Hurricane Wilma Discussion Number 18 Statement as of 5:00 pm EDT on October 19, 2005 Agreement among the track guidance models...which had been very good over the past couple of days...has completely collapsed today. The 06z runs of the GFS...GFDL...and NOGAPS models accelerated Wilma rapidly toward New England under the influence of a large low pressure system in the Great Lakes region. All three of these models have backed off of this solution...with the GFDL showing an extreme change...with its 5-day position shifting a mere 1650 nmi from its previous position in Maine to the western tip of Cuba. There is almost as much spread in the 5-day positions of the 12z GFS ensemble members...which range from the Yucatan to well east of the Delmarva Peninsula...
Simply amazing! If it wasn't so serious I would be LOL!
1,029 posted on 10/19/2005 3:27:03 PM PDT by CedarDave
(America's new fossil energy -- oil shale. Enviro-nazis newest endangered species -- the Shale Darter)