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Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI
NOAA - NHC ^ | 28 August 2005 | NOAA - NHC

Posted on 08/28/2005 2:38:16 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. Thousands of people did not evacuate New Orleans. Outer bands of Katrina are reaching the Louisiana coast.

Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be in their safe locations.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Buoy Data Florida

Images:


New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:


Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; livehurricanekatrina; tropical
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To: Petronski
This is sadly reminiscent of my last trip to Phang Nga before the tsunami. The hotels there looked like the one in which Shep Smith is staying before the wave hit and looked like piles scrap lumber after. Best hope and wishes for those stuck in the French Quarter and all of NO.
641 posted on 08/28/2005 3:51:14 PM PDT by JimSEA
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To: rwfromkansas

My husband just got a call from his brother who works for CentCom in Tampa (retired Navy Lt-Commander, rehired as civilian), he says he's never seen anything like this, the sheer size/power of the thing - hurricane force winds 200 miles across, twice the width of the FL penninsula. They're getting rain bands in Tampa right now.


642 posted on 08/28/2005 3:51:26 PM PDT by agrace (Where were you when I founded the earth? Tell me if you know so much. Job 38:4)
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To: onyx

See #631. Hope you are safe.


643 posted on 08/28/2005 3:51:28 PM PDT by Peach (South Carolina is praying for our Gulf coast citizens.)
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To: Beelzebubba

I'm not going to argue with a lawyer....LOL!

I did sleep at a Holiday Inn Express once AND I do some design work on the 'side'...I'm comfortable with my analysis.

G


644 posted on 08/28/2005 3:51:35 PM PDT by GRRRRR (We have better people in America than Cindy Sheehan....)
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To: NautiNurse

Bogey lost power.


645 posted on 08/28/2005 3:51:36 PM PDT by Howlin (She's here!)
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To: toomanygrasshoppers
Amen --- from the Oregon Coast Range mountains.
646 posted on 08/28/2005 3:51:47 PM PDT by investigateworld ( Abortion stops a beating heart.)
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To: RegulatorCountry

It's obviously benefiting/comforting them, or they wouldn't be here. It's the nature of people.


647 posted on 08/28/2005 3:51:50 PM PDT by RDTF
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To: Torie

Max Mayfield is excellent.


648 posted on 08/28/2005 3:52:00 PM PDT by advance_copy (Stand for life, or nothing at all)
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To: Amelia

I thought they did start a voluntary evac last night? If not, then when did they?


649 posted on 08/28/2005 3:52:04 PM PDT by kx9088
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To: hole_n_one

The Darwin-Award-Nominees are certainly free to make their own decisions....however, they should not expect authorities to come rescue them when their stupidity puts them in a life-threatening situation.


650 posted on 08/28/2005 3:52:05 PM PDT by shezza (God Bless Our Troops)
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To: Howlin
This is definitely an annular hurricane.

...with anal retentive reporters


Doogle
651 posted on 08/28/2005 3:52:09 PM PDT by Doogle (8th AF...4077thTFW....408MMS....Ubon Thailand "69"..Night Line Delivery ..AMMO)
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To: NautiNurse

The NO experimental radar for those that can get it...

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/lix_N0Z_lp.shtml


652 posted on 08/28/2005 3:52:12 PM PDT by MikefromOhio (It's called having class.....)
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To: Enchante
"Yes, so I guess what I'm wondering is if the dams and levees that the Army Corps of Engineers has been using for decades to keep the Mississippi on its present course are vulnerable or not. I have no idea, I'm just wondering what it would take in terms of water flow to overwhelm the existing system, and would that have permanent effects?"

I grew up in north Pointe Coupee, which is just north of the Atchafalya Spillway and south of the Old River Control Structure (which are the main two "flood control structures" to keep the Mississippi from "re-channeling" down the Atchafalaya, and they are designed for (as I recall) an amount of water 3X the 1927 flood (largest of historical record). No hurricane is going to drop that amount of water, and those structures are so massive (and low) that they are invulnerable to wind damage.

653 posted on 08/28/2005 3:52:19 PM PDT by Wonder Warthog (The Hog of Steel)
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To: RummyChick

I'm betting they end up at the Superdome like the Fox reporter who is doing live interviews. That guy said he was going to be in the Superdome with them, which I think is a good thing. Seeing some well-known, famous, or wealthier people in the shelters may bring a calm to the poor and stranded - like they are all in it together and not being singled out for certain death. That's my opinion.


654 posted on 08/28/2005 3:52:27 PM PDT by mabelkitty (Lurk forever, but once you post, your newbness shines like a new pair of shoes.)
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To: EBH
Shep sounds worried, albeit even scared for himself.

Huh! Didn't think he was capable of understanding "scared".

Humorous story: http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=46009
Apparently ss was chatting up someone in a hotel, asking him why he was there, and the guy (to his credit) said "None of your f-----g business"; on-mic on-air.

655 posted on 08/28/2005 3:52:29 PM PDT by solitas (So what if I support an OS that has fewer flaws than yours? 'Mystic' dual 500 G4's, OSX.4.2)
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To: MikeinIraq

yep


656 posted on 08/28/2005 3:53:07 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: tomahawk

Neither have I. I am terrified for everyone in its path!
Sending urgent, almost desperate prayers, and it isn't helping hearing things coming off Fox News like "50,000" casualties... 50% of people stuck/left in New Orleans are children!


657 posted on 08/28/2005 3:53:10 PM PDT by cgk (We'll have to deal w/ the networks. One way to do that is to drain the swamp they live in - Rumsfeld)
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To: Pyro7480

Nice image. See the purple blob SW of the eyewall?

That's tomorrow's energy budget.

If it turns north, then the best we can hope for is for the eyewall to come ashore when the spiral inflow path between that point and the eyewall is feeding the minimum energy into the storm. In other words, when the SW purple blob is halfway from where it is now and being pulled into the eyewall.


658 posted on 08/28/2005 3:53:21 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: oceanview

It has turned more northerly, but just more in line with the NHC track. Earlier, it was actually going more to the west of the track.

Unless it starts actually going nne here, there is not much hope for NO, and somebody will get battered in any event.


659 posted on 08/28/2005 3:53:27 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://www.xanga.com/home.aspx?user=rwfromkansas)
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To: pollyg107

Shoot, they've issued an Inland Tropical Storm warning here in TN!


660 posted on 08/28/2005 3:53:31 PM PDT by Warren_Piece (Nashville, TN)
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