Posted on 11/07/2006 7:17:23 PM PST by rface
Virginia is reporting 92% precincts in .... so I am calling the Virginia Senate race.
Allen leads 1,052,606
Webb 1,033,221
......this is a 19,000 vote lead.
I am making it official
ALLEN WINS!
OK, it looks like all but one Arlington County precinct has reported. There are still 3 Farifax County precincts left.
On the other hand, NONE of the Craig County precincts have reported. When I look at the map of the state:
http://www.vaco.org/ABOUT%20VACo/Virginia%20Map%20with%20Links%20to%20County%20Websites.php
I'm thinking Craig County will go for Allen (I hope).
I'm thinking it looks good for Allen.
Fox analyist Michael Barone says Allen lead likely to go to zero and be a contested race. There will be a recount in Va by law if win is under 1%.
No. Most votes wins.
Allen up 13k votes with about 100 precincts to go
VA SEN [95.58% IN]
R- ALLEN 1,096,537 49.70%
D- WEBB 1,053,334 49.10%
You're counting the living population as the pool for voters to come from. There's a great number of nonexistant voters to consider in Arlington.
14K up with 95.66% reporting
VA SEN [95.66% IN]
R- ALLEN 1,097,708 49.71%
D- WEBB 1,083,988 49.09%
Allen's lead is shrinking. If Webb continues to pull 3:2 on in, he'll defeat Allen by a handful. It may come down to the absentees.
12K up with 95.78%
Craig County had 1706 votes for Bush and 901 votes for Kerry in 2004, for a total just over 2600 votes--but almost a 2-1 ratio for Bush. Obviously Allen is running behind Bush's percentage of the vote in 2004, but it would seem likely he would still get over 50% of the vote there. Of course it is one of the counties bordering Roanoke Co., where Webb is apparently doing well.
Do we know how many absentee ballots were cast, and when they will be counted?
They don't have to get more than 50% in the final race, just a plurality. That's how x42 was able to be President even though he only got 43% of the vote in his first Presidential election.
12K up with 96.28% reporting
VA SEN [96.28% IN]
R- ALLEN 1,099,840 49.67%
D- WEBB 1,087,576 49.12%
12K up with 96.56% reporting
13K up with 96.60% reporting
Talk about calling it early... MSM already has Cardin winning but with 41% reporting Carding is behind 48% to 51%. FOXNews is already running a pic of Cardin...
they still wont pull back even though WaPo just backtracked.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.