Looks like it will be on top of my house sometime Wednesday, though.
Posted on 09/10/2005 2:31:49 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Ophelia continues to churn off the off the coast of the Carolinas with a track that has confounded computer models and meteorologists for days. Hurricane watches are issued for much of the SC and NC coastline. Northern GA and southern VA coastal areas are currently within the three day cone of uncertainty. Check local NWS service for updates.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track Graphics, Satellite
Ophelia Track Forecast Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE U.S.
Myrtle Beach NWS Local Hurricane Statements
Wilmington NC NWS Local Hurricane Statements
Images:
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater WV Still Image
Morehead City Long Range Radar Loop
Wilmington NC Long Range Radar Loop
Charleston SC Long Range Radar Loop
Wakefield VA Radar
Morehead City Experimental Radar may experience delays or outages
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Ophelia Wind Field Graphic
Additional Resources:
Myrtle Beach Online
WECT-6 Wilmington News
WVEC-13 Hampton Roads/Norfolk
Hurricane City
Myrtle Beach Web Reports Surf & traffic cams
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
You see the sunset tonight?
It is that sickly yellow glaze over everything.
Batten down!
We went through Bonnie and Isabel without a problem, no electric for a week but that's nothing.
Keep "shooing". Maybe it'll skirt Hatteras and head out to sea and miss us ALL.
Yomama the Weather Bird is singing her empty little head off, so maybe the storm is going away from Georgia.
( Or, she's singing to attract the rainy season, in hopes of finding a mate... I've never been too sure what it really means. )
Ophelia is once again a hurricane and drifting in the Atlantic ocean. The latest track has her coming ashore south of Myrtle Beach Tuesday and heading north. Right now, the latest track has the center of circulation passing to our east, but we will likely see at least a few showers and storms as a result on Tuesday and Wednesday. These systems have a mind of their own and can change in a matter of hours. Stay tuned for the latest updates.
Gabz and MoJo...y'all can come stay with me!
I am not familiar with that part of NC - what towns are right at the coast there near the SC border?
...Hurricane hunter reports Ophelia just a little farther to the east...
a Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the southeast coast of the United States from the Savannah River South Carolina northeastward to Cape Lookout North Carolina. The Hurricane Watch may have to be shifted northward later tonight or Sunday. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area... generally within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 8 PM EDT...0000z...the center of Hurricane Ophelia was located near latitude 31.8 north...longitude 75.9 west or about 255 miles east-southeast of Charleston South Carolina and about 235 miles south of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.
Ophelia has been drifting toward the northeast. Little motion is anticipated the rest of tonight or Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph...130 km/hr...with higher gusts. Ophelia is a category one hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. No significant change in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 30 miles... 45 km... from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles...220 km.
The minimum central pressure just reported by an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft is 977 mb...28.85 inches.
Repeating the 8 PM EDT position...31.8 N... 75.9 W. Movement toward...drifting northeastward. Maximum sustained winds... 80 mph. Minimum central pressure... 977 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 11 PM EDT.
Forecaster Beven
Charleston, SC here . . . . prayers for those up north.
^^^bump^^^
Just lovely - not.
I know you folks got hit with Isabel much worse than we did.....something about the Chesapeake Bay :)
works for me!!!!!!!!!!
The center is further east than earlier thought as well. The more time that goes on, the more it seems Ophelia may end up barely hitting the coast.. if at all.
Local weather for me is out of Norfolk. Now that we switched from cable to satellite I don't get the much closer Maryland stations anymore. Weather forecasts out of salisbury/Ocean City are far more accurate for me than from Norfolk because they are getting their wx mostly from Wallops Island which is 15 miles due east of me.........
If she's singing her head off, it must mean the storm is going away . . . because it IS going away, apparently.
(unless she changes her mind again . . . the original Ophelia was kind of a ditz, that's what they get for naming the storm after her . . . she fell in a stream and got drowned, too.)
Have you ever used:
www.intellicast.com
Punch in your zip code, they click "regional radar". You can scroll the radar map.
Very good news. I hope this holds true. We need the rain really badly. But never need the wind or the spinoff tornadoes.
(I am in central NC - near Raleigh - right up I40 from Wilmington - with lots of tall thick pines surrounding my home).
Looks like it will be on top of my house sometime Wednesday, though.
I've never used that one - although I have used several other similar ones. I will check it out, thanks. I was talking about TV weather, and what is considered local for me.
It that model holds it will be well back out to sea - but directly opposite my house on Thursday.
I'm in Delmarva, too...hmmm...
Just once, before I die...the following exchange on the Weather Channel:
"So, Doctor Lyons...where do you think Ophelia is headed next?"
Well, Jenetta...damned if I know. Seriously...I don't have a frickin' clue, and neither does anyone else. And that includes that wingnut Bastardi!
It'll be on top of mine Tuesday.
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