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Posted on 08/20/2007 8:12:21 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Dean is steaming toward the Yucatan Peninsula today, packing winds over 150 mph. The Hurricane Hunter aircraft aborted its mission Monday morning due to equipment problems. The storm is expected to attain catastrophic Category 5 status today. The Cayman Islands have been spared the brunt of the storm's winds as Dean passed 125 miles south of Grand Cayman.
Jamaica continues to assess damage to its infrastructure after Dean uprooted trees, knocked down power lines, stripped off roofs, and dumped up to 20 inches of rain, causing mudslides in the mountains. The government of Jamaica has declared a month-long state of emergency. Haiti has reported four fatalities. The Dominican Republic reported a 20ft storm surge. Martinique lost its banana crops. Additional details are scarce at this point due to extensive power outages.
Alcoa suspended aluminum production in Jamaica. Mexico evacuated thousands of workers from oil platforms. Texas mobilized the National Guard, opened emergency operations centers and moved inmates inland from three prisons in advance of the storm.
Space shuttle Endeavour is returning home Tuesday, a day early due to Hurricane Dean.
In other storm news, the remnants of Tropical Storm Erin caused massive rains and flooding in Oklahoma Sunday. Two people have drowned, and three are reported missing at this time.
Public Advisories Updated every three hours.
Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours
Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Buoy Data West Caribbean
Storm Surge graphic
Satellite Images
Cancun Radar Caution- very prone to overload with high traffic
Additional Resources:
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Cayman One Radio Nice music mix, and hourly news
Hurricane Dean Thread II
Hurricane Dean Thread I
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
The 5PM discussion indicates they have all sorts of mixed/conflicting data. Rather unusual.
Dunno about NN, but I can only handle one tropical storm at a time.
Dean to hit Michigan,New York, South Dakota,Texas,Washington,Oregon,Washington DC,California, and taking the White House
http://www.binarystorage.net/clients/flashbunny/movies/meltdown.swf
You need throwaway e-mail addresses for times like those.
http://weather.hawaii.edu/current/hawwx.cgi?banner=uhmet
If You Click on the above link & then click on the USA Mainland Weather Graphic It seems like Florida May still be in play ??? What do you think ?
You have to Select the Large Graphic For A Clearer Picture
Local Hou news: Chetumal is shutting everything down by 7PM, including power. Police going door-to-door to make everyone leave.
Now everyone is going north to Cancun! I hope this means Ambergris Caye and that area of Belize will miss the head-on hit. The info has been back and forth since I’ve been back online.
I remember Wilma (and Emily - and back to Keith, I think it was) and how the poor people of Orange Walk, in Belize, back from the coast, suffered so terribly. Also remember the boat that went down in a hideyhole, losing many onboard.
Prayers continue for the Costa Maya and Belize.
Please pray for our Missionaries in Punta Gorda,Belize. This will be the second hurricane they will have endured, but this one will be ALOT worse that the 1st.
Pray for all in the area that GOD will provide shelter, comfort and relief during this terrible time of trouble!
I have provided a link for those who would like to offer personal prayers and support. Sorry, I don’t know how to post the link.
http://www3.calvarychapel.com/escondido/htm/belize.htm
Wow! You got blocked! Thanks for trying. I turn the channel everytime Geraldo comes on. Can’t stand to even hear him.
Punta Gorda is well south in Belize. They will be on the weaker side of the storm (you don't want to be just north of the eye at landfall), and, if the track holds, will probably experience at the worst Cat1 or low-end Cat 2 intensity. So hopefully they won't get it too bad.
is that red shirt draped over their shoulders from the fire dept? (’been there, done that, got the t-shirt’)
I’m with you. These folks are inspiring. I am completely in awe of there courage, ingenuity, and perseverance. It is a shame every time we intercept and repatriate them to a almost certain death. I hate to admit it, but these are folks that I would aid to get in. Mexico isn’t a tyrrany.
sounds like Cozumel is more directly in the path?
I actually prefer this satellite image:
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/browsh3.html
The larger scales make it easier to try to forecast...
Sure looks like this one’s going to Mexico.... And, it should be plenty strong when it arrives. Nice outflows, and very warm water.... not a good sign for the Mexicans..
I actually prefer this satellite image:
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/browsh3.html
The larger scales make it easier to try to forecast...
Sure looks like this one’s going to Mexico.... And, it should be plenty strong when it arrives. Nice outflows, and very warm water.... not a good sign for the Mexicans..
Thanks MUCH for the postings... very helpful to have this all together.
Thank you so much for that info! It eases my mind a little.
Texas should consider evacuating all those troublesome Katrina people back to NOLA.
Bookmark.
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