Hurricane Rita Live Thread

NHC - NOAA ^ | 20 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

[johnb838]

right side of eye the hurricane is worst winds and rain

"The Dirty Side"

[shield]

Forward speed of Rita...all models should be lining up tonight or the very wee hours of Wednesday, is the correct?

[jpsb]

Friend just called me a told me Galveston County is ordering a manitory evacuation tomorrow 5pm. I think she meant city not county but unless the track changes pretty quick expect all kinds of evacuation orders in greater Houston area.

[Termite_Commander]

My own experience was up in Michigan from a basement as one went overhead and it sounded like a loud, low grinding motor flying across with 20 sreaming banshees and Hillary Clinton throwing plates at Bill and leaving in a cloud of dust.

That's not usually how I hear it described on TV. =)

[Sally'sConcerns]

mark

[DrewsMum]

um, hcoem.com i think takes them to Lufkin

[numberonepal]

Key West will be a different world for this storm.

Key West has a bad few hours ahead of it, and the worst is just starting. Sombrero Key was seeing nearly sustained hurricane winds an hour ago. I imagine it's a bit worse there now and getting worse by the minute at Sand Key and Key West.

[DrewsMum]

ok,thanks for the info,,,,,

[KSApplePie_two]

CAT 2

[Miztiki]

www.hcoem.org, not .com

[KSApplePie_two]

100 MPH winds per hurricane hunters 1pm adv.

[DrewsMum]

.com takes you to org anyways,,,,my bad

[jpsb]

Wendesday is the day to make the go stay decsion.

[No Blue States]

Cat 2 now? that didnt take long..

Sat loops, fast loading:

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsdsol/TROPICAL.html

[LikeLight]

Thanks - just wanted to any prevent confusion from building up.

[nwctwx]

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Weather Observations
Temperature: 72 F (22 C)
Wind is From the North at 1 MPH
Humidity: 78%
Pressure: 1022.5mb
Conditions: Fog/Mist
Sep 20, 8:55 am EDT

Warn: (0%) ------+


000
WTNT63 KNHC 201711
TCUAT3
HURRICANE RITA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
115 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005

DATA FROM A NOAA PLANE INDICATE THAT RITA HAS REACHED 100 MH WINDS
AND IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE
SCALE. THIS WILL BE REFLECTED IN A SPECIAL ADVISORY AT 2 PM EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

[Dog Gone]

Forward speed of Rita...all models should be lining up tonight or the very wee hours of Wednesday, is the correct?

I'm not sure. The Navy model has been consistently far south of the other models. It's an anomaly, but it hasn't come back into line yet.

My expectation is that we'll have a pretty good idea by late Wednesday evening, and possibly tomorrow afternoon.

Right now, the highest probability appears to be a landfall somewhere between Corpus Christi and Galveston, but that's a significant stretch of land. A Corpus landfall wouldn't effect you or me with anything more than strong thunderstorms, I suspect. But anything east of Matagorda Bay is going to be a serious problem.

[nwctwx]

oops, bad cut/paste job.

and caps to boot! Nauti will be angry. ;-)

[jpsb]

Carla, 2005? Damn hope not.

[KSApplePie_two]

with 89-90 water temps, its got plenty of good fuel to to go cat 3 by tonight. IMHO.