCain would not be really bad for the US.

[AndyTheBear]

And what if you don't think Mitt can win? What if you don't like or trust him? Then what?

Depends largely on who I think has a shot. Also may be influenced by a re-evaluation.

In a worst case scenario, McCain and the Huckster would be in a two person race with everyone else dropped out. So I would probably choose between them if I could generate sufficient preference within myself to make a choice. Both are better then any of the Democrats (though that's not saying much). And it could be if I looked closely I could find reason to favor one over the other.

On the other if a better candidate had even an outside chance, I might go for them. Depends on how much chance, and how much better.

I'm not going to "marry" my vote to any particular candidate ahead of time. I will cast my vote for what I perceive to be the best viable candidate given whatever pleasant or whatever dire choices I am left with. No matter who it is, I will dislike at least something about them, and like at least something about them.

Voting is about serving your nation, not stroking your ego.

[Terrence DoGood]

You’re assuming Thompson would endorse McCain. I just can’t see that. He has more in common (philosophically) with Romney.

[dforest]

Two liberal turds float at the top.

I will blame South Carolina when we are overrun by illegals.