McCain, Giuliani Top GOP Favorable Ratings (Michigan Poll)

Desert News ^ | 2/11/07

[HANG THE EXPENSE]

LMAO

[areafiftyone]

FROM JOINRUDY 2008

Rudy and the Republican Nomination

New York, Feb 2 -

To:	Team Rudy
From:	Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:	February 2, 2007
Re:	Rudy and the Republican Nomination

Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.

Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.

According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:

• 70% of independents are favorable,
• 70% of 35-44 year olds,
• 74% of married women,
• 73% of households married with children,
• 52% of minority voters

The Mayor also enjoys strong approval among white evangelical Christians (76%) and self-described conservative Republicans (82%).

In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”

In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.

The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.

Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:

State	Mayor Giuliani	Closest Competitor	Source
California	33%	19% (Gingrich)	ARG - Jan. 11-17
Florida	30%	16% (Gingrich)	ARG - Jan. 4-9
Illinois	33%	24% (McCain)	ARG - Jan. 11-14
Michigan	34%	24% (McCain)	ARG - Jan. 4-7
Nevada	31%	25% (McCain)	ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06
New Jersey	39%	21% (McCain)	Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22
North Carolina	34%	26% (McCain)	ARG - Jan. 11-15
Ohio	30%	22% (McCain)	Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28
Pennsylvania	35%	25% (McCain)	ARG Jan. 4-8
Texas	28%	26% (McCain)	Baselice Jan. 17-21

Conclusion
Recent polling continues to suggest Mayor Giuliani is very well positioned within the party – particularly when compared to other potential Republican candidates – to win the nomination.

Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.

Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.

[Norman Bates]

This poll is very disappointing in its lack of head-to-head general election matchups. Otherwise, these favorability rating are interesting. Hillary's numbers are teetering on the brink.

[Doninnj]

"He said his policies in New York to get handguns off the street helped reduce crime."

And boy wasn't THAT the TRUTH!

Thank you Rudy!

[M. Dodge Thomas]

The lib vote will be torn between 'the woman' and 'the minority,' which will simply cancel each other out allowing a dark horse to squeak through..

There is a considerable difference in their positions on continued involvement in Iraq and their history on those positions, IMO as the campaign proceeds that's probably going to trump sex or race for most Democratic voters.

[onyx]

Sure thing, silly poster.

I'll tell you what -- don't worry sbout my vote because I am totally unconcerned about yours.

[Norman Bates]

So what?

Soros, George Mr. 10/23/79 $500.00 New York, NY 10019 Soros Fund Management - [Contribution] GEORGE BUSH FOR PRESIDENT

[Mojave]

You're a very predictable voice for the worst candidates in the Republican party.

McCain is no surprise.

[Norman Bates]

Soros didn't want Bush to win in the Republican Primaries.

He did want Bush to win the Republican primaries. Against Reagan. (See post 67). And you're right: it's very transparent.

[onyx]

You're a troll and not a very smart one. Roscoe is that you?


I said, I will vote for McCain "IF" he's the GOP nominee.
I will vote for the GOP nominee, regardless.

[Mojave]

10/23/79

No new taxes.

[Mojave]

I said, I will vote for McCain "IF" he's the GOP nominee.

He's not. So why the hysterical defense of him and Soros?

[deport]

I'd like to see other info rather than the Battleground stuff as the Tarrance Group is now in the employment of the Giuliani campaign. Polling report.com has a state by state listing of polling data but you have to be a subscriber of their service to view the info. I suspect the campaigns take advantage of it.

Here's a listing of some states comparing Giuliani/McCain but not sure how accurate or current the data is.....

Current leaders

First Place: Rudy Giuliani with 12 states California Florida Illinois Iowa Maine Michigan Nevada New Jersey North Carolina Ohio Pennsylvania Texas

Second Place: John McCain with 11 states Alabama Arizona Connecticut Massachusetts Missouri New Hampshire New Mexico Rhode Island South Carolina Utah Vermont

[onyx]

The primaries are over and all the votes have been counted?

Who knew, except you, Roscoe.

[Marine Inspector]

Apparently there are more RINO's in Michigan then there are Conservatives.

[Mojave]

The primaries are over and all the votes have been counted?

Nope. Yet you're defending McCain's funding from Soros now.

[deport]

American Research Group, Inc. also has a listing of several state polls... Interesting to see Gringrich polling 2nd/3rd in most of them...

[Dolphy]

Yes I remember. He does quite well in Michigan.

McCain beat Bush in the 2000 primary because of the Democrat crossover vote. It was a backlash against the then Republican governor, Engler, and the teacher unions. McCain didn't get the majority of Republican votes in that primary.

[melancholy]

He did want Bush to win the Republican primaries. Against Reagan. (See post 67). And you're right: it's very transparent.

Don't mix up posts! See post #54:" MCCAIN 2000 INC" I guess NOW we agree how transparent things were, right?

Soros, George Mr. 6/2/1999 $1,000.00 Katonah, NY 10536 Soros Fund Management [Contribution] MCCAIN 2000 INC

Need some coffee? LOL

.

[zook]

All I'm gonna say to all the McCain bashers, and I'll probably only say it once (cuz I've been saying it for months now) is that Both McCain and Giuliani are more conservative than y'all give 'em credit for and that both will fight a hell of a war on terror.

Moreover, recall how 49% of Americans voted for Kerry? 51% for Bush? I'm pretty darned confident that the number of that 49% who will support McCain/Giuliani is a lot bigger than the number of that 51% who will stay home and squawk.