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Iowa Caucuses - Results Live Thread
January 3, 2008 | xjcsa

Posted on 01/03/2008 12:08:45 PM PST by xjcsa

Edited on 01/03/2008 7:30:11 PM PST by Admin Moderator. [history]

I thought the time was right to start up a live thread for results and comments about tonight, so here we are!



TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2008; biden; caucus; caucuses; dodd; edwards; elections; fred; fredthompson; giuliani; gravel; hillary; huckabee; hunter; ia2008; iowa; keyes; kucinich; livethread; mccain; mikehuckabee; obama; paul; richardson; romney; thompson
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To: Sola Veritas; Brent88; Steelerfan; gridlock; steveegg; Loyolas Mattman; JohnnyZ; ...
FWIW "The Blogging Caesar" concurs with your top three picks.

Iowa predictions

If you are a first time visitor to Election Projection (or even if you're not), please see a short note at the bottom of this post.

Ok, I know I said the caucuses are too close to call.  But I just can't help myself.  So here are my predictions for tonight's battle in the heartland.

Republicans
  • Mike Huckabee - 30%
  • Mitt Romney - 19%
  • Fred Thompson - 18%
  • Ron Paul - 14%
  • John McCain - 13%
  • Rudy Giuliani - 5%
  • Duncan Hunter - 1%
Democrats
  • Barack Obama - 38%
  • John Edwards - 29%
  • Hillary Clinton - 25%
  • Bill Richardson - 5%
  • Joe Biden - 2%
  • Others - 1%


Coral Ridge Ministries: Proclaiming truths that transform the world.

321 posted on 01/03/2008 2:56:03 PM PST by Milhous (Gn 22:17 your descendants shall take possession of the gates of their enemies)
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To: Dante3
IMO Thompson and Romney are "seeing the light." I would be so happy if either Hunter or Thompson would win.

I'm sorry but I just don't trust that either of them have "seen the light" anymore than Huckabee has. What I see here is no action on the part of either Mitt or Thompson on handling illegal immigration when they held office, and a few campaign promises now. Hunter put through and got legislation passed for a border fence. He got one built in San Diego. Mitt and Thompson allowed illegal immigration to go on unchallenged. So Mitt and Fred promise to build a fence--so does Huckabee. I don't believe Huckabee is unelectable because of his skills in communication. Huckabee shines when Fred pauses and Mitt stumbles. Hunter does an amazing job when the press lets him speak.

Why is everyone giving Fred and Mitt a pass and jumping on Huckabee when there is just as much reason to jump on Fred and Mitt from the objections I have seen raised. All three should be looked on very cautiously.
322 posted on 01/03/2008 2:56:28 PM PST by dan1123 (You are to be perfect, as your heavenly Father is perfect. --Jesus)
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To: Miss Didi


RUSH: Conservatism Works. Try It!

EIB Pop Quiz: Who Said It? Joe Lieberman? Ronald Reagan? Fred Thompson?
323 posted on 01/03/2008 2:56:38 PM PST by Miss Didi ("Good heavens, woman, this is a war not a garden party!" Dr. Meade, Gone with the Wind)
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To: xjcsa

Bump for later.


324 posted on 01/03/2008 2:56:58 PM PST by papasmurf (I'm voting for FRed, even if I have to write him in.)
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To: Colofornian
News flash, we are NOT a theocracy.

It may be an issue that will some day go back to the states.
Some states will do it, others will stop or limit them in the future in my opinion.

The President can talk about the issue, but he couldn’t do anything beyond appointing the right justices to slide the social engineering back the other way.

I do not believe in abortion either, but it is through one on one talks with people, not laws and harsh protesting where hearts and minds will change. All that does is make people did in harder for abortion.

325 posted on 01/03/2008 2:57:21 PM PST by A CA Guy (God Bless America, God bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
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To: dschapin
Huckabee has a lot of problems but I am shocked at the level of animosity towards his candidacy around here. Huckabee is a fiscal moderate and yes this is a bad thing. However, many Freepers seem to view this as worse then Giuliani who is a social liberal. Are we really so shallow that we would care more about our taxes then about the lives of millions of babies?

I agree w/you...what's surprising, tho, is that we never saw these kinds of things posted in thread & thread when Huck wasn't perceived as a "threat." (That wasn't true, BTW, of Romney).

So I take that to mean that if he was the level of threat folks now make him out to be, then we'd seen that level of animosity all throughout '07. (But we didn't in FReeper posts).

Conclusion: Basically, it seems that it's not Huck's bad side on the issues that motivated many folks as much as that he threatened their fave candidate's voter turf. Now that's not true of some FReeper's, who have been issuing Huck warnings all throughout '07. (So I'm not talking about those folks). I'm only talking about those that if you review their comments for the past two months, you'll see they went from 0 to 150 MPH just like a snap of their fingers.

