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Rasmussen Poll: Three way tie
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 1-18-07 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 01/18/2008 8:06:19 AM PST by dangus

Huckabee, 22% McCain, 21% Romney, 19% Thompson, 12% Giuliani, 10% Ron Paul, 3% Some other Republican (named Duncan Hunter), ?%

My own notes Please note that any Republican is likely to do better in the electoral college than in the general election. Ohio is much more solidly Republican, after they've tasted Democrats running the state; Michigan is sick of their own female, liberal chief executive. And I predict Hillary "beats the spread" in very conservative states (leaving them comfortably Republican), and wastefully piles on the victory margins in very liberal states (NY, etc.), but underperforms in the purplish industrial states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and the aforementioned Michigan and Ohio.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections; romney
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1 posted on 01/18/2008 8:06:20 AM PST by dangus
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To: dangus

Hillary 38%, Obama 31%, Edwards 16%


2 posted on 01/18/2008 8:07:13 AM PST by dangus
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To: dangus

Duncan Hunter will have more impact on this race by dropping out and endorsing somebody rather than staying in and chipping away at his heretofore sterling reputation among Conservatives.


3 posted on 01/18/2008 8:09:58 AM PST by elizabetty ("Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm." .Ralph Waldo Emerson)
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To: dangus

Are these national numbers or SC?


4 posted on 01/18/2008 8:10:27 AM PST by pgkdan (Tolerance is the virtue of the man without convictions - G.K. Chesterton)
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To: dangus

So, basically this is a vanity post tucked under a short list of poll numbers.


5 posted on 01/18/2008 8:10:55 AM PST by mngran2
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To: dangus

first thing I noticed..FRed is coming on strong!


6 posted on 01/18/2008 8:10:55 AM PST by Doogle (USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated))
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To: pgkdan

National. In SC, Rasmussen has Huckabee and McCain tied for the lead.


7 posted on 01/18/2008 8:12:42 AM PST by pa mom
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To: Doogle

Same place he has been for a while, 12%.


8 posted on 01/18/2008 8:13:57 AM PST by Always Right
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To: dangus

I’ve given up trying to analyze Rasmussen’s numbers. If I try to come up with daily numbers that average out to each day’s published number, the swings back and forth on the candidates begin to approach sheer randomness.


9 posted on 01/18/2008 8:14:26 AM PST by Ingtar (Romney didn't support President Bush's tax cuts in 2003, earning praise from Barney Frank)
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To: pa mom

Wow! Ultra liberal McCain and silly Huckabee leading! I used to think better of SC. Could it be that once again the polls are way off?


10 posted on 01/18/2008 8:16:44 AM PST by apocalypto
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To: Doogle
Prayers for Fred. Much better choice then McCain or the Huckster.

Sadly, I'm not optimistic about SC.

11 posted on 01/18/2008 8:17:34 AM PST by AndyTheBear (Disastrous social experimentation is the opiate of elitist snobs.)
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To: AndyTheBear

That isn’t National.....is it Ohio?


12 posted on 01/18/2008 8:19:42 AM PST by egginanest (Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups)
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To: Always Right

Actually the post seems to list Fred at 19 in a close third.


13 posted on 01/18/2008 8:19:46 AM PST by AndyTheBear (Disastrous social experimentation is the opiate of elitist snobs.)
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To: dangus
At Intrade, the Fred Thompson withrawing from the race in January contract is at 80%.

The big question is which candidate get most of Thompson's 12% when he withdraws and endorses McCain.

14 posted on 01/18/2008 8:20:55 AM PST by Plutarch
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To: AndyTheBear

The commas are confusing, but Fred is at 12.


15 posted on 01/18/2008 8:21:56 AM PST by Always Right
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To: dangus

What state??? Sounds different than anything I’ve heard for S.C.


16 posted on 01/18/2008 8:22:08 AM PST by LikeLight (Is There a Lawyer in the Church? Yes!)
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To: AndyTheBear; Always Right

Darn, I was fooled by poorly placed commas. Yep, Fred is only at 12.


17 posted on 01/18/2008 8:22:22 AM PST by AndyTheBear (Disastrous social experimentation is the opiate of elitist snobs.)
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To: dangus

While the media has been working overtime trying to bury Fred’s campaign, they will be working overtime trying to revive Rudy’s once they reach Florida.
Either way, the Roadkill Gourmet’s days on top are about to come to an abrupt end.


18 posted on 01/18/2008 8:23:21 AM PST by counterpunch (GOP Convention '08 — Go For Brokered!)
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To: Always Right

Okay - the commas threw me off.


19 posted on 01/18/2008 8:23:22 AM PST by LikeLight (Is There a Lawyer in the Church? Yes!)
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To: Plutarch

The big question is which candidate get most of Thompson’s 12% when he withdraws and endorses McCain.

The big answer: Romney.


20 posted on 01/18/2008 8:24:01 AM PST by maxter
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