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Oscar Indicators (The likely nominees)
NEWSMAX ^ | 01/09/2006 | james Hirsen

Posted on 01/10/2006 9:31:10 AM PST by SirLinksalot

Oscar Indicators

James Hirsen, NewsMax.com

The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences has announced its choice of host for the 78th Annual Academy Awards. It's one of today's foremost wisecrackers, host of Comedy Central's "The Daily Show" Jon Stewart.

Stewart apparently landed the Oscar gig after Billy Crystal turned it down citing scheduling conflicts.

In a press release announcing the Academy's selection, Stewart lampooned the fact that he was second fiddle, describing it as "another sad attempt to smoke out Billy Crystal."

The comic already has some award show experience under his belt, having served as host for the Grammy Awards in 2001 and 2002.

Evidently, he intends to take a week off from his "Daily Show" duties to work with his writers, who will most likely assist him in preparing the requisite number of Bush-bashing jokes.

Meanwhile the Producers Guild of America (PGA) and the Writers Guild of America (WGA) have announced some nominations of their own. This is significant in that their selections tend to serve as predictors of Best Picture Academy Awards. In fact, no movie has ever won an Oscar for Best Picture without first having been nominated by at least one of these two groups.

If the PGA/WGA forecasting pattern holds true, "Munich," "Memoirs of a Geisha" and "Match Point" are already out of the running.

When the PGA and the WGA ignore films, arrows point toward losses, while conversely, films that are nominated by both groups can take on front-runner status.

In this awards cycle, movies nominated by both groups include "Brokeback Mountain," "Capote," "Good Night, and Good Luck" and "Crash."

"Capote" also squeaked out a win for Best Picture from the National Society of Film Critics (NSFC) after six ballot rounds. Based on the almost universal raves given by critics to "Brokeback Mountain," one might have expected the film to win the NSFC Best Picture award in a landslide. But the critics group snubbed the movie, with the exception of giving a Best Actor nod to Heath Ledger.

Regarding the actors and directors unions, the controversial film was the nomination leader. It earned four Screen Actors Guild (SAG) nominations and a Directors Guild of America (DGA) nomination for Ang Lee for Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film, a precursor for a Best Director Oscar.

Other DGA nominees include George Clooney for "Good Night, and Good Luck," Paul Haggis for "Crash," Bennett Miller for "Capote" and Steven Spielberg for "Munich."

As an interesting side note, the online gambling sites have "Brokeback" as the clear betting favorite.

We'll find out who wins the bets and the statuettes on March 5.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial
KEYWORDS: heathbugger; hollyweird; homosexualagenda; indicators; jakefillinhole; oscar; pokecrackmountin
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To: BikerNYC

Yup - anything that promotes homosexuality will be a winner in Hollywood.

Perhaps, but I'm not convinced Brokeback does. ...
Not a very positive image promoted by the movie.



Read this:

http://www.wnd.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=48076

It explains the agenda behind the movie and techniques used. Excellent article.


81 posted on 01/10/2006 11:06:27 AM PST by A. Patriot
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To: Ashamed Canadian

<<<<<
Anyone have the numbers on how much Barebum Mounters is making? It really isn't making too many waves up here in Canada that I've heard.
>>>>.

SEE HERE :

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/id=brokebackmountain.htm

The production budget was a mere $14 M ( who knows what the Marketing budget was ? ).

Thus far, worldwide, it has grossed $22 M.

Someone in this thread mentioned that if you want to break even, the rule of thumb figure is you have to gross TWICE your production budget.

Hence, Brokeback Mountain is still in the red based on this rule of thumb.

But this is what the OSCARS will be trying to change by adding "MOMENTUM" to it with their agenda driven awards.

NARNIA, with a production budget of $180 M has already made a humungous profit worldwide --- $475 M ( and going ).

KING KONG, with a production budget of $207 M also has made a profit worldwide at : $465 M ( still short of Narnia ).


82 posted on 01/10/2006 11:15:15 AM PST by SirLinksalot
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To: SirLinksalot

"You boys ain't right."

83 posted on 01/10/2006 11:24:53 AM PST by SkyPilot
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To: dimeadozen

Well if ratings are an indication, the Oscars are among the highest rated TV shows of the year as a general rule. And Oscar winning films always experience a bump at the Box Office. The last Best Picture winner that an really be called a flop was The Last Emperor.


84 posted on 01/10/2006 11:32:52 AM PST by Borges
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To: SirLinksalot
Did I miss anything?

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPOSITORY ROLE : JAKE DRILLINHOLE.

