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Locked on 08/29/2005 2:09:55 PM PDT by Admin Moderator, reason: |
Posted on 08/29/2005 2:47:45 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Category 4 Hurricane Katrina is approaching landfall in Eastern Louisiana. At 4:00AM EDT the storm's center was about 90 miles south of New Orleans.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Lake Ponchartrain Real Time Water Level
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
Cut and Paste:
http://www.wwltv.com/perl/common/video/wmPlayer.pl?title=beloint_khou&props=livenoad
Fully-linked version of the live feeds (just in case a few people don't want to first open up WMP to cut-and-paste) -
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/
1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT
Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast
.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518 WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans via WESH-TV/DT Orlando - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38843.asx
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VII
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Bush thinking about releasing some of the oil reserves...breaking news Fox
Hmmm, I wonder who the guys were in camo yesterday that I saw escorting people outside of the dome. Probably FReepers sent by Rove to fool people into thinking we had some Guard left here. And how stupid to think that the main purpose of the National Guard, members of the finest fighting force ever,is to deliver ice to people after hurricanes and pick up debris.
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS-BATON ROUGE LA
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
950 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
HARRISON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
* UNTIL 1045 AM CDT
* AT 947 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF INTENSE EYEWALL WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH VERY DANGEROUS HURRICANE KATRINA MOVING THROUGH SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
THE LEADING EDGE OF DESTRUCTIVE WINDS EXTENDEED FROM 18 MILES NORTHWEST OF LYMAN TO 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GULFPORT AND OFFSHORE...MOVING NORTH AT 18 MPH.
* THE ONSET OF DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WITH GUSTS OF 100 TO 120 MPH WILL BE NOTED WITH THIS LINE. THESE DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WILL PRODUCE WIND DAMAGE SIMILAR TO A TORNADO OVER LARGE AREAS.
http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/la/tornado.html
What good is tapping the SPR going to do without increased refinery capacity?
Aren't there any "on the spot" reports from people on site? It seems that they would be more accurate than the newspeople just speculating and the weather people who are more often wrong than right.
Plus, at this point, the winds are due north over Ponchatrain - which is the greatest chance for the lake levees to be topped. Hopefully they're high enough - but it's gonna be close.
...Center of powerful Hurricane Katrina again moving ashore...near the Louisiana-Mississippi border...continues pounding southeastern Louisiana and southern Mississippi...
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the north central Gulf Coast from Morgan City Louisiana eastward to the Alabama/Florida border...including the city of New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain.
At 10 am CDT...1500z..all hurricane watches are discontinued. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from east of the Alabama/Florida border to Indian Pass Florida...and from west of Morgan City to Cameron Louisiana.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 10 am CDT...1500z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was located near latitude 30.2 north... longitude 89.6 west. This position is near the mouth of the Pearl River...about 35 miles east-northeast of New Orleans Louisiana and about 45 miles west-southwest of Biloxi Mississippi.
Katrina is moving toward the north near 16 mph...and this general motion is expected to continue today and tonight. On this track the center will move over southern Mississippi today and into central Mississippi this evening.
Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph...with higher gusts. Katrina is now a category three hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Winds affecting the upper floors of high rise buildings will be significantly stronger than those near ground level. Weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours as the center moves over land. However...hurricane force winds are expected to spread as far as 150 miles inland along the path of Katrina. See inland hurricane and tropical storm warnings from National Weather Service forecast offices.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 125 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 230 miles.
The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft is 927 mb...27.37 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 15 to 20 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of the center. Storm surge flooding of 10 to 15 feet...near the tops of the levees...is still possible in the greater New Orleans area. Significant storm surge flooding is occurring elsewhere along the central and northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast.
Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches...with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches...are possible along the path of Katrina across the Gulf Coast and the Tennessee Valley. Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are possible across the Ohio Valley into the eastern Great Lakes region Tuesday and Wednesday.
A few tornadoes are possible over portions of southern and eastern Mississippi...southern and central Alabama...and the western Florida Panhandle today.
Repeating the 10 am CDT position...30.2 N... 89.6 W. Movement toward...north near 16 mph. Maximum sustained winds...125 mph. Minimum central pressure... 927 mb.
Intermediate advisories will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at noon CDT and 2 PM CDT followed by the next complete advisory at 4 PM CDT.
Forecaster Pasch
You're just a chick magnet aren't you...:-)
Fox News does Breaking News Alerts?
Kay, that was stupid and over the top on my part. I apologize to SS and will get the post removed.
She is one stupid woman, just think, she was a teacher in her previous life.
During Isabel, the tunnel between Norfolk and Portsmouth didn't get its doors closed in time because they hadn't been tested and flooded. Hampton Roads tunnel doors jammed during testing before the hurrican arrived, but no flooding.
Guess which tunnel manager lost his job.
Have there any reports from Slidell?
CNN's Gary Tuchman in Gulfport just had something fly through the window of their vehicle. Tuchman's saying Gulfport is getting nailed. And they're about 10 minutes away from getting the eyewall.
It would help some, by offsetting lost production and keeping the price of crude from spiking. But you are absolutely correct that the reduced refining capacity will have the greater short (and possibly mid) term impact.
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