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Hurricane Wilma Live Thread, Part III (TS Alpha gets honorable mention too)
NHC - NOAA ^ | 22 October 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 10/22/2005 1:25:10 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Wilma slowly drifts toward the Southeast Gulf of Mexico after relentlessly pounding Cozumel and Cancun for more than 24 hours. Early reports indicate extensive wind and flood damage to Mexico's resort-studded Mayan Riviera. Mexican officials said about 20,000 tourists were at shelters and hotels on the mainland south of Cancun and an estimated 10,000-12,000 were in Cancun itself. About 50 hotels were evacuated.

In preparation for Hurricane Wilma's anticipated Florida landfall, a Hurricane Watch and mandatory evacuation have been issued for the Florida Keys and Florida Bay. Mandatory evacuations for Marco Island and much of Naples are in effect, as well as high surf advisories and high risk of rip currents along Florida's panhandle and Big Bend coasts. Bus services are available for Monroe Co. and other counties for residents who do not have transportation. Additional storm watches for the Florida peninsula are expected later today.

The 2005 hurricane season altered the record books again today with the formation of Tropical Storm Alpha south of Hispanola. Preliminary forecasts indicate TS Alpha will not affect the U.S. mainland.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Florida Department of Emergency Management

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image

Streaming Video:

WBBH-TV/WZVN-TV Ft. Myers (WMP): http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo
WESH-TV/DT Orlando/Daytona Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24028.ram
WFTV-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:20361.ram
WKMG-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:23942.ram
WPBF-TV/DT West Palm Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24035.ram
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://216.242.118.140/windowsmedia/asx/wsvn_broadband.asx
WTVJ-TV/DT Miami: http://nbc6.feedroom.com/iframeset.jsp?ord=381015
WPLG-TV/DT Miami (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/8660/live/reflector:23941.ram
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://wfor.dayport.com/viewer/content/special.php?Art_ID=612&Format_ID=2&BitRate_ID=8&Contract_ID=2&Obj_ID={obj_id}
WTSP-TV/DT St. Petersburg/Tampa (WMP): mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_sep252004_1915_64623
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm

Additional Resources:

Pet Friendly Florida Shelter Info
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
CrownWeather.com

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Wilma Part II
Hurricane Wilma Live Thread
Tropical Storm Wilma
Tropical Depression #24


TOPICS: Front Page News; Mexico; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: alpha; hurricane; tropical; wilma
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1 posted on 10/22/2005 1:25:12 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: kalee; kayak; kimmie7; Kretek; LA Woman3; lainie; LBKQ; Letitring; lexington minuteman 1775; ...

New thread...


2 posted on 10/22/2005 1:25:40 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: aberaussie; Alas Babylon!; Alia; Alice in Wonderland; alnick; Amelia; asp1; AntiGuv; Bahbah; ...

New thread...


3 posted on 10/22/2005 1:26:28 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse

After Wilma passes through can we borrow your Governor for awhile?


4 posted on 10/22/2005 1:28:20 PM PDT by quantim (I just reek of the antithesis of liberalism. They smell me and scatter like rats.)
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To: NautiNurse

I'm beginning to think we aren't going to get much here in Delray. Yippee! However, we did get the panel shutters up today, just in case!
susie


5 posted on 10/22/2005 1:29:48 PM PDT by brytlea (I'm not a conspiracty theorist....really.)
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To: nwctwx
Fortunately the pattern has changed quite a bit. It will be difficult to get anything into the Gulf after Wilma until at least 5-10 days into November. By then, we should be running out of time for more. I think we could get 3 or 4 names deep into the Greek alphabet though.
On Wilma, I see some newer models are strengthening her up on the trip to FL. Depending on where we get full interaction with the trough... she could come in a bit stronger than anticipated.

Tell me more about the new models, please. Any change in landfall location?

6 posted on 10/22/2005 1:30:36 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse

TS Algore


7 posted on 10/22/2005 1:30:51 PM PDT by MonroeDNA (Look for the union label--on the bat crashing through your windshield!)
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More models (18Z runs):

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/atlantic/early2.png


8 posted on 10/22/2005 1:31:27 PM PDT by Diddle E. Squat ("What's it all about, Alpha?")
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To: NautiNurse
Thanks for both the ping, and keeping these threads going.
9 posted on 10/22/2005 1:31:32 PM PDT by Termite_Commander (Warning: Cynical Right-winger Ahead)
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To: quantim

We love our Jeb:) Funny thing- the gov of South Carolina was asked this week what his first steps in hurricane prep would be- he said "Call Jeb" first.


10 posted on 10/22/2005 1:31:48 PM PDT by SE Mom (God Bless those who serve..)
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To: NautiNurse

I hope you get some rest this winter. Thanks again.


11 posted on 10/22/2005 1:32:26 PM PDT by Unknown Freeper (Doing my part...)
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To: NautiNurse

Although I seldom post on these threads, I follow them when I can. You have done a magnificent job with them! I recommend that we double your pay for this season ... ;-)


12 posted on 10/22/2005 1:32:39 PM PDT by kayak (Have you prayed for your President and our military today?)
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To: SE Mom
the gov of South Carolina was asked this week what his first steps in hurricane prep would be- he said "Call Jeb" first.

Priceless!

13 posted on 10/22/2005 1:32:39 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: All

It looks to me like 19:45 on the visible floater loop shows the center very close to the northern coast, almost on it. If she still had a defined 30 nm eye, I think the northern eyewall would be well over water right now. Looks like she's accelerating and leaving Cancun behind. She'll be in the GOM soon.


14 posted on 10/22/2005 1:33:04 PM PDT by laz (They can bus 'em to the polls, but they can't bus 'em out of the path of a Cat 5 hurricane.)
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To: NautiNurse

Here on the east coast, Vero Beach. Lot of folks boarding up, but other than that, not too crazy. No obscene lines at the gas stations or markets. Not yet, anyway.


15 posted on 10/22/2005 1:33:04 PM PDT by synbad600
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To: Termite_Commander

Glad to oblige


16 posted on 10/22/2005 1:33:11 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: Unknown Freeper
I hope you get some rest this winter.

From your keyboard to God's lcd monitor...

17 posted on 10/22/2005 1:34:31 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse
I don't think I'd be so quick to write off Alpha..

Interaction off the east coast of Florida could be very interesting, if not more trouble than might be forecasted at the moment.

18 posted on 10/22/2005 1:36:19 PM PDT by xcamel (No more RINOS - Not Now, Not Ever Again.)
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To: NautiNurse
Watching, waiting, wondering...

..We stay prepared around here, since the 4 hurricanes of last year.

We have lots of stored water, and practical supplies, batteries, etc.

We took pictures of the contents of our home for insurance purposes.

We've topped off the cars...and have meds handy.

We have finances in order ...to grab quickly.

We have canned stuff, soups, milk, stuff.

It's the tornadoes that worry me now....

..I've been through hurricanes, and the sounds will drive you crazy....

..but the tornadoes can come out of nowhere...suddenly.

19 posted on 10/22/2005 1:36:35 PM PDT by Guenevere (God bless our military!...and God bless the President of the United States!)
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To: NautiNurse
This is much worse than expected.

In the streets, office furniture and broken glass bobbed in water that sloshed between buildings. Residents watched the debris float by from upstairs balconies.

All of the laws of physics and bouyancy have been rescinded. Broken glass now floats! http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20051022/ap_on_re_la_am_ca/hurricane_wilma

20 posted on 10/22/2005 1:36:57 PM PDT by ARealMothersSonForever
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