85 posted on 01/10/2006 11:34:33 AM PST by MAWG (In the shadows, on permanent ambush duty.)
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To: Ashamed Canadian; All

The top ten movies in the US for the weekend of 1/6/2006:

Rank/Previous Rank, Movie, Gross $Millions, %Change from Previous week

1/NA - Hostel, $19.5, N/A
2/1 - Narnia, $15.6, -39%
3/2 - King Kong, $12.6 -49%
4/3 - Fund with Dick and Jane, $11.9, -27%
5/4 - Cheaper by the Dozen 2, $8.4, -41%
6/10 - Munich, $7.5, +59%
7/7 - Memoirs of a Geisha, $6.1, -21%
8/14 - Brokeback Mountain, $5.726, +58%
9/5 - Rumor Has It, $5.702, -39%
10/6 - The Family Stone, $4.6, -43%

from: http://www.the-numbers.com/charts/thisweek.html



86 posted on 01/10/2006 11:35:01 AM PST by Wuli
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To: Wuli
The truth is that the writers of such movies believe they are writing a true version of history

Only if they are mentally ill. No dramatizations of historical events are 100% faithful to the factual record. Not Shakespeare's History Plays and certainly not novels and films. The makers have said in interview after interview that the film is fiction.
87 posted on 01/10/2006 11:37:04 AM PST by Borges
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To: Borges

We are not talking about Shakespere, we are talking about left-biased Hollywierd. You can believe their fiction about their intentions of their fiction at your own peril. You need only listen to the script writer of Munich to know how he believes in the "truth" of his fiction and his hope that Israel will see the error of its ways.


88 posted on 01/10/2006 11:45:33 AM PST by Wuli
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To: Wuli
That a writer has an ideological intent they wish to convey with their writing isn't the point. Of course they do...just like anyone else who writes anything. What we're talking about dramatizations based on Historical events. Why wouldn't something like 'Richard III' count? It's a Hatchet Job on the last Yorkist King, desgined to please the reining Tudor monarchy. Or Tolstoy's caricature of Napoleon in War and Peace... All 'based on fact'.
89 posted on 01/10/2006 11:50:10 AM PST by Borges
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To: Borges

It is not a simple matter of "ideological intent". The left's approach to history is pure religion based on their own myths. One writer or another may attempt to give some preference to one person, or set of persons, or one event or set of events to lift up someone or something they favor and/or to downplay, soften, reduce the exposition of one person or set of persons or one event or set of events to the detriment of someone or something they do not favor. The left invents facts, motives, personal thoughts, personal attitudes, personal conclusions in historical figures to produce a wholely non-factual overall view of the history they portray. They can say what they want about, how "it is only 'fiction', but they do not believe it is "fiction" it is the truth as they believe it - facts or no facts and unlike most works of fiction it is their clear intent that you believe their claims of "fiction" are just a wink and a nod, and accept that fiction as gospel truth.


90 posted on 01/10/2006 12:04:47 PM PST by Wuli
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To: Wuli
invents facts, motives, personal thoughts, personal attitudes, personal conclusions in historical figures to produce a wholely non-factual overall view of the history they portray.

As do all writers of fiction

but they do not believe it is "fiction" it is the truth as they believe it - facts or no facts and unlike most works of fiction it is their clear intent that you believe their claims of "fiction" are just a wink and a nod, and accept that fiction as gospel truth.

You're practicing divination. I'm practicing Literary Criticism.
91 posted on 01/10/2006 12:07:23 PM PST by Borges
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To: Borges
Well if ratings are an indication, the Oscars are among the highest rated TV shows of the year as a general rule.

Huh? They've been losing viewership for years.

92 posted on 01/10/2006 12:10:30 PM PST by mewzilla (Property must be secured or liberty cannot exist. John Adams)
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To: mewzilla

Even with the lowered ratings its almost always in top several shows of the year.


93 posted on 01/10/2006 12:11:29 PM PST by Borges
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To: SirLinksalot

I would like to see Pierce Brosnan get it for "The Matador" but comic performances rarely win. A shame, as he is great in that film.


94 posted on 01/10/2006 12:11:46 PM PST by Clemenza (Smartest words ever written by a Communist: "Show me the way to the next Whiskey Bar")
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To: Borges

It is not divination. I have read the published statements they have made about their own thoughts and intentions of their work.


95 posted on 01/10/2006 12:12:28 PM PST by Wuli
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To: BikerNYC

96 posted on 01/10/2006 12:15:20 PM PST by Clemenza (Smartest words ever written by a Communist: "Show me the way to the next Whiskey Bar")
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To: Wuli
For all it matters they can intend their work to bring on Armageddon. Their intentions don't change the principles of fiction that have been in play for millenia. If you go to a drama expecting unadorned fact then you deserve to be fooled.
97 posted on 01/10/2006 12:15:47 PM PST by Borges
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To: SirLinksalot
Having just received the Academy ballot along with the booklet containing all the movies for last year, I can say this has to be the worst year for movies EVER!

All the absurd left-wing cultural and historical flix will be nominated.

The best movies last year were "Narnia" and "Capote"...which is absolutely brilliant! There's a teeny, tiny movie called "Junebug" that is truly a treasure. A supporting actress named Amy Adams will knock your socks off. If she isn't nominated...God is on vacation.

The Clooney movies will sweep.

98 posted on 01/10/2006 12:21:59 PM PST by Deb (Beat him, strip him and bring him to my tent!)
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To: Borges

It is not a matter of what I know, or what you know, or the mere methods of writing "fiction". It is a matter of the pure, and lie-based intent of political Hollywood. You would prefer that the general populace not even understand that pure politica intent was a motive and often for Marxist political purpose. Of course what they do in film is not much different than what they do in the classroom.


99 posted on 01/10/2006 12:24:00 PM PST by Wuli
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To: Wuli
All Art is political to some degree, the expression of someone's worldview. Like the old saying goes: "Fiction doesn't lie."
100 posted on 01/10/2006 12:25:56 PM PST by Borges
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