Posted on 08/25/2005 11:51:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Katrina is emerging into the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico early this morning after making landfall in SE Florida, then tracking SW. Thus far, she is well ahead of schedule, leaving at least four fatalities in her wake, and well over 1 million without electricity.
The following links are self-updating.
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
Key West Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Tampa Bay Long Range Radar Loop
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
congrats enjoy the new grand child, I do enjoy mine every day
You need to change your tagline.
WOOOOOOO HOOOOOOOOO!!! Congratulations! Send hugs and kisses:)
Somebody showed me this link last night.
http://www.wxnation.com
Lots of links to live webcams. Just click on an area and all the local links for that area comes up.
Pretty cool link.
What a precious pic :)
ping
Oh, crap! If Katrina stays on track, it looks like Perdido Key and Pensacola are gonna get hit again!
Checking in from Homestead, FL. Had some pretty impressive winds and heavy rains. Right now, we are flooded. Three of 4 sides to my house are completely under water. Between the high water and trees down, nobody is going anywhere anytime soon.
Obviously we have electricity and phone in some areas here, however, strangly, we do not have water. Just barely a trickle coming out.
Prayers for the safey of everyone also impacted by Kitrana.
Thank you for checking in. Please continue to keep us posted as you are able.
Congratulations, She's beautiful!
Looks like a huge amount of flooding.
.
Who expected this, eh?
...Katrina getting stronger as it moves slowly westward away from South Florida...
at 11 am EDT...1500z...the Tropical Storm Warning for the Southeast Florida coast from Florida City northward has been discontinued.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for all of the Florida Keys and Florida Bay from Dry Tortugas northward... and along the Florida Gulf Coast from south of Florida City westward and northward to Longboat Key. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for portions of the Florida West Coast from north of Longboat Key to Anclote Key. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area... generally within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 11 am EDT...1500z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was located near latitude 25.1 north... longitude 82.2 west or about 45 miles northwest of Key West Florida and about 75 miles south-southwest of Naples Florida.
Katrina is moving toward the west near 7 mph...and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.
NOAA Doppler radar data and reports from an Air Force Reserve unit hurricane hunter aircraft indicate maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph...with higher gusts. Katrina is a category one hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...and Katrina is forecast to become a category two hurricane by Saturday.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles...from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles. During the past hour...a NOAA ship anchored in Key West Harbor reported sustained winds of 59 mph with a gust to 86 mph in heavy rain squalls.
The estimated minimum central pressure based on reports from a University of South Florida sea-Coos buoy is 981 mb...28.97 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels... can be expected along the West Coast of Florida in areas of onshore flow south of Venice... and in Florida Bay. Storm surge should continue to decrease this morning along the East Coast of Florida.
Katrina is expected to produce additional rainfall of 5 to 8 inches over the Florida Keys and 3 to 5 inches over northwestern Cuba. Isolated storm total amounts of 15 to 20 inches are possible over the Florida Keys.
Isolated tornadoes are possible today over extreme southern Florida and the Florida Keys.
Repeating the 11 am EDT position...25.1 N... 82.2 W. Movement toward...west near 7 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 80 mph. Minimum central pressure... 981 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 2 PM EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 PM EDT.
Forecaster Stewart
I guess life's not so bad
.
Crossing Florida as quickly as it did barely phased her and she should quickly intensify. The NHC this morning was indicating a Cat 1 or Cat 2 storm at landfall near Panama City. That's too far east and too weak, in my opinion.
Of course, they're paid professionals and I'm an unpaid amateur, but I don't think this story has a happy ending.
Glad to have you check in with a Broward Co. report. Katrina seems to have a few more tricks up her sleeve.
Pressure appears to be falling rapidly in Katrina at this time.
Just heard that. 11AM update indicated 981mb. Now appears to be 971mb. Uh oh...
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