Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III

NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[janetjanet998]

check out the size and irs still growing
infrared...
http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html

vis shot here
http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

WV here
http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconuswv.html

[Tarheel]

Yep. In the face of a Cat 3 or Cat 4 'cane! Mr. Foxy and I just looked at each other with our jaws dropped.

[CajunConservative]

Oh yeah she's from here, she's a Babineaux, born in Iberia parish. She should know what to do just because she's from the southern part of the state. Stupid is as stupid does though.

[Ernest_at_the_Beach]

Speaking of dolts, you should've seen the weathergirl on CNN earlier announcing the "good news" that the pressure on Katrina had dropped. "The more it drops, the better it is for us."

ROFL!

[NautiNurse]

2:30PM CDT New Orleans local hurricane statement

[dawn53]

Hey they had good timing. My sister and her family (the ones in Atlanta) left for Alaska yesterday. They're doing the whole 9 yards, Anchorage, Fairbanks and Denali.

When models showed this storm headed toward Panhandle and then Atlanta, she was a little concerned because they'd be away when it came through.

But by the time they left this AM, the track had shifted west and she felt better about leaving.

Sort of OT, but I was wondering about homes in NO. I know the buildings in the old part of the city look like they definitely won't hold up to strong hurricane winds, but what about new construction...was wondering about the construction codes in NO.

Since we put an addition on a couple years ago, and I started learning about Miami-Dade code, I often wonder about other communities on the Gulf and wonder if they, too, adopted stronger building codes after seeing the damage that Andrew caused.

[Diddle E. Squat]

Thanks for the link. The contraflow plan looks pretty good. What would make it even better would be for the state to have some emergency gasoline trucks run those routes to refuel the stranded. Hopefully that is already a part of it.

[Types_with_Fist]

They also reported on Fox that hotels are booked solid as far to the north as Nashville and as far west as Dallas.

[NautiNurse]

Speaking of dolts, you should've seen the weathergirl on CNN earlier announcing the "good news" that the pressure on Katrina had dropped.

Some guy on TWC last night said at least four times that Hurricane Andrew (1992) came ashore 10 years, and 10 days ago.

[oldleft]

I'm sure there will be a ton of open shelters in Shreveport and the like. I just hope people are taking this seriously enough. I remember when I first moved to LA people told me all the time how bad a cat 5 hitting NO would be so it kind of gets hammered in. Kind of like earthquakes in CA.

[LibSnubber]

"The comments are amazing on that discussion site."

I had to go check it out myself after reading comments here. Here's a good one:

"I remember - this exact scenario was posed to Blanco and Bobby Jindal during a debate in the Governor's election - "What would you do if there is a category 4 or 5 hurricane off of the Louisiana coast, expected to hit Louisiana in 36 hours?" Bobby's response was to contact Washington DC to get an early disaster declaration, release the National Guard, etc. All Blanco said was "Um, I'd conatct the media, and, um, I'd work with the media, and um...."

So far, she's sticking to her plan."

[NautiNurse]

That web cam is hanging up the thread.

[Dog Gone]

The live shots from Fox news show the freeways moving at about 2 mph outbound. At this rate, the folks could get to Baton Rouge about the time the storm gets to Nashville.

[gov_bean_ counter]

bimp

[oldleft]

I'll get a mod to take it off. Seemed like a good idea at the time.

[Knitting A Conundrum]

Track reminds me of Hurricane Betsy. Hit New Orleans night of Sept 9, 1965. It was the first day of school, too.

[Torie]

It kicks in in one hour. Blanco just said so.

[rwfromkansas]

This thing is getting big!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-ir4-loop.html

After having small storms for a couple years, having a big cane here is going to be something we are not used to probably. Even if it is 30-40 miles east of New Orleans or so, great damage will still be done.

[NautiNurse]

The sustained flooding is going to be the worst problem if the worst case occurs in New Orleans. Inside "the bowl" the water could sit there for 10 weeks. The contamination from the chemical and petroleum plants would be horrific.

Has anyone mentioned the nutria?