Hurricane Emily (Live Thread, Part II)

NHC-NOAA ^ | 16 July 2005 | NHC

[NautiNurse]

Hurricanes Emily and Dennis are the strongest July storms in recorded history for the Atlantic hurricane basin...

Hurricane Emily resources--the links are self-updating for handy reference:

NHC Hurricane Public Advisory Updates Currently published every three hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, 5P, etc. ET.

NHC Hurricane Discussion Updates Published every 6 hours 5A, 11A, 5P, 11P ET

Storm Floater IR Loop Little boxes at top of image: lat/lon, and Trop Fcst Pts--click 'em.

Caribbean IR Loop

Caribbean Visible Loop (Only works during daylight hours)

Storm Floater Sat Both loop and latest image

Western Caribbean Bouy Data

Jamaica Weather Has a few still radar images

Grand Cayman Weather

Cozumel Weather

Cancun Weather

Cancun Radar Very Slow Load

Another Cancun Radar another Very Slow Load

Hurricane Track Forecast

Hurricane Model Projections

Emily Forecast Track Archive Loop Great for reviewing the NHC 3 day and 5 day historic track positions

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Some more resources:

Hurricane City

Global Satellite Imagery Amazing view of the world (Broadband)

Water Vapor SatelliteAnother colorful loop for broadband

Central Florida Hurricane Center offers a variety of info

Another colorful IR Satellite loop

The Saffir-Simpson Scale. Source: Hurricane Categories

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
1 (weak)	75 - 95 mph 65 - 82 kts 33 - 42 m/s	> 28.94 in. Hg > 980.0 mb > 97.7 kPa	4.0 - 5.0 ft. 1.2 - 1.5 m	minimal damage to vegetation
2 (moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts 43 - 49 m/s	28.50 - 28.93 in. Hg 965.1 - 979.7 mb 96.2 - 97.7 kPa	6.0 - 8.0 ft. 1.8 - 2.4 m	moderate damage to houses
3 (strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 113 kts 50 - 58 m/s	27.91 - 28.49 in. Hg 945.1 - 964.8 mb 96.2 - 97.7 kPa	9.0 - 12.0 ft. 2.7 - 3.7 m	extensive damage to small buildings
4 (very strong)	131 - 155 mph 114 - 135 kts 59 - 69 m/s	27.17 - 27.90 in. Hg 920.1 - 944.8 mb 91.7 - 94.2 kPa	13.0 - 18.0 ft. 3.9 - 5.5 m	extreme structural damage
5 (devastating)	> 155 mph > 135 kts > 70 m/s	< 27.17 in Hg < 920.1 mb < 91.7 kPa	> 18.0 ft > 5.5 m	catastrophic building failures possible

Hurricane Emily Live Thread, Part I

Some more resources:

Hurricane City

Global Satellite Imagery Amazing view of the world (Broadband)

Water Vapor SatelliteAnother colorful loop for broadband

Central Florida Hurricane Center offers a variety of info

Another colorful IR Satellite loop

[blam]

"How are the plans for your safehouse coming along?"

I've cooled my heels on that for a bit.

[Miztiki]

Thank you!

[blam]

"The utter exhaustion from getting everything ready, the fear, the noise, the wind, the trees falling on the house. And we got off with limited damage."

After a hurricane passes, people around here look like walking zombies...and, when they finally let go of the anxiety, they crash for a couple days. I've been down all week with conjuctivitis and bronchitis, bad stuff.

[Michael Goldsberry]

The last big direct hit we had here was Alicia.

On the other hand, we've had our share of flooding such as was caused by Allison a few years ago. That one ate my car.

[NautiNurse]

Are you feeling any better today?

[shield]

Boy I never want to go through a night like that again.

So have you moved?

[Michael Goldsberry]

The FOX News animation just showed it turning North into Texas.

(Crud.)

[Rushmore Rocks]

Ian, weird weather here in So. Dak., too.

It is now 109 degrees in Rapid City. At our house, elevation about 5000 ft., it is 103. I've lived here 30 years and have never seen it this hot in the higher Black Hills. Most people around here do not have air condioning, so this is quite a shock for us.

Still better than a hurricane. Having lived in coastal Louisiana, I know about those.

[NautiNurse]

Well, she's hit the forecast track point dead on. The next track point seems to have a more westerly direction to it than this one. WIll be interesting to see if Miss Emily maintains the strict WNW track.

[NautiNurse]

The FOX News animation just showed it turning North into Texas.

Based on what data?

[WestCoastGal]

"The FOX News animation just showed it turning North into Texas."

Report here said high over Texas will send Emily into Mexico.

[Nachoman]

Based on what data?

Based on the data that sensationalism boosts ratings.

[Michael Goldsberry]

I don't know. They just did a quick blurb with an animation in the background. The track was a slow right-hook, straight into Texas.

The news was "blah, blah, blah, Cat-5, blah, blah, blah..."

[shield]

A Belize kinda day...LOL

[nwctwx]

That is quite rare up in that region... Models have been showing an extreme heat ridge setting up over the central part of the U.S. in the coming week (similar to the 1995 wave that killed so many in Chicago). High heat in the mid-section seems to correlate rather well to an active hurricane season, as was also the case in 1995. Of course, the winter following was one for the record books for snow in the Northeast. I guess it will all be worth it if we get a repeat of that. ;-)

Hope you stay cool, no A/C here in the hills of CT either, but we really should have it. I have not seen it top 100 here once in the 8 summers I've been here though.

[Dog Gone]

I don't know where she's going, but if you haven't run the visual satellite loop lately, you're missing an impressive site.

REALLY good time to leave Cancun.

[twin2]

No, still live in the same neighborhood. But we did buy a house that already had rolladin shutters on every window. I swear this was one of the biggest selling points for Mr. Twin2. Now instead of hours putting up the shutters, I just push the button. This really has helped the stress level in hurricane preparation. We figured this feature would have cost over $25,000 to install.

[Ichneumon]

Like minds. I was just thinking "finally a storm that is not magnetically attracted to Fla."

Hey, that's what ya get for hanging your state out over the water like that...

[lainie]

Hi you guys.. I'm back after 3 unexpected days in our local hospital. My daughter had an appendectomy Thursday night. What an ordeal, but she's going to be fine. It's great to come back and see that Emily isn't threatening Mobile or Pensacola!

[steve86]

Now instead of hours putting up the shutters, I just push the button.

That is a great feature. But let's hope your power doesn't ever go off early and catch you by surprise, or you have alternative power backup.