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Hurricane/TS Katrina Live Thread, Part II
NHC - NOAA ^ | 26 August 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 08/25/2005 11:51:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Katrina is emerging into the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico early this morning after making landfall in SE Florida, then tracking SW. Thus far, she is well ahead of schedule, leaving at least four fatalities in her wake, and well over 1 million without electricity.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida

Images:


Key West Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Excellent South FL radar loop

Tampa Bay Long Range Radar Loop

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; livehurricanekatrina; tropical; weather
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To: nwctwx

965mb is getting squeaky close to Cat 3 pressure. Yikes.


401 posted on 08/26/2005 2:16:06 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: shield
You and that little birdie...speaking of Bastardi...he predicted the last cane a NC hit...it hit Mexico...LOL

Ha! What a loon.
402 posted on 08/26/2005 2:16:32 PM PDT by Termite_Commander (Warning: Cynical Right-winger Ahead)
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To: Jrabbit

I will pray that you get it. We sure don't need it here in NC mtns. So I'm "pushing" Katrina WEST!


403 posted on 08/26/2005 2:17:11 PM PDT by ncpatriot
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To: Strategerist
and that Emily would hit Texas.

Originally he predicted a NC hit....LOL...you were right...he's not what he's made himself out to be...

404 posted on 08/26/2005 2:17:22 PM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
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To: ncpatriot

Thank you.....we really, really, really need rain!


405 posted on 08/26/2005 2:18:06 PM PDT by Jrabbit
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To: onyx

Tampa local news predicting a possible Cat 4 at landfall--and landfall around MS coast.


406 posted on 08/26/2005 2:22:02 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Aggie Mama


We REALLY need rain too.


407 posted on 08/26/2005 2:22:28 PM PDT by onyx (North is a direction. South is a way of life.)
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To: Jrabbit

Oh...good, we have a Texas poster pulling for that hurricane to come this way...

I just saw on Fox that it is going more west than was predicted, so I thought I would bump this thread...hoping to add some TExas pull!!! LOL

Jr---maybe if we both pull really hard...it will come all the way to Texas...ya think?


408 posted on 08/26/2005 2:23:07 PM PDT by Txsleuth
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To: NautiNurse
Good for us, bad for someone else now.

But I am guilt free in wishing it away from us...poor Florida, we've had our share, especially those folks in the Panhandle.

Remember in the movie Fiddler on the Roof. The men asked the Rabbi if there was a blessing for the Czar. The Rabbi replied, "Yes, God bless and keep the Czar far away from us."

Well that's how I feel about Katrina, LOL!

409 posted on 08/26/2005 2:25:03 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: NautiNurse
It does look like Pascagoula is the official guestimate as of 5 EDT.

Time to get ready folks.

410 posted on 08/26/2005 2:25:14 PM PDT by dogbyte12
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To: Txsleuth

I'm pulling as hard as I can! Of course, I don't live on the coast.....I'm in Kaufman Co.....I don't want any bad stuff from Katrina for my fellow Texans. A nice steady rain and cooler temps would be just perfect...ahhhhhhhhhh


411 posted on 08/26/2005 2:26:36 PM PDT by Jrabbit
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To: dogbyte12

Yup, right now nothing but a WAG.


412 posted on 08/26/2005 2:27:26 PM PDT by eastforker (Under Cover FReeper going dark(too much 24))
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To: NautiNurse; dawn53

OMGoodness. We were in Gulfport just 10 days ago and I now know the landscape, and it can't sustain a direct hit.

Your weather still beautiful? Ever learn the reason for diverting your flight last nite to Orlando? Has Dawn checked in today? (I guess I COULD check for myself...lol).


413 posted on 08/26/2005 2:27:28 PM PDT by onyx (North is a direction. South is a way of life.)
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To: Jrabbit

This is gonna be a killer cain, people are gonna die when she hits.


414 posted on 08/26/2005 2:28:43 PM PDT by eastforker (Under Cover FReeper going dark(too much 24))
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To: onyx

I'm here. Our weather's just been a little breezy. One brief rain shower.

NautiNurse drove over the Skyway...that must have been fun!

The Skyway is our version of the Dolly Parton bridge, LOL (I'm still laughing about that one from another hurricane thread.)


415 posted on 08/26/2005 2:29:15 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: dawn53


Oh here you are! I was just asking about you.

I totally agree with you: FL has had more than its share.


416 posted on 08/26/2005 2:29:20 PM PDT by onyx (North is a direction. South is a way of life.)
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To: onyx

Still don't know why I couldn't get into Tampa last night. At the parking garage, the attendant had just talked to someone else who had to fly into Orlando last night too. Weird.


417 posted on 08/26/2005 2:29:31 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

Truly weird. I was puzzled last night and remain puzzled.


418 posted on 08/26/2005 2:31:01 PM PDT by onyx (North is a direction. South is a way of life.)
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To: dawn53

Ha!--got caught in that one brief shower on I-275 near the Trop earlier. Egads! Traffic slowed to 30 mph. What a mess.


419 posted on 08/26/2005 2:31:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: eastforker

Well the death toll in Florida stands at 6 already.

They probably downplayed the storm a little, IMHO, and people were outside and trees feel on them. Plus the forecasting has been off, but you can't blame anybody for that (other than the fact that they still like to draw lines instead of just putting up a cone, I think lines on a projected path map gives people a false sense of security.)

We just got back from Neighborhood Crime Watch Patrol and noticed even with mildy breezy weather today there were branches down in a few yards. Doesn't take much wind to bring down a branch or a tree that is weakened.


420 posted on 08/26/2005 2:32:13 PM PDT by dawn53
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