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Posted on 08/19/2007 3:52:51 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Dean is moving west-northwest through the Caribbean Sea. The current NHC forecast track indicates Dean's powerful center core will pass just south of the southwestern peninsula of Haiti, and should skirt Jamaica's southern shoreline. The storm maintained strong Category 4 wind status through the night during an eyewall replacement cycle. However, the minimum pressure supports Category 5, and additional strengthening of winds is likely.
Tourists in Jamaica crowded airports Saturday to leave the island nation. Jamaican Prime Minister Portia Simpson Miller addressed the Jamaican people, asking that everyone put aside their political differences and work together in advance of the imminent storm preceding Jamaica's general election scheduled for August 27. PM Miller announced that the Jamaican power grid and water would likely be shut down early Sunday morning in advance of the storm, and strongly urged citizens to seek shelter.
The United States and Barbados have pledged hurricane relief supplies and support to Jamaica as needed. No word yet from the United Nations...
Public Advisories Updated every three hours.
Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours
Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks
Buoy Data East Caribbean
Buoy Data West Caribbean
Storm Surge graphic
Satellite Images/Radar
Additional Resources:
StormCarib Island locals post their observations
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
If your Hillary Clinton!
AND, as its track edges Southward, it will do far greater damage to Mexico's oil industry (Mexico is second only to Canada in energy exports to the U.S.)!
Sorry but the news media never knows exactly what is going to happen. In fact they make a living on guessing.
Yup and it had the voice of a demon when said. Gave me the willys.
I used dialup for decades. I didn’t ask others to forgo using their latest technology so I could play along. I set my browser not to load graphics and played with the big boys without so much as a whimper.
As for your being ill and down on your luck, my primary objective is to have as many conservatives congregate as is possible. That includes both people with dial-up and the latest equipment.
I appreciate you including me in that small-minded and cruel group, but I will say that I suggested a solution that would serve everyone, without asking you or anyone else to limit their device in any way. If that’s small minded, I think your threshhold is rather low. Now if I were asking others to limit their machines to 3/4 capability, I guess you could make that case.
Glad to have you here. I appreciate your reply.
This storm is staying South. Mexico is going to get it. Nothing in the upper atmosphere steers this storm until it reaches Pacific currents.
Ha Ha,,,i saw that and it’s why i promptly obeyed ;0)
~ placemarker ~
I guess we can go home now. <sarc’’
000 URNT12 KNHC 200243 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042007 A. 20/02:19:30Z B. 17 deg 28 min N 078 deg 34 min W C. 700 mb 2452 m D. 107 kt E. 128 deg 9 nm F. 224 deg 108 kt G. 128 deg 009 nm H. 927 mb I. 7 C/ 3019 m J. 18 C/ 3043 m K. 15 C/ NA L. CLOSED M. C16 N. 12345/7 O. 0.02 / 1 nm P. AF304 1104A DEAN OB 10 MAX FL WIND 125 KT E QUAD 01:25:00 Z MAX FL WIND OUTBOUND 143 KT NW QUAD 02:25:30 Z STARS VISIBLE ABOVE IN CENTER
Oddly; the pressure is up even as the 700 mb pressure altitude is down. Movement over the last 48 minutes due west (270 degrees) at 22 mph.
Really, it's what they do.
The east-west shear line is too far to the north, this has MEXICO written all over it. Nature getting even for them dumping on US?
Looks to me like that squirrel is just begging for popcorn!
I don’t now why I find that so funny. Gave me a good belly laugh.
this deserves an honorable mention here:
Meteorologist Busts a Move During Live TV Broadcast
08-19-2007 1:16 pm
Sometimes the weather report just makes one want to...dance. Stick with it — toward the end she attempts to moonwalk
http://www.breitbart.tv/?p=4534
Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on August 19, 2007
The eye of Dean has been passing just south of Jamaica since about 1900 UTC and has just crossed the longitude of negril on the western end of the island. The center came within about 20 N mi of Portland Point on the south-central coast...close enough to bring hurricane-force winds to Kingston. While passing by Jamaica... satellite imagery suggested the eye diameter was gradually shrinking. An Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft arrived in the eye of Dean at 0130 UTC and revealed that the pressure had fallen to near 925 mb...and that Dean now has a single eyewall at a diameter of about 15 N mi. Maximum surface winds from the SFMR have been 121 kt...and flight-level winds have been as high as 143 kt...both of which support maintaining the advisory intensity at 125 kt. Dean is heading toward 280 degrees at about 17 kt with steering provided by a strengthening mid-level ridge over the southeastern United States. The models all agree that the ridge will get even stronger and move a little westward with Dean...meaning that Dean will probably move in a rather straight line until final landfall in Mexico. Overall the models have again edged a little southward...and so has the official forecast. The NOAA Gulfstream-IV jet conducted a synoptic surveillance mission this evening to provide data for the 0000 UTC model cycle. The jet will continue to fly missions every 12 hours to collect data through the 12z model cycle Tuesday morning. All of the objective guidance calls for strengthening in the northwestern Caribbean where the shear will remain weak and the ocean heat content very high. The official forecast follows suit and indicates that Dean could reach category five status during the next day or so. The hurricane will weaken while over Yucatan in proportion to just how long it spends over land. The opportunity for restrengthening over the southwestern Gulf likewise depends on the exact track...and that window has been shortening with the southward shifts in track. Although not explicitly indicated in the new official forecast...it is still possible that Dean could restrengthen and again reach major hurricane status prior to final landfall along the coast of Mainland Mexico. Forecast positions and Max winds initial 20/0300z 17.6n 78.8w 125 kt 12hr VT 20/1200z 18.0n 81.4w 130 kt 24hr VT 21/0000z 18.5n 84.9w 140 kt 36hr VT 21/1200z 19.2n 88.4w 105 kt...inland 48hr VT 22/0000z 19.8n 91.9w 80 kt 72hr VT 23/0000z 21.0n 99.0w 55 kt...inland 96hr VT 24/0000z...dissipated $$ forecaster Knabb
Your home in Guadalajara might be in danger. I’d leave a number with the neighbor. :^) (Cuba given the all clear BTW)
Focus, people.
I heard you the first time.
Are you serious?
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