Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VII

NOAA - NHC ^ | 28 August 2005 | NOAA - NHC

[NautiNurse]

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin conceded that as many as 100,000 inner-city residents didn't have the means to leave and an untold number of tourists were stranded by the closing of the airport. At this hour, people are still filing into the Superdome after security screening for weapons and contraband. National Guard have brought in 360,000 MRE (meals ready to eat) to feed the estimated 30,000 storm refugees in the Superdome.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

Fully-linked version of the live feeds (just in case a few people don't want to first open up WMP to cut-and-paste) -

WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/

1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT

Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast

.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518 WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans via WESH-TV/DT Orlando - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38843.asx

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[CFC__VRWC]

I've been following the radar for the last few hours, to try to account for the wobbles. Overall, I have seen very little deviation from the due north path it's currently following, and that path would pretty much split the difference between your straightline and modeled approximations. But I'm just a dumb engineer and I don't do storm tracking for a living. :)

What does your trend analysis tell you?

[Admin Moderator]

Stay off this thread.

[Frank_2001]

Good, I would be upset if I saw anyone out there. Prayers to all in the path of this storm!

[Semper911]

does appear to be a biblical-level storm that's going to cook Louisiana's goose....

...come hell AND high water.

[spanalot]

There are some great Seafood Recipes from Atlantis

[NautiNurse]

Nighters--we'll be here when you check back in with us. Take care.

[Artemis Webb]

ROFL !!!

[jveritas]

That is not funny.

[pnz1]

Fox-"Direct hit by sunrise"..

[pax_et_bonum]

WWL (via streaming) reporting that Texas Urban Search and Rescue team on standby for deployment to NO...

Those poor, poor people.... and their children.

[goodnesswins]

You must be nervous......too....as everyone is....but, please.....don't try to make yourself KING of this thread...the recipes are HARMLESS as is the idle chatter between news of what's to come.

[hoosiermama]

A special prayer for your daughter.

[BCrago66]

To be honest, I don't know what post you're responding to or what you're talking about; so I guess you win that argument, whatever it was.

[RummyChick]

I think it is a multi factor issue. Many times where the hurricane didn't do the predicted damage or missed them completely.

Coupled with the fact that there must be families with priceless historical items in the collections. They know there will be looting.

Unfortunately, this time - they are going to be hit.

And insurance companies are going to face bankruptcy.

[Admin Moderator]

You're watching too, huh?

[Black Tooth]

If it wasn't for the comic relief and recipes shared between reports I don't know how I would have lasted

So jokes are OK too.

What the heck,

My wife's birthday was yesterday, she wanted something that went from zero to 200 fast! So I bought her a bathroom scale.

[commish]

Good night all. Prayers for the people of NO, LA, and Miss.

I cannot access FR from work, so I probably won't be on until tomorrow evening. I pray that the next post I make will not be a eulogy for the city of New Orleans.

[DB]

What elevation are those generators?

How is the sewage going to work in the Super Dome if the city is flooded?

Doesn't look good to me...

[Admin Moderator]

You ARE the weakest link, bye-bye.

[battlegearboat]

Now you have really pissed off the FR bangers.

There they are, with their green visors, charts with circles and arrows, printers chugging away as more hp ink is poured in, working harder than you can imagine to remain real-time, up-to-date, on top of Doppler data and then you come along, in your pretty pink apron, with some loathesome recipe for Pot Liquor or some such rot and you just don't get it, do you, Miss Betty "bonfire" Crocker!

Get your biscuits in the oven and buns in bed.

Do you read me, Sparky?!