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Hurricane Emily (Live Thread, Part II)
NHC-NOAA ^ | 16 July 2005 | NHC

Posted on 07/16/2005 1:33:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricanes Emily and Dennis are the strongest July storms in recorded history for the Atlantic hurricane basin...

Hurricane Emily resources--the links are self-updating for handy reference:

NHC Hurricane Public Advisory Updates Currently published every three hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, 5P, etc. ET.

NHC Hurricane Discussion Updates Published every 6 hours 5A, 11A, 5P, 11P ET

Storm Floater IR Loop Little boxes at top of image: lat/lon, and Trop Fcst Pts--click 'em.

Caribbean IR Loop

Caribbean Visible Loop (Only works during daylight hours)

Storm Floater Sat Both loop and latest image

Western Caribbean Bouy Data

Jamaica Weather Has a few still radar images

Grand Cayman Weather

Cozumel Weather

Cancun Weather

Cancun Radar Very Slow Load

Another Cancun Radar another Very Slow Load

Hurricane Track Forecast

Hurricane Model Projections

Emily Forecast Track Archive Loop Great for reviewing the NHC 3 day and 5 day historic track positions



Some more resources:

Hurricane City

Global Satellite Imagery Amazing view of the world (Broadband)

Water Vapor SatelliteAnother colorful loop for broadband

Central Florida Hurricane Center offers a variety of info

Another colorful IR Satellite loop


The Saffir-Simpson Scale. Source: Hurricane Categories
Category Wind Speed Barometric
Pressure
Storm Surge Damage Potential
1
(weak)
75 - 95 mph
65 - 82 kts
33 - 42 m/s
> 28.94 in. Hg
> 980.0 mb
> 97.7 kPa
4.0 - 5.0 ft.
1.2 - 1.5 m
minimal damage to vegetation
2
(moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
43 - 49 m/s
28.50 - 28.93 in. Hg
965.1 - 979.7 mb
96.2 - 97.7 kPa
6.0 - 8.0 ft.
1.8 - 2.4 m
moderate damage to houses
3
(strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 113 kts
50 - 58 m/s
27.91 - 28.49 in. Hg
945.1 - 964.8 mb
96.2 - 97.7 kPa
9.0 - 12.0 ft.
2.7 - 3.7 m
extensive damage to small buildings
4
(very strong)
131 - 155 mph
114 - 135 kts
59 - 69 m/s
27.17 - 27.90 in. Hg
920.1 - 944.8 mb
91.7 - 94.2 kPa
13.0 - 18.0 ft.
3.9 - 5.5 m
extreme structural damage
5
(devastating)
> 155 mph
> 135 kts
> 70 m/s
< 27.17 in Hg
< 920.1 mb
< 91.7 kPa
> 18.0 ft
> 5.5 m
catastrophic building failures possible


Hurricane Emily Live Thread, Part I


TOPICS: Mexico; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: emily; hurricane; hurricaneemily; tropical; weather
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To: twin2

Like minds. I was just thinking "finally a storm that is not magnetically attracted to Fla."


61 posted on 07/16/2005 3:01:06 PM PDT by rodguy911 (Time to get rid of the UN and the ACLU and all Mosques in the US,UK.)
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To: rwfromkansas

Yeah, she would have to turn west now and move west from here on out. The GFS is terrible, I'm not sure why they even list it as a hurricane model.


62 posted on 07/16/2005 3:02:36 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: SouthTexas

The format of the navy forecast track is the one I like best.


63 posted on 07/16/2005 3:04:40 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: nwctwx

Hmmmm!!!! ConnMan does that happen to be you?


64 posted on 07/16/2005 3:05:15 PM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
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To: rodguy911

It's so strange to watch this storm as an unaffected observer.


65 posted on 07/16/2005 3:05:28 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: shield

Perhaps. ;-)


66 posted on 07/16/2005 3:06:22 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: shield; rwfromkansas; NautiNurse; Dog Gone; SouthTexas
Click Thumbnail for Full Size

16 July: 21:55z

67 posted on 07/16/2005 3:07:03 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: NautiNurse

These are what I use! They work great, but may be difficult for one person. I recommend drilling a hole in them and screw them onto the plywood. That makes them virtually foolproof. It also enables me to board up my house in less than 15 minutes. It would be quicker, but I have to screw on the plywood where the house isn't brick.


68 posted on 07/16/2005 3:08:15 PM PDT by realpatriot
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To: NautiNurse

You may never ever get another day off until Thanksgiving, good work.


69 posted on 07/16/2005 3:08:35 PM PDT by rodguy911 (Time to get rid of the UN and the ACLU and all Mosques in the US,UK.)
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To: NautiNurse
"They are forecasting Miss Emily to emerge from the Yucatan a Cat 3."

Yowser! I used to take my vacations down there and traipse around the archaeological sites.

Do you know that there more pyramids in Mexico than all the rest of the world combined? It's true. The next most numerous place is South America. The biggest and oldest pyramid in the world is down there, Peru, I believe.

I saw a weather person on Fox News say that the late season hurricanes usually wind up in the GOM. I thought, just great.

70 posted on 07/16/2005 3:10:24 PM PDT by blam
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To: Miztiki

These storms usually grow in size when hitting land, so I would expect her to growa bit when coming ashore in the Yucatan... this happens because the tight spin starts to spread out.

Over water, mature hurricanes often become larger over time, but this is not always the case.


71 posted on 07/16/2005 3:10:55 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: NautiNurse
Here is the key.
72 posted on 07/16/2005 3:10:58 PM PDT by SouthTexas
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To: blam

How are the plans for your safehouse coming along?


73 posted on 07/16/2005 3:11:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: nwctwx

Threat Matrix a dead give away. ;o)


74 posted on 07/16/2005 3:12:05 PM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
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To: shield

=p

It's good to be transparent on the internet, someone will find out if they really want to!


75 posted on 07/16/2005 3:13:41 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: NautiNurse
"It's so strange to watch this storm as an unaffected observer."

Tell me. I was thinking the same thing when Dog Gone mentioned that he better rush out and get something. The Pensacola area is still having gas shortages.

76 posted on 07/16/2005 3:13:44 PM PDT by blam
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To: blam; NautiNurse

I'm still waiting for my turn... it's been a long time. :)


77 posted on 07/16/2005 3:14:38 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: rodguy911
You may never ever get another day off until Thanksgiving

Montana is looking very attractive these days...

78 posted on 07/16/2005 3:14:54 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

No change in last three hours. Same wind, gusts, direction, speed and central pressure.


16/1800Z 16.4N/78.0W 155 185 WNW 18 937 Hrricn
16/2100Z 16.8N/78.8W 155 185 WNW 18 937 Hrricn


79 posted on 07/16/2005 3:15:42 PM PDT by leadpenny
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To: rodguy911

I am watching "Summer Hurricanes" on National Geographic Channel right now. It is going over last summer's hurricanes that hit Florida.

Just before it they ran a special "Hurricane" which followed hurricane Andrew. Funny, it has been 13 years and watching that show brought back every emotion from that night. The utter exhaustion from getting everything ready, the fear, the noise, the wind, the trees falling on the house. And we got off with limited damage.

Boy I never want to go through a night like that again.


80 posted on 07/16/2005 3:15:49 PM PDT by twin2
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