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Posted on 08/30/2006 6:30:12 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Ernesto is poised to emerge into Atlantic waters after feebly creeping along the Florida peninsula. Media pundits with tremulous cameras dotted Florida's extensive coastline for the past 24 hours, showing video of children playing in the sand, dark skies, and occasional rain.
Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect from Sebastian Inlet Florida to Cape Lookout North Carolina, as Ernesto moves north at 15mph. The storm's intensity and forecast track has puzzled forecasters for several days.
N.C. Governor Mike Easley and S.C. Governor Mark Sanford activated the National Guard today in their respective states, as the forecast track indicated Ernesto may regain tropical storm force winds, and make landfall again along the Carolinas coastline.
Public Advisories Updated every three hours.
Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours
Ernesto Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 3 & 5 day forecast tracks
Buoy Data Florida & Eastern GOM
Buoy Data Southeast U.S.
Radar
Jacksonville, FL
Charleston SC
Wilmington NC
RDU NC
Satellite Images
Additional Resources:
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Previous Threads:
Tropical Storm Ernesto
Hurricane Ernesto
TS/Hurricane/TS Ernesto
TS/Hurricane/TS/TD Ernesto
Also, the track is a little more north and east than what I have been hearing. It looked to me as if they are projecting a landfall more towards Myrtle Beach/NC border??
The same weather dude mentioned a pretty good threat of tornadoes in the Wilmington area which he said would be the N/NE part of the storm.
All I know is it's gonna rain!
BTW, New Hanover and Brunswick counties in NC have already started having tornado warnings.
Buoy data near Ernesto:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/radial_search.php?lat1=31.3N&lon1=79.6W&dist=200&time=3
What was the first?
I'll grant Easley in NC and Kaine here in VA one thing--they may be Rats, but they aren't stuck on stupid. In non-political affairs of state like this, they're both reasonably competent.
Ditto Doug Wilder here in Richmond. Like I said in another post a while back, Doug Wilder is a Rat to the core, and one of the most arrogant SOBs in Virginia politics, but he does know how to run a city, and he doesn't take a lot of crap off anybody from any side of the political spectrum. They've already got crews down in Shockoe Bottom to keep the storm drains clear and they've also set up distribution points for free sandbags and sand so business owners can protect their properties.
As much as I dislike the guy, I really believe that if Doug Wilder had been running New Orleans, a hell of a lot more people would've been evacuated before Katrina hit.
}:-)4
Seems to me we got some planning to do.
This is from a half hour ago. Looks impressive.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/rb-l.jpg
The centerline of the 1100 track made landfall directly on the NC/SC border. So North Myrtle, Atlantic Beach, and on up toward Wilmington would catch it the worst. But the cone covered a lot of ground still, from Georgetown all the way up toward Ocracoke.
}:-)4
One of the very few things I like about Easley is he is very proactive and public safety conscious when it comes to storms. In cases of inclement weather, he does the right thing.
I still don't like him.........
(what was the first?)
Public opposition to Bell's proposed smoking ban in private businesses........his reason is that it's too much government intrusion.
LOL! Our beloved Governor is SUCH a great speaker. ;-)
I agree with you in regard to the nonpartisan handling of such issues....
As to the other thing Kaine did I agree with was come out publily opposing Bell's proposed smoking ban in private business (not everyone agrees with me on that issue, but it's one of my issues)
Eerie clam? You mean like this?
Gabz will have your hide if you try to legislate in any way against smoking ;-)
Ruth Ann Minner won't even speak to me anymore.......and there was a time when we were very friendly.......
Ah, I would guess you're not missing much. Am I wrong?
That's great picture, we will need a pictionary, not a dictionary!
Start here if you missed the eerie clam series.
"A new hurricane thread lexicon."
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1692867/posts?page=179#179
Side effects of the eerie clam include tropical depression
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1692867/posts?page=207#207
We have renters at our beach place in Ocean City N.J. and my daughter is beach block in Sea Isle.Guess everyone will be leaving early.
Accu weather is now saying a cat 1 before landfall betwwen SC and NC.
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