Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VII

NOAA - NHC ^ | 28 August 2005 | NOAA - NHC

[NautiNurse]

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin conceded that as many as 100,000 inner-city residents didn't have the means to leave and an untold number of tourists were stranded by the closing of the airport. At this hour, people are still filing into the Superdome after security screening for weapons and contraband. National Guard have brought in 360,000 MRE (meals ready to eat) to feed the estimated 30,000 storm refugees in the Superdome.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

Fully-linked version of the live feeds (just in case a few people don't want to first open up WMP to cut-and-paste) -

WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/

1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT

Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast

.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518 WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans via WESH-TV/DT Orlando - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38843.asx

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[lizma]

There was a "daily kos" post that blamed Bush and claimed God hates Repub but it seems to have disappeared. It was pretty sad.

[filbert]

We can speculate all we want to on the dome. The fact is that those people are in there now and CAN'T move. The best thing we can do now is pray for them.

Well said. It does no good to worry about the aerodynamic properties of the Superdome roof at this point. Better at this point to pray and to figure out which charity (charities) to send money to.

[justche]

wondering if your mom and my dad's side are related somewhere??? *LOL*

[Semper911]

Did Shep go to the Superdome?

Now that you mention it, I really don't know. I just assumed he would meet up with the other Fox dudes in the dome. But I do know that they can't broadcast out of there like they thought they would be able to.

Am I the only one who really wants to know what is going on in there? Those people must be getting hungry 'bout now. And what happens when they cut the power in advance of the storm? (And they will...)

[Domestic Church]

"We are not entertaining you but making ourselves ready for what is to come."

Exactly...I've wrapped towels around my crockpots in the past when the power went out and feed the family hot food for hours and hours.

[Sir Francis Dashwood]

I think Shep also said that there are some very rich people there who refuse to leave, I don't get that.

Some people are so shortsighted, they are more fearful of looters and worldly things than losing their own lives...

[bonfire]

Heard that the Dome is on higher ground. Wonder just HOW high?

[U S Army EOD]

Just mix cinnamon with brown sugar and put a lot of butter on the bread, dust it with the mixture and then toast it.

[Sonar5]

I'm quite sure he will go there. This will be a tragedy of epic proportions.

[Black Tooth]

I love Jello!

[TypeZoNegative]

Is it big enough to support 2 sports teams?

[mhking]

WWL-TV switching facilities from New Orleans to LSU in Baton Rouge.

[neodad]

Utah? No hurricanes there.

[Pirogue Captain]

"For anyone wanted to get a feel for early NO (1840) I recommend the Benjamin January mysteries by Barbara Hambly."



Thanks. Just book marked them on Amazon for later purchase.

Did you ever read A Confederacy of Dunces? That was one funny book.

[jeffers]

"The New Orleans radar still shows it bearing down right on top of the city. Some of the heavier bands nearer the center of the storm are starting to enter the city. Conditions south of the city look very bad
already, and getting much worse rapidly."

Using radar to plot the course is risky. The loops are too short to capture much more than one or part of one wobble.

I transfer the coordinates given by the Forecast Discussions and Vortex data to a mapping program and extrapolate at very high resolution.

Still, with the forecast curve to the north, straightline approximations are all but useless this far out, so I've been plotting the +12 and +24 hour computer model positions too.

Right now they say the eye passes some 25 miles east of the center of downtown New Orleans, while the straightline approximations show it passing less than or equal to the same distance west of downtown.

If you understand the ramifications of the geometry of whatever strike we get out of this, you see that the ambivalence makes what I'm doing worthless for predictive purposes, but it does help us keeop track of trends over time.

[PhiKapMom]

I never thought of that -- I am about out of Tobasco and Louisiana Hot Sauce. Was at the grocery earlier today. Know where I am going first thing!

Thanks for the reminder.

[Jeff Head]

God bless you. You are doing an outstanding job and providing an invaluable service.

[paulat]

Your name is appropriate.

[TypeZoNegative]

Yeah, Utah will benefit, after all, it doesn't have a football nor a basketball team ;).