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Update: Category 5 Hurricane Rita - Live Thread, Part II
NHC - NOAA ^ | 21 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/21/2005 1:36:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Category 3 Hurricane Rita became the fifth major hurricane of the 2005 season during the night. Hurricane Rita threaded the needle through the Florida Straits and moved into the Gulf of Mexico. Storm damage in the Florida Keys and South Florida Peninsula was light, with scattered power outages, scattered tornados, and mild to moderate flooding.

Mandatory evacuations are in effect for Galveston County TX and New Orleans. Additional evacuation orders in the Greater Houston Metropolitan Area are anticipated throughout the day.

Crude oil prices reacted as oil producers shut down and evacuated workers from platforms in the Gulf of Mexico.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Eastern Gulf of Mexico
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico

Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Still Image

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KHOU-TV/DT Houston: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_khou
WWLTV NOLA

Additional Resources:

Coastal TX Evacuation Maps
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; katrina; katrinassister; rita; tropical; twinhurricanes
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To: NautiNurse

EEk thanks for that map. We have so many trees on the property here many of which cracked right off during a storm we had here a few months ago.

I have run into many evacuees that have come here to hunker down. One of which is an Exxon guy who took his family out of a city south of Houston. He said their weather reports are from their own service, I will try to find out more today. Yesterday he said Matagorda was the target at that point in time. Everything east of that is in danger of storm surge.


341 posted on 09/21/2005 5:50:16 AM PDT by WestCoastGal ( "Through thick & thin, the fans got my back. Bud team will start kicking butts again" THEY DID !!!)
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas
My mom is a widow lady that still lives in Austin. Is it gonna be safe there or do I need to get her out?

I spent three years in Austin and my brother in law is a cop there. I'm sending my family there tomorrow. She will be fine IF she is not in a flood prone area in one of the valleys and is prepared for no water or electricity for 5 days.

342 posted on 09/21/2005 5:50:21 AM PDT by HoustonCurmudgeon (Houston Astrodome - Compassionate Conservatism at work!)
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas
I think I'm gonna tell her to stock up on some water, gas, batteries just in case power lines go down. I think it would be silly for her to drive north since the highways are gonna be jammed.

Also consider that motel/hotel space is for the most part naught for the Austin area, at least those ones that list on the internet. Sister and I spent hours on the net and phone yesterday looking for space as far north as Temple with no real luck. I finally called one of my daughters in Waco and asked her to get out her local phone book and she found us 4 rooms at a decent local motel and we immediately jumped on them. On the internet there showed to be no rooms left after about 2PM for 200+ miles north of Houston. So, people might want to keep that in mind as there are still rooms available that don't list on the net.

343 posted on 09/21/2005 5:50:28 AM PDT by Ron H. (Tancredo has been Right all along on securing our borders.)
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To: HoustonCurmudgeon
then again I don't expect 1699 looters!

Leave the first one on the front sidewalk and you should have 1699 rounds left!

344 posted on 09/21/2005 5:50:33 AM PDT by IamConservative (Man will occasionally stumble over the truth, but most of the time will pick himself up and carry on)
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To: MEG33

My little brother lives in Houston...I imagine his family will head up to B/CS to stay with my parents. I don't know what he will do...he works for a major oil company and he just emailed me, said he was dealing with the rig situation right now.


345 posted on 09/21/2005 5:51:06 AM PDT by 2Jedismom (Doctor my eyes cannot be disguised. Is this the prize for having learned how not to cry?)
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To: NautiNurse

so are we.....rain bands have been coming through since Monday night...


346 posted on 09/21/2005 5:51:23 AM PDT by Guenevere (God bless our military!...and God bless the President of the United States!)
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To: silentknight
This looks to become a cat 5 hurricane

That's what I'm thinking. Not a happy thought.

347 posted on 09/21/2005 5:53:03 AM PDT by Bahbah (Praying for those in the path of Rita)
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To: texianyankee

I agree on the batteries and gas. Prayers for all along the Texas coast. May God have mercy.


348 posted on 09/21/2005 5:53:10 AM PDT by Don'tMessWithTexas
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To: WoodstockCat
I'm concerned for Austin too...

..what's the prognosis?

349 posted on 09/21/2005 5:53:13 AM PDT by Guenevere (God bless our military!...and God bless the President of the United States!)
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas

Amen


350 posted on 09/21/2005 5:54:36 AM PDT by MEG33 (Just N of The Woodlands..N of Houston)
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To: nascarnation
NOLA: don't worry be happy TX: Git R Done!

If you are in Texas, it's time to call in the dogs, pee on the fire and head for the hills.

351 posted on 09/21/2005 5:54:51 AM PDT by IamConservative (Man will occasionally stumble over the truth, but most of the time will pick himself up and carry on)
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To: WoodstockCat

Ausitn's power grid is pretty dependable. If we get tornados like we did during Alan(1980) things might get alittle more interesting.

I'm abit concerned about the nuke reactors outside of Bay city, near Matagorda. Looks like possible landfall area.


352 posted on 09/21/2005 5:54:55 AM PDT by wolfcreek
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To: NautiNurse

DIE RITA!!!!!


353 posted on 09/21/2005 5:55:50 AM PDT by brothers4thID (Do you stand with us, or are you going to just stand in the way?)
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To: Ron H.

Plus there is some sort of music festival scheduled for this weekend in Austin. Alot of rooms in Austin have been reserved for folks going to that. I would head north toward DFW where there are bound to be lots of rooms. I am inclined to advise my mom to stay in Austin. If she is going to leave, I would think she should do it this afternoon or evening.


354 posted on 09/21/2005 5:57:39 AM PDT by Don'tMessWithTexas
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To: HoustonCurmudgeon
I don't know my reference points for Austin....

..but my son lives about 5 miles from the Arburetum....close to a preserve and springs.

Should I be worried?

Do you really think they will be without water/power?

355 posted on 09/21/2005 5:57:48 AM PDT by Guenevere (God bless our military!...and God bless the President of the United States!)
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To: jeffers
Very interesting info. Thanks. For the links - the storm surge info for the Yosemite.epa.gov document begins on page 13.

For the second document, the hurricane info begins on page 8.

356 posted on 09/21/2005 5:57:49 AM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: NautiNurse

BREAKING...CAT 5(unoffically) DVORAK TECHNIQUE estimating 160-165 MPH winds now and a presuure of 917mb..will be interesting to see how the NHC handles this..will they upgrade to CAT 5 now or wait until recon gets in there


357 posted on 09/21/2005 5:58:14 AM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: janetjanet998
Yowser - please let me know when you find official statement.

Thanks.

358 posted on 09/21/2005 5:59:46 AM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: Zacs Mom

That is a great idea. I would have never thought of that.


359 posted on 09/21/2005 6:00:08 AM PDT by CajunConservative ("Dem's can bus people to the polls but can't bus them out of danger to save their lives.")
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To: janetjanet998
BREAKING...CAT 5(unoffically) DVORAK TECHNIQUE estimating 160-165 MPH winds now and a presuure of 917mb..

Which agency? SAB and AFWA both have T 6.0 at 8AM, which is 115 knots, and they only do a Dvorak analysis every 6 hours.

And there's only one other official agency, TAFB, that does them.

360 posted on 09/21/2005 6:01:32 AM PDT by Strategerist
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