326 posted on 01/03/2008 2:57:23 PM PST by Colofornian
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To: rurgan

Yeah, we’re for that plus homeschooled engineering geeks with the same hobbies and interests. Meeting on FreeRepublic was great. I know several others who met on FR too. Make sure your profile has some info about yourself (like the word “single”) and who knows what might happen.


327 posted on 01/03/2008 2:57:44 PM PST by JenB
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To: bw17

Edwards will not speak to Fox News because he hates big media. What a skank. He will go to bigger media in NBC, CBS, ABC. He does not like corporations... trial lawyer


328 posted on 01/03/2008 2:57:58 PM PST by JFC
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To: mnehrling

bump to follow.....


329 posted on 01/03/2008 2:58:34 PM PST by God luvs America (When the silent majority speaks the earth trembles!)
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To: Politicalmom
NumbersUSA said that FRed has one of the best records on immigration of the frontrunners.

I guess him doing nothing is better than Huckabee, Romney, and McCain actively encouraging it.
330 posted on 01/03/2008 2:59:26 PM PST by dan1123 (You are to be perfect, as your heavenly Father is perfect. --Jesus)
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To: Colofornian
What about protecting marriage from takeover by gays? What about opposing homosexual activists' agenda? What about religious liberty issues? What about healthcare?

Well, I'm glad one of his supporters is listing his conservative bonafides. I tried to get another supporter to list why they felt Huck deserved conservative support and rather than provide any detail, he listed the campaign site.

Once I've done my initial research on the net, I'm not going to bother with a candidate's platform, I go by their track record.

I will say, and not as a flame, that while those points are good, fiscally Huckabee doesn't come on strong as a conservative and his record is ambiguous at best, with multiple tax hikes and nanny-state policies that drove me off immediately.

However, my advice is to continue to hammer his conservative record as much as possible. It's the only way to sustain interest in this forum.

331 posted on 01/03/2008 2:59:27 PM PST by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: se_ohio_young_conservative
He has my morals and values. (referring to Huckster)

That stunt he pulled with the video reveals your statement as untrue. Come on, admit it...your vote is an anti-Mormon vote?
332 posted on 01/03/2008 2:59:36 PM PST by Khepri (Fred Thompson, he's a hundred miles away son - READY TO STRIKE!)
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To: Politicalmom

LOL! Well, *I* approve of him so...

We’ll post an after-action report in a few hours! Finding our Fred stickers and the big sign and the info from the campaign on what they want us to do.


333 posted on 01/03/2008 2:59:38 PM PST by JenB
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To: xjcsa
Meanwhile, in a parallel universe..

.

Democratic presidential candidate U.S. Senator Hillary Clinton (D-NY) (L) and her husband former U.S. President Bill Clinton (R) order lunch from Dawny Valdez at Tursi's Latin King Restaurant in Des Moines, Iowa January 3,2008, the day of the Iowa Caucus. REUTERS/Brian Snyder (UNITED STATES)


Billary wanted to know if they could order a Kennedy-Dodd sandwich to go

334 posted on 01/03/2008 2:59:49 PM PST by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ... Godspeed ... ICE’s toll-free tip hotline —1-866-DHS-2-ICE ... 9/11 .. Never FoRGeT)
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To: NYC Republican

why cant republicans wake up and get behind a real conservative ! duncan hunter !


335 posted on 01/03/2008 3:00:21 PM PST by norinosforme (support /give to hunter !)
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To: Beatthedrum
Just looked on Drudge and the Hildabeast is indeed falling to third place. NEWS FLASH! HILLARY HOLDING REPORTERS HOSTAGE AND ISSUING BOMB THREATS AT CLINTON CAMPAIGN HEADQUARTERS! SHE’S DEMANDING SHE BE ANOINTED PRESIDENT IN 48 HOURS OR ELSE!
336 posted on 01/03/2008 3:00:22 PM PST by Victory Rocks (Our brave troops are the real peacemakers.)
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To: Cyclops08
And how long did it take to actually drop your candidates name in the ballot box.

It doesn't really work like that...candidate speeches come first, then voting. My caucus won't be representative of the rest though; it's going to be a complete circus.

337 posted on 01/03/2008 3:01:20 PM PST by xjcsa (Defenseless enemies are fun.)
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To: NormsRevenge

“...Hey, that’s a good-looking mummy. I’d like to date her...”


338 posted on 01/03/2008 3:01:49 PM PST by Loyolas Mattman
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To: xjcsa

im in yur primariez...cuttin' and runnin...

339 posted on 01/03/2008 3:01:51 PM PST by Extremely Extreme Extremist (13-3 Green Bay Packers - The road to the Super Bowl begins NOW)
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To: Milwaukee_Guy
Although it would be fun watching the alphabet networks trying to rationalize a Hillary third place finish.

It would be fun to watch the Hildebeast go through a Howard Dean style meltdown.

Hillary

340 posted on 01/03/2008 3:02:23 PM PST by Momaw Nadon ("...with the ultimate goal of ending tyranny in our world.")
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