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Posted on 08/19/2007 3:52:51 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Dean is moving west-northwest through the Caribbean Sea. The current NHC forecast track indicates Dean's powerful center core will pass just south of the southwestern peninsula of Haiti, and should skirt Jamaica's southern shoreline. The storm maintained strong Category 4 wind status through the night during an eyewall replacement cycle. However, the minimum pressure supports Category 5, and additional strengthening of winds is likely.
Tourists in Jamaica crowded airports Saturday to leave the island nation. Jamaican Prime Minister Portia Simpson Miller addressed the Jamaican people, asking that everyone put aside their political differences and work together in advance of the imminent storm preceding Jamaica's general election scheduled for August 27. PM Miller announced that the Jamaican power grid and water would likely be shut down early Sunday morning in advance of the storm, and strongly urged citizens to seek shelter.
The United States and Barbados have pledged hurricane relief supplies and support to Jamaica as needed. No word yet from the United Nations...
Public Advisories Updated every three hours.
Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours
Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks
Buoy Data East Caribbean
Buoy Data West Caribbean
Storm Surge graphic
Satellite Images/Radar
Additional Resources:
StormCarib Island locals post their observations
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
I think it is an inappropriate if not disgusting comment for this thread.
I can’t tell by your post if you are agreeing with me or the poster that made the comment.
I was going to say it this way......Mexico needs workers at 16.00 an hour to rebuild Cozumel and Cancun. Other work will exist inland as the storm moves on. (ROVE you magnificent Bastard!)
Is it not true? Argue the honesty of my post not the fact that it hurts your feelings.
Please take this discussion to an immigration debate thread.
I was agreeing with Eaker, sorry for the confusion. And when is the truth not welcome here??
It is a discussion better continued on an immigration thread.
I’m saying this is a poor place and circumstance to bring your angst about the immigration situation. It’s crass and beneath the level of FR.
I’ll not continue the conversation on this thread though, as most people are here to keep watch on the storm and be concerned over the lives of those who will be or are being impacted by this.
Atlantic Floater 1 shows it heading due west on the latest loop(rock),,,
JMHO : The storm will take the southern most of the tracks
on the last NOAA model(Tampico or south)...
Sorry NN, I couldn’t pass that up. :^)
Gotcha-—I just couldn’t resist sticking my nose in....
I took their posts as mocking people who were concerned, because only 'they' knew exactly what was going to happen. There are times when the smugness starts getting in the way of what is important.
Dang!!! Sounds like they are getting ready to mate. Maybe they took pointers from Clinton.
Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on August 19, 2007
...Dean still battering Jamaica... ...Hurricane warnings issued for portions of Mexico and Belize... At 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...the government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Warning from Chetumal northward to Cancun on the East Coast of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico. In addition...the Hurricane Watch has been extended westward and southward...and is now in effect along the northern and western coasts of the Yucatan Peninsula from north of Cancun to ciudad del Carmen. At 11 PM EDT...the government of Belize has issued a Hurricane Warning for portions of the coast of Belize from Belize City northward to the Belize/Mexico border. A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for Jamaica and the Cayman Islands. Preparations to protect life and property in Jamaica should have already been completed. Preparations elsewhere in the Hurricane Warning areas should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the southwestern peninsula of Haiti from Port-au-Prince to the Haiti/Dominican Republic border. A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect for portions of eastern Cuba...from the province of Camaguey eastward to the province of Guantanamo. A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the following provinces of Cuba...Pinar del Rio...la Habana... Ciego de Avila...Sancti Spiritus... Cienfuegos... Matanzas...and Isla de la Juventud. A tropical storm watch also remains in effect for portions of the coast of Belize from south of Belize City southward to the Belize/Guatemala border. Interests elsewhere in the western Caribbean and the southern Gulf of Mexico should closely monitor the progress of Dean. For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office. At 1100 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Dean was located near latitude 17.6 north...longitude 78.8 west or about 135 miles... 215 km...west-southwest of Kingston Jamaica and about 195 miles... 315 km...southeast of Grand Cayman. Dean is moving toward the west near 20 mph...32 km/hr...and this general motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours. On this track the center of Dean will move away from Jamaica overnight and pass just south of the Cayman Islands on Monday morning. Reports from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 145 mph...230 km/hr...with higher gusts. Dean is an extremely dangerous category four hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...and Dean could reach category five strength on Monday. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles...95 km...from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles...335 km. Estimated minimum central pressure is 925 mb...27.31 inches. Coastal storm surge flooding of 7 to 9 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...is possible near the center of Dean within the Hurricane Warning areas in Jamaica and the Cayman Islands. Coastal storm surge flooding of 9 to 11 feet above normal tide levels is possible near and to the north of where Dean makes landfall along the East Coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. Storm total rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches can be expected over Jamaica and the Yucatan Peninsula...with maximum amounts of up to 20 inches. Amounts of 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts of 12 inches are expected over the Cayman Islands. Additional amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible over southern Haiti. Eastern Cuba could receive 2 to 4 inches of rain...with maximum amounts up to 7 inches. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Repeating the 1100 PM EDT position...17.6 N...78.8 W. Movement toward...west near 20 mph. Maximum sustained winds...145 mph. Minimum central pressure...924 mb. An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 200 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 500 am EDT. $$ Forecaster Knabb/Roberts
Not it is down to 924 millibars. The eyewall replacement cycle is complete, Jamaica is out of the way, and it is now in the warmest waters in the Atlantic. Nothing is going to hold this monster back now.
Expect a correction on the pressure. Dunno why they used an estimated pressure with the Hunters there.
Would make a good tag line.
I must be missing something. I've been over to your thread and to the source site GraphOilogy. Haven't seen a legend or date/time stamp on the graphics, and they appear to be from old data. That's why I inquired.
Apparently not on this thread. One post out of over 600.
If Dean turns north then my family is in the bullseye.
Thus NautiNurse has spoken with post number 666. Woe be unto those who fail to heed her advice.
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