Threat Matrix: Daily Terror Threat - Thread Twenty-One

[JustPiper]

A Rita BTTT! Only wish Steve had his own blog!

[Cindy]

Good night Knak.
Sleep well.
Prayers ongoing.

[Cindy]

Good.
You're welcome.

[JustPiper]

GEOSTRATEGY-DIRECT INTELLIGENCE BRIEF
Bin Laden handing baton to mystery lieutenants?
Analysts believe he lacked means to carry out election-eve attack
http://www.wnd.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=41322

[ExSoldier]

What's the heaviest day in the US for malls? The day after Thanksgiving...

Uuunnnnh YUP. But you'd better be up to the task because I can't think of a more nightmarish scenario than to have to open fire in that sort of crowd! Always carry a spare load? Lots of folks despise the prefrangibles but in this situation, it'd be best to avoid bounce shots on missed targets. Better load up on either Glaser or MagSafe to prevent Thru-n-Thru penetrations and ricochets. Carry Federal Hydra-Shoks (185gr) in the backup....just a suggestion.....

[JustPiper]

U.S. Unsure if Election Terror Plot Foiled
http://asia.news.yahoo.com/041104/ap/d865a73g0.html

Atomic Power Station Halted in Russia, No Radiation
http://cnn.netscape.cnn.com/ns/news/story.jsp?id=2004110515580002862477&dt=20041105155800&w=RTR&coview=

[Godzilla]

Well it sounds like SlowBoat407 (and others) basically figured it out.
Septar - Shell Oil facilities
Tip of the EarthX passed And She bled = TEXAS
lawn of golden jewels = water/ocean
Necturly passed she lips = natural gas line/ships

Fullwave - Need to make sure you are in this loop. The discussion focuses upon post #785 from TT on terrorist chatter. There are a few other things I'm looking at and pulling together.

Others, I'd recommend adding fullwave to the TO:, he is close to the source of post #785

[JustPiper]

My source has responded to the OBL tape
The report will be available on the IntelCenter site
(http://www.intelcenter.com) as soon as it's completed.

IntelCenter
Intelligence Note

Threat of Attack Following OBL Video

5 Nov. 2004
POC: info@intelcenter.com
(http://www.intelcenter.com)

We will be releasing an in-depth analysis of the 29 Oct. video address by Osama bin Laden in the next 12 hours. However, one initial finding warrants immediate release.

Since January 2002, there have been only three direct addresses in audio or video form by Osama bin Laden to the American people. All three of these addresses occurred in Oct. One in 2002, 2003 and now 2004. In both 2002 and 2003, these addresses were followed by signature al-Qaeda attacks within 1-53 days.

With the added effort al-Qaeda exerted to make the 29 Oct. OBL address appear in video, something not done since 27 Dec. 2001, and with English subtitles, there is added concern about its significance. This is compounded when viewed in light of the English spoken address to Americans by Azzam al-Amriki the week before.

Based on this pattern, the variations in the OBL and Azzam al-Amriki addresses and what is known about al-Qaeda's messaging strategies, we believe there is a higher than normal likelihood that al-Qaeda will attempt to execute an attack within CONUS or against US interests abroad in countries other than Iraq and Afghanistan in the next 60
days. There is also a possibility that these attacks will be aimed at American allies, however, the additional emphasis placed on addressing the American people, leads us to believe the greatest risk is to American interests.


ADDRESSEES OF OBL'S AUDIO/VIDEO STATEMENTS
The below bullet list covers audio/video statements made by Osama bin Laden between Jan. 2002 and 1 Nov. 2004. It shows who each address by Osama bin Laden was directed to. Frequently this is pointed out by Osama bin Laden in the first few lines of each statement. There were other written statements issued during this period that are not
reflected here.

- - 29 Oct. 2004 - Americans
- - 6 May 2004 - Ummah and Muslim Brothers
- - 15 Apr. 2004 - Europeans
- - 4 Jan. 2004 - Ummah and Muslim Brothers
- - 18 Oct. 2003 - Iraqi People and Americans
- - April 2003 - Muslim Brothers
- - Feb. 2003 - Palestinians and Muslim Brothers
- - 11 Feb. 2003 - Muslim Brothers in Iraq
- - 12 Nov. 2002 - US Allies
- - 6 Oct. 2002 - Americans


ATTACKS FOLLOWING OBL ADDