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Can China Defeat the United States in a Conventional War?
May 20, 2005 | comtedemaistre

Posted on 05/20/2005 8:09:59 AM PDT by ComtedeMaistre

Every day, the economic power and political influence of Red China continues to increase. I am, however, interested in knowing how powerful China is militarily. Is China strong enough to defeat the US in a conventional war? The latest I heard is that they have a total of 10 million trained to serve in their military, including reserves. I would especially like to hear from Freeper veterans as well as those serving in the military, on the potential threat that China poses to the United States.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs; Government; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: army; china; chinesemilitary; economy; geopolitics; missiles; technology; war
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To: Paul_Denton

I agree. I hope they get the shuttle fleet straightened out soon so we can get to the business of defending the nation.


201 posted on 05/20/2005 1:27:11 PM PDT by kerryusama04
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To: Paul_Denton

Paul
I guess what really gets me is there is a common percieved notion on just about all the threads on this site that china is just some backward 3rd world county we don't have to worry about...that all they produce is soft cuddly toys and their people live in bamboo huts pulling rickshaws.

The under estimation of china and their potential threat to America to me is astonishing.


202 posted on 05/20/2005 1:27:14 PM PDT by superiorslots (Free Traitors are communist China's modern day "Useful Idiots")
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To: kerryusama04

Space weapons. We need to beat them in that field. Not just defensive stuff but OFFENSIVE space weapons too.


203 posted on 05/20/2005 1:40:02 PM PDT by Paul_Denton (Get the U.N. out of the U.S. and U.S. out of the U.N.!)
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To: superiorslots

Yeah. China has become a hyrbid of communist and fascist. Communo-fascism as I have been calling it. The best qualities of both. An entirly different beast than communism alone and facism alone. Their biggest threat to us is in asymmetrical warfare as proven by the Pentagon Report last year. Japan has come under heavy assault by ChiCom hackers recently. I would not be surprised if they had ties to Al Queda for example. Their interest in Mexico, Panama and Venezuela is alarming. They are the sponsor (and be extension the puppet master) of our Democratic Party.


204 posted on 05/20/2005 1:53:15 PM PDT by Paul_Denton (Get the U.N. out of the U.S. and U.S. out of the U.N.!)
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To: The Toll

One can only respect the chineese - but I will never respect their political system. The government can do anything to and with you.

Maybe they change their government. Or maybe they invent the most brutal and agressive capitalism ever seen. Where humans don't count and money is everything. Where all organs of a republic are under control of a small and old commite. Liberlism without democracy and the concept of a republic.

But if they change - if they become a reliable and friendly international partner with a free population. Then we are all better of.

We need to change too. We have to overcome national interest and act multilateral again.

We are only strong together and not devided in a fragmented EU a divided USA (red and blue countries) and Japan as a small country living at the door steps of a giant.

Free the trade in the western world. Make companies pay for jobdrain into asia and southamerica.


205 posted on 05/20/2005 2:02:16 PM PDT by Double_in_a_bight (a big boy did it and ran away)
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To: The Toll

One can only respect the chineese - but I will never respect their political system. The government can do anything to and with you.

Maybe they change their government. Or maybe they invent the most brutal and agressive capitalism ever seen. Where humans don't count and money is everything. Where all organs of a republic are under control of a small and old commite. Liberlism without democracy and the concept of a republic.

But if they change - if they become a reliable and friendly international partner with a free population. Then we are all better of.

We need to change too. We have to overcome national interest and act multilateral again.

We are only strong together and not devided in a fragmented EU a divided USA (red and blue countries) and Japan as a small country living at the door steps of a giant.

Free the trade in the western world. Make companies pay for jobdrain into asia and southamerica.


206 posted on 05/20/2005 2:02:16 PM PDT by Double_in_a_bight (a big boy did it and ran away)
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To: Double_in_a_bight
We need to change too. We have to overcome national interest and act multilateral again. We are only strong together and not devided in a fragmented EU a divided USA (red and blue countries) and Japan as a small country living at the door steps of a giant.

Why be multilateral when the "partners" seeks to destroy you as leftism and western europe seeks? We cannot depend on France and Germany because they have already sided with China. The UN is corrupt and we already have to deal with the leftists here. Even if we could, we cannot count on others for our national defense and especially cannot sink to the level of asking permission to protect ourselves and our true allies (not the backstabbers). We should not need authorization from the UN and its security council members to defend against China.

While it would be nice to have more allies, right now we can only trust Japan, Israel (although we need to stop them from selling to China), and Poland and Britain to a certain extent (there are politicians in britain that would gladly choose China). Australia is a good ally but John Howard is too afraid of upsetting the red dragon. South Korea's Roh is so blatently pro-China that he wants increased MILITARY cooperation between the South Korean and PRC militaries!

207 posted on 05/20/2005 2:52:05 PM PDT by Paul_Denton (Get the U.N. out of the U.S. and U.S. out of the U.N.!)
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To: superiorslots

Well, you are now clear on the concept. Whatever happened earlier?


208 posted on 05/20/2005 3:15:41 PM PDT by 1rudeboy
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To: ComtedeMaistre
Sure the U.S. could defeat the Chinese in a conventional war but that is the problem. We really don't know what kind of technologies the Chinese have been able to defeat our systems, and they are stealing more technologies from this country everyday.

Also any war with China will be a real bloody affair on both sides. The U.S. has lost a little more than 1800 troops in Iraq and the Liberals are screaming that the war is a failure already. If we go to war with China we will most likely lose that many people on the first day.

Then You have to look at the numbers of forces we have on hand in the U.S. military among all of the services. I for one don't think we have enough attack aircraft at least not in the Air Force. Our forces are spread way to thin right now in Bosnia, Iraq, Afghanistan, South Korea, etc.
Where will we get the troops. They won't volunteer, Hell they are not Volunteering much now to serve in Iraq. We will have to start a military draft.

the only area we could probably take it to the Chinese is through Unrestricted Submarine warfare. I don't know how much China may be dependent on the importation of war material by sea but she would be very vulnerable in that area.

As far as military equipment I'm sure China would probably by her military gear from present suppliers, Russia and other Communist states.

We Can win that war but it won't be a cake walk.
209 posted on 05/20/2005 3:19:16 PM PDT by puppypusher
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To: brazzaville


The Korean War

According to official US Pntaon historical reporting, most of the 1 million Chinese casualties in Korea died from freezing in the extreme winter COLD than actual combat


210 posted on 05/21/2005 12:30:52 AM PDT by Wudan Master
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To: Wombat101




you said no non-western power has won a war against western powers for ver 3000 years

I can straitaway give you 2 examples, the first is the MONGOL HORDES of Jenghis Khan sweeping and conquering Europe in the 1200 era. How about the CRUSADES where SALADIN whipped the Europeans

And Vietnam.......

Yes, Korea was a stalemate


211 posted on 05/21/2005 12:40:04 AM PDT by Wudan Master
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To: I got the rope


what you said in your #173 post reminds me of the Secy Of Defense Robert McNamara famous 1965, "our boys will be home from Vietnam by Christmas 1965..." "......after all the Viet-Cong are just a bunch of inferior 3rd world trash,....should be a piece a cake..."


212 posted on 05/21/2005 12:48:18 AM PDT by Wudan Master
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To: TheForceOfOne

Hmmmm at night, with some tin foil wrapped around the various parts, a propane heater to generate a infrared profile, could that junk spoof a million dollar missile? Just wondering.


213 posted on 05/21/2005 12:52:26 AM PDT by investigateworld ( God bless Poland for giving the world JP II & a Protestant bump for his Sainthood!)
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To: Wudan Master

yeah let's see how long it takes to chase these comparably microscopic amount of people on flip flops carrieng a towel full of semtex and rusty nails into the city of baghdad...

there's no space age weapon to defeat a bunch of human beeings in lemming mode. (Non without mayor issues concerning the planet you life on that is)



214 posted on 05/21/2005 1:22:03 AM PDT by Double_in_a_bight (a big boy did it and ran away)
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To: Wudan Master

Okay, let's define "defeat" since there seems to be a bit of confusion.

In the history of the world, conflicts between Western Civilization and non-Western civilization always end badly for the natives. Yes, there are certain instances where an Atilla, Genghis Khan, Saladin or an Admiral Togo manage to pull off a signifigant victory and momentarily change the course of history against a Western power. However, these victories are never truly followed up and exploited and the West always rallies and recovers.

So, while Genghis and his cronies did in fact sweep through Russia and Eastern Europe, once the big man died, the Mongols retreated back into Asia. The greatest victories of the Mongol hordes were, in the end, againt other Asians (Chinese and Indians). While Admiral Togo destroyed the Russian Navy at Tsushima Strait, Japan never invaded and conquered Russia. Crazy Horse massacred Custer and his men, but the Sioux Nation did not survive. Moghul India never invaded Portugal or England, but was iteself invaded, colonized, exploited and to this day still bears the mark of Western culture in everything from language to dress to government to media.

