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Warning: What to Expect
Self | 11/7/06 | LS

Posted on 11/07/2006 4:29:51 PM PST by LS

All right, folks. Guess I have to do it again around here and hand out the chill pills.

1) It is absolutely clear to me that we have won this. We will keep the Senate, and I'm 90% sure we keep the House. We'll probably gain a seat, maybe two in the Senate.

2) I know this from the turnout numbers, just as I did in 2004. The fact is, forget Indies. They don't vote in high numbers. It's all about the two parties, and who gets out their base.

We have done that today beyond my wildest expectations. The info we have from the Hotline on turnout is overwhelming, and in virtually every key state, we have exceeded Dem turnout by 2, 3, 4, or 6%.

As I predicted, we are seeing a Dem UNDERVOTE. They are underperforming, esp. in key states such as OH. However, they are underperforming far worse than even I dreamed. We are looking at 20% in Cuyahoga County! Brown and Strickland couldn't get elected dog catcher with that level of support.

SO HERE IS WHAT TO EXPECT: THE MEDIA IDIOTS HAVE THEIR TEMPLATES. THEY WILL BE VERY SLOW TO COME AROUND. IT WILL BE A LONG NIGHT, BECAUSE THEY WON'T BELIEVE THEIR EYES.

They may even "call" a few House races, maybe a Senate race, based on some ridiculously low "exit poll" and have to recant later. Be patient. The turnout numbers suggest we absolutely cannot lose.


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: democrats; election; imdrunk; realclearamateur; republicans; returns; roveyoudumbass; thisguyhasnoclue; toast; wasteofbandwidth; whothhellisthisguy
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Comment #461 Removed by Moderator

Comment #462 Removed by Moderator

To: pgkdan
BTTT

Photobucket - Video and Image Hosting

Let the votes be counted, they decide the elections not the media.

463 posted on 11/07/2006 7:02:05 PM PST by No Blue States
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To: moondoggie
but the percentages they had on the screen for Cardin were less than Steele! Huh?

Depends whose precincts come in first.

464 posted on 11/07/2006 7:02:17 PM PST by Right Wing Assault ("..this administration is planning a 'Right Wing Assault' on values and ideals.." - John Kerry)
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To: Lando Lincoln

newer update from direct virginia:

G F Allen Republican 1,042,414 49.82%
J H Webb Jr Democratic 1,024,756 48.98%
G G Parker Independent Green 23,144 1.11%
Write Ins 2,050 0.10%
View Results by District Locality Total: 2,092,364


465 posted on 11/07/2006 7:02:43 PM PST by Flightdeck
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To: Lando Lincoln
All: no, I didn't bolt. If I'm wrong, I'll take my meds (In more ways than one). I just cut out to watch the fat guy on "House."

I did hear that Blackwell conceded.

Whatever, but I'm with Al Gore on this one: I'd really like to have all the votes counted before we start "calling" entire states based on less than 1% of the vote.

466 posted on 11/07/2006 7:03:00 PM PST by LS
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To: Lando Lincoln

I miss his optimism and we need his expertise. Hoping he'll come back and ignore all the naysayers.


467 posted on 11/07/2006 7:03:23 PM PST by trustandobey
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To: wireman
Heck no, I'm not gone. For Pete's sake, I wanted to watch "House." The episode with the fat guy was on.

Just now catching up. What, did we lose 535-0?

468 posted on 11/07/2006 7:04:38 PM PST by LS
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To: Jorge
Ok, what did you want to say?

BTW, I won't believe any exit poll call. They might be right, might be wrong, but I'll wait until I actually see COUNTED VOTES.

469 posted on 11/07/2006 7:05:34 PM PST by LS
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To: LS

What was wrong with the fat guy? I switched over to FNS and forgot to switch back before it ended.


470 posted on 11/07/2006 7:06:55 PM PST by pgkdan
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To: LS

Hey, good to have you back!!

Per FOX
__________
MD - U.S. Senate
12% Precincts Reporting

Ben Cardin Democrat 64,873 (51%)

Michael Steele Republican 60,210 (47%)

Kevin Zeese Green 2,077 (2%)
______________
MO - U.S. Senate
11% Precincts Reporting

Jim Talent (i) Republican 125,469 (53%)

Claire McCaskill Democrat 102,183 (43%)

Frank Gilmour Libertarian 6,089 (3%)

Lydia Lewis Progressive 2,363 (1%)


471 posted on 11/07/2006 7:07:07 PM PST by Lando Lincoln (For what cause would a liberal go to war? ...besides revolutions...)
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To: woofie
It means Bush is ready to get impeached.

This should be fun.

472 posted on 11/07/2006 7:08:38 PM PST by Jorge
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To: pgkdan

It was a weird one. He ended up having LUNG CANCER.


473 posted on 11/07/2006 7:09:09 PM PST by LS
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To: mad_as_he$$
I sat through Rachel Ray, but EVERY dish she showed tonight was disgusting. YUCK!

So I'm now back on FNC and more disgusted with them! How come they're calling races with 1% to 14% for Dems, but NOT calling GOP seats with 90% in? :-(

474 posted on 11/07/2006 7:09:50 PM PST by nopardons
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To: LS

Santorum Concedes


475 posted on 11/07/2006 7:10:20 PM PST by trustandobey
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To: LS

FBI on the case of "just-now-found-absentee-ballots" in Indiana.


476 posted on 11/07/2006 7:10:28 PM PST by Flightdeck
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To: LS

There has to be....FNC are calling wins waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay too early for the Dems.


477 posted on 11/07/2006 7:11:10 PM PST by nopardons
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To: LS

You think Dewine can still pull this out?


478 posted on 11/07/2006 7:11:52 PM PST by Perdogg (Democratic Party - The political wing of Al Qaida)
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To: trustandobey

20-25 House seats predicted by Northeastern GOP because the 12 term incumbant Nancy Johnson just lost in Conneticut.


479 posted on 11/07/2006 7:12:12 PM PST by PISANO
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To: LS
Does anyone have info on Murtha's tally?
480 posted on 11/07/2006 7:12:27 PM PST by Candor7 (Into Liberal flatulance goes the best hope of the West, and who wants to be a smart feller?)
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