Posted on 11/07/2006 4:29:51 PM PST by LS
All right, folks. Guess I have to do it again around here and hand out the chill pills.
1) It is absolutely clear to me that we have won this. We will keep the Senate, and I'm 90% sure we keep the House. We'll probably gain a seat, maybe two in the Senate.
2) I know this from the turnout numbers, just as I did in 2004. The fact is, forget Indies. They don't vote in high numbers. It's all about the two parties, and who gets out their base.
We have done that today beyond my wildest expectations. The info we have from the Hotline on turnout is overwhelming, and in virtually every key state, we have exceeded Dem turnout by 2, 3, 4, or 6%.
As I predicted, we are seeing a Dem UNDERVOTE. They are underperforming, esp. in key states such as OH. However, they are underperforming far worse than even I dreamed. We are looking at 20% in Cuyahoga County! Brown and Strickland couldn't get elected dog catcher with that level of support.
SO HERE IS WHAT TO EXPECT: THE MEDIA IDIOTS HAVE THEIR TEMPLATES. THEY WILL BE VERY SLOW TO COME AROUND. IT WILL BE A LONG NIGHT, BECAUSE THEY WON'T BELIEVE THEIR EYES.
They may even "call" a few House races, maybe a Senate race, based on some ridiculously low "exit poll" and have to recant later. Be patient. The turnout numbers suggest we absolutely cannot lose.
Well the results are coming in and it looks like you will have to eat your words.
Nice try though.
Not looking good for the GOP. The West blinked, we are in trouble now.
How can they call a race FOR someone who is 10 points behind and only 6% of the total in?
Not a good night. I'm praying for Talent in Missouri.
How the hell do they know that with 1% reporting?
Not to wizz on your boots, but consider Murtha as the Chairman of the House Defense Appropriations Subcommittee. If he wins, and the Dems take the House, that's what he'll be.
Me, too. Maybe another Miller Lite will make me feel better:-)
Is LS still with us? Do we still have a chance to control the House and Senate? I pray we do!
As someone said before (LS, etc.), turnout is not neccessarily Pubbie votes this election.
While I hope you are right, and I did vote all Republican, many Pubbie citizens are very unhappy, starting with the Iraq war...including me.
LS might have already bolted....and, I wouldn't blame him with the shots he has taken from FReepers.
His last post:
Posted by LS to defenderSD
On News/Activism 11/07/2006 7:59:52 PM CST · 339 of 426
That's my view, esp. when some places have 25% of their votes absente and counted last? Come on.
Yep, when a black dem loses to a white Rep, it's racism, pure and simple. When a black Rep loses to a white Dem, in a state below the Mason Dixon line no less, well he deserved it. He is after all an Oreo. Just ask the folks who threw Oreos at him on the campaign trail.
I've got the FOOD NETWORK on now and am only looking at FR when they advertise. This thread isn't making me feel any better. :-(
Oh well, back to Rachel Ray.
I am too tired to explain, but it is possible for them to do it.
Well the results are coming in and it looks like you will have to eat your words.
Nice try though
___
huh?
You quoted LS not me.
pure exit poll calling
From NRO:
"At least one well-connected Republican — not Obi Wan — seems very confident about Allen finishing on top in Virginia. I see it as very very close.
They don't buy the CNN and ABC call on Cardin. The early numbers have Steele up, and they have a lot of absentees that won't get counted for a while. That's based entirely on exit polls, which are wrong.
Northup looks like a loss, and that might be a sign of a bad night.
I'm told that Michael Barone — the guy who was the first to say the exit polls were bad in 2004 —just said the exit polls gave the Democrats 6 to 8 points this year. Puts a lot of those Senate races into the neck-and-neck category.
The CNN call on Rhode Island is based on exit polls. Ignore the call, watch the actual numbers coming in tonight.
That's not to say Whitehouse won't win; just that it's likely to be close and they ought not rely on exit polls"
I have faith in Larry. This is what he has been saying for months - precisely. We are still in a knock-down, bloody dogfight. But many of these early calls just aren't gonna stand.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.