Yes, non-Western powers often have an impact, but that impact is very often fleeting.

The reasons why have nothing to do with relative military power, at least at the onset of hostilities, but are related directly to certain cultural peculiarities. If you need more information on this subject, please read Victor Davis Hanson's "Carnage and Culture" and "Infantry Combat in Ancient Greece". John Keegan has also written extensively on this subject, especially on the tribal and ritualistic nature of on-Western warfare. I recommend his "History of Warfare" highly, if you're interested.

Basically, it comes down to the fact that Non-Western peoples have no "staying power" when it comes to extended warfare. This is not a knock on the qualities of the individual warrior, bt rather a recognition that without the support system of Western Civilization (free expression, respect for personal property, secular rationalism, unfettered scientific inquiry, rampant capitalism, etc), their impact tends to be vastly reduced.

The best example I can think of in the 20th century would be Imperial Japan. They won major victories, but could not stay in for the long haul. Japan was only a western-style power on the surface, and it's traditions, customs, and even religious beliefs , kept her from becoming a true first-rate power. It was only after Japan had been conquered and occupied, with a western-style constitution rammed down it's throat, that Japan came to be what it had dreamed of for the previous 70 years; a western economic and military power. I have no doubt that Japan in the 21st century, with 60 years of true democratic and capitalist society behind it, would be a much more difficult foe than it was in 1941.



215 posted on 05/21/2005 5:50:52 AM PDT by Wombat101 (Sanitized for YOUR protection....)
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To: Wudan Master

Sorry, I forgot to respond to the example of Saladin. A great warrior, but ask yourself this: how was it that Europeans from several different countries (England, Spain, FRance, Germany, Italy, etc) managed to transport, supply and field a devestating army in the Middle East, but Saladin could not do the reverse?

Basically because Saladin was leading a bunch of tribal warriors who, indiviually, were the equal of any Christian crusader, and who had a religious fervor every bit as great as their opponents. What Saladin lacked to take the war to his enemies where THEY lived was a system that allowed for the accumulation of capital and free scientific expression, and the merging of the two in order to create a truly destructive war machine.

Although Saladin was a brilliant leader and tactician, what finally killed off the Crusades were dissention in the ranks back in Europe (The Church versus the Nation State), and the gradual discovery of an alternate route to Asia via the oceans. After all, the Crusades were every bit about commercialism as they were religion.

And don't forget, the Second Crusade fell upon Christian Constantinople, not the Muslims (a predisposition in the Germans I'm afraid). We're not exactly talking about Europe displaying a united front against the Muslim onslaught.

When Europeans did get their act together, however, they swept the Muslims from Spain, France, Sicily, Greece and the Balkans, never to return. Yet Europeans would still be in the Middle East, the former Persia, the Arabian Penninsula, and other Muslim lands from the 1300's tot he present day. Excluding two seiges of Vienna, there is no similar Muslim resurgance that I'm aware of.


216 posted on 05/21/2005 6:02:44 AM PDT by Wombat101 (Sanitized for YOUR protection....)
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To: ComtedeMaistre

Of course they can. Chinese are 10 foot tall and shoot lasers out of their eyes.


217 posted on 05/21/2005 6:04:02 AM PDT by Lazamataz (Not Elected Pope Since 4/19/2005.)
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To: Pondman88
Why would we want to fight them?

Cuz they piss us off.

218 posted on 05/21/2005 6:04:57 AM PDT by Lazamataz (Not Elected Pope Since 4/19/2005.)
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To: blueblazes
Of course China could defeat us in a conventional war. Let's not be so patriotic that we don't consider reality. How large is China's population and how much of that are they willing to use for cannon fodder?

Don't forget how they can shoot lasers out of their eyes.

219 posted on 05/21/2005 6:08:18 AM PDT by Lazamataz (Not Elected Pope Since 4/19/2005.)
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To: need_a_screen_name
I have often wondered what the real motives were behind Bush's turning a blind eye towards illegal immigration, and why he and others are for some sort of amnesty plan. Could it be that, sometime down the road, they think that we will need all the extra bodies to build a military large enough to engage China in a conventional war, if need be?

"Private Hernandez, you were so good at hopping a border fence that I *know* you can hop that retaining wall and fight. Now, MOVE, SOLDIER!"

220 posted on 05/21/2005 6:13:43 AM PDT by Lazamataz (Not Elected Pope Since 4/19/2005.)
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