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Posted on 08/26/2005 10:25:04 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.
The following links are self-updating.
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Didnt they put up a bunch of people in the dome one time during a cane? If I remember right everyone was very upset.
recon due into the storm again around 11AM--don't know whether data will be available in time for the 11AM advisory. They were a little out of sync last night, with stunning pressure difference between advisory estimate and recon data following shortly thereafter. (963 vs 950 mb)
I'll have to admit to a slightly sick pleasure in watching these storms. Maybe it's a simple sense of awe, but deep down there's that weird desire for destruction.
"Has anyone heard anything about the Mobile/Foley Alabama area yet? I am trying not to get to excited this time around. At first I thought that this area was going to miss the bullet, but since there will be a second landfall, things have changed."
I haven't, but maybe someone will chime in. It's good to not be an alarmist - you'll live longer! But it is smart to stay posted. Those things can take an unexpected turn at almost any time and you have to be ready.
Yes they did and they probably won't again unless it's an absolutely necessary last minute emergency. The folks that sheltered there stole everthing that wasn't tied or bolted down (and some things that were).
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YOI! That's quite a statement.
Latest satellite imagery shows a clear shift from SSW heading to NNW in last 3 frames.
Correction...from WSW to WNW...my bad.
at least you are honest about your affliction...
This is starting to sound more like an Irwin Allen Production.
Evac orders are starting to trickle in. N.O. contraflow "may" begin by 4:00PM.
Thanks! I've saved it and will read it later - after I go get some batteries for the flashlights and gas up the car. By the by, I took biochem, gen chem, and organic chem this summer (for my nursing degree). Sure could've used your help! LOL
Greetings from Panama City Beach!
In your opinion, could the hurricane possibly swing back in this direction? I sure don't wish this on ANY body - it's been pretty rough, though, over on this end of Florida.
Thanks, JJ!
RTH
"Didnt they put up a bunch of people in the dome one time during a cane? If I remember right everyone was very upset.
Yes they did and they probably won't again unless it's an absolutely necessary last minute emergency. The folks that sheltered there stole everthing that wasn't tied or bolted down (and some things that were)."
And, as far as I can remember, no one was arrested for theft - even though they were all on video carrying the stuff out.
Yes it is. Perhaps .............."A Voyage to the Bottom Of New Orleans"?
The cone of uncertainty spans from the western tip of Louisiana into the Florida Panhandle. All eyes in the Northern Gulf of Mexico should be watching the path of this storm very closely.
***
What is contraflow?
Strange, huh, considering I've often been in the path.
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