Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VII

NOAA - NHC ^ | 28 August 2005 | NOAA - NHC

[NautiNurse]

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin conceded that as many as 100,000 inner-city residents didn't have the means to leave and an untold number of tourists were stranded by the closing of the airport. At this hour, people are still filing into the Superdome after security screening for weapons and contraband. National Guard have brought in 360,000 MRE (meals ready to eat) to feed the estimated 30,000 storm refugees in the Superdome.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

Fully-linked version of the live feeds (just in case a few people don't want to first open up WMP to cut-and-paste) -

WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/

1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT

Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast

.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518 WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans via WESH-TV/DT Orlando - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38843.asx

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[NautiNurse]

The storm is trying to suck in some dry air--we could see some more weakening in the next few hours.

[rolling_stone]

I believe cajungirl is in BR also..did you see the sign in thread for those near the storm? Stay calm and stay safe!

[FreedomPoster]

True. I think it's coming ashore at a pretty optimal time. At one point, I'm thinking 12-15 hours ago, it was moving slower, and the predicted landfall was more like 11AM. The it sped up slightly, such that it's coming ashore shortly.

I'm saying I think this is better, since a storm coming ashore at 11AM would have been somewhat additionally-energized by the AM sun.

You've got to look for every little bit of silver lining you can get, on this one. :-\

[LibSnubber]

"However they live in Metarie, so we will just have to wait and see how extensive damage is."

I've got fly. in Metairie too (as well as Chalmette, Kenner, N.O. East, Mandeville and Slidell). Grew up in Metairie; 2 of 3 my kids were born there. Glad to hear your family got out early and I'm praying for them all.

You be careful, I hear you're going to get some serious wind/rain in BR. Is that still true?

[LibertyRocks]

I am witnessing wind and rain really starting to pick up in New Orleans on the two webcams I have open. One is outside the Cat's Meow and the other is along St. Charles. The cam on St. Charles is starting to bump around a bit, so I'm guessing that one will be lost first... Rain is pretty much obscuring the view outside the Cat's Meow.

[stlnative]

It is raining super hard in the French Quarters now...

The street can hardly been seen now on the BeadCam (click on BeadCam at link...

http://www.nola.com/bourbocam/

[M. Espinola]

Great loop!

[Ellesu]

Yes, thanks, signed in. I will.

[spunkets]

Thanks very much. This storm looks to be at least 4X larger, but could be 6X larger in energy than Camile. It's hard to eyeball and it's too late here to do anymore.

[NautiNurse]

Haven't heard from LA Woman3 since she called me back and put me on speaker phone with her neighbors! She was pouring a big glass of wine for the trip--since she wasn't driving--lol.

[stlnative]

It coming down hard on the Beadcam (Cat's Meow) cam

[Ellesu]

Don't know , it's been raining steady but nothing bad so far. Did all your family get out?

[Hank Rearden]

Already at the press conferences the politicians have whined about the need to get the rest of America to rebuild its wetlands to help protect it from future storm surges.

They just want the rest of America to pay for a new DisneyOrleans so they can hustle back to doing what they do - trading in corruption. If America says "hell no!", they'll be unemployed Three Card Monte street hustlers.

[Drago]

Lots of rigs/refineries in path of Katrina...$70.00 oil by Wed., U.S average gas price >$3. by Labor Day??

[Ellesu]

She is a hoot! I guess she went on to Texas or she would have checked in.

[spunkets]

See #2009. USAF0021 found some more data.

[NautiNurse]

OMG--she was cracking me up--"blonde Aggie" OMG--was telling me her Waco stories.

[maggief]

Vortex Data Message

000
URNT12 KNHC 290834
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 29/08:23:00Z
B. 28 deg 38 min N
089 deg 37 min W
C. 700 mb 2367 m
D. NA kt
E. deg nm
F. 159 deg 130 kt
G. 070 deg 018 nm
H. EXTRAP 917 mb
I. 10 C/ 3013 m
J. 19 C/ 3012 m
K. 19 C/ NA
L. OPEN SE-SW
M. C32
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF305 2012A KATRINA OB 22
MAX FL WIND 132 KT SE QUAD 07:06:20 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 700 MB
EYE OPEN 150-230 DEGREES

[LibertyRocks]

Sure is... sheets of rain down the street. The trees in front of the cam on St. Charles don't look too thick and they are doing well so far so the gusts aren't that strong yet...

[LibSnubber]

To the best of my knowledge, they all evacuated safely and most are from here to Texas. God only knows what will left waiting for them when they're able to get back. It's surreal, isn't it?