Don't let the door ....
Posted on 11/07/2006 4:29:51 PM PST by LS
All right, folks. Guess I have to do it again around here and hand out the chill pills.
1) It is absolutely clear to me that we have won this. We will keep the Senate, and I'm 90% sure we keep the House. We'll probably gain a seat, maybe two in the Senate.
2) I know this from the turnout numbers, just as I did in 2004. The fact is, forget Indies. They don't vote in high numbers. It's all about the two parties, and who gets out their base.
We have done that today beyond my wildest expectations. The info we have from the Hotline on turnout is overwhelming, and in virtually every key state, we have exceeded Dem turnout by 2, 3, 4, or 6%.
As I predicted, we are seeing a Dem UNDERVOTE. They are underperforming, esp. in key states such as OH. However, they are underperforming far worse than even I dreamed. We are looking at 20% in Cuyahoga County! Brown and Strickland couldn't get elected dog catcher with that level of support.
SO HERE IS WHAT TO EXPECT: THE MEDIA IDIOTS HAVE THEIR TEMPLATES. THEY WILL BE VERY SLOW TO COME AROUND. IT WILL BE A LONG NIGHT, BECAUSE THEY WON'T BELIEVE THEIR EYES.
They may even "call" a few House races, maybe a Senate race, based on some ridiculously low "exit poll" and have to recant later. Be patient. The turnout numbers suggest we absolutely cannot lose.
It's a good night for that reason alone.
Well that is encouraging.
I hope Steele can pull this out.
Don't let the knuckleheads piss you off too much!
They called the race for Cardin, but the percentages they had on the screen for Cardin were less than Steele! Huh?
*hanging my head*
Per Fox
MD - U.S. Senate
5% Precincts Reporting
Michael Steele Republican 28,880 (53%)
Ben Cardin Democrat 24,240 (45%)
Kevin Zeese Green 944 (2%)
And I was responding to LS, not you.
I have no clue why it is linked as a response to you. (strange)
>>>Oh well, back to Rachel Ray.
I wish they'd run Giada & Sandra Lee's shows at night.
They called the race for Cardin, but the percentages they had on the screen for Cardin were less than Steele! Huh?
____
Also, 180,000 absentee ballads have not been counted yet.
That's a lot if this is a close race, because they break for the Pubs.
Per FOX
VA - U.S. Senate
82% Precincts Reporting
George Allen (i) Republican 924,518 (50%)
Jim Webb Democrat 898,329 (49%)
Glenda Parker Independent Grassroots 20,307 (1%)
Does the Northup race count include absentee and early votes yet?
I always thought that cool aid drinkers were democrats, I guess we got our share as well.
Does the Northup race count include absentee and early votes yet
-----
I have no idea. Sorry.
I'm just able to log on and I'm dismayed to see so many Freepers jumping off bridges and on LS. I don't believe the calls in MD and RI and I'm not ready to give up yet. Sheesh...I thought we were made of stiffer stuff around here.
Since when is doing an analysis based on historical data and turnout drinking Kool Aid?
Barone is saying the exit polls are off by 8% for the Rats.
Per FOX
MO - U.S. Senate
9% Precincts Reporting
Jim Talent (i) Republican 94,401 (53%)
Claire McCaskill Democrat 78,767 (44%)
Frank Gilmour Libertarian 4,549 (3%)
Lydia Lewis Progressive 1,813 (1%)
Gay marriage has always lost out, at least in most states.
'dan, I gotta tell you - some FReepers have just skewered ol' LS. I think he bolted for awhile until the numbers come around. Barone and FOX have abandoned the exit polls because of precisely the reasons Larry has been espousing. I'm trying to keep his back but am ill-equipped to do so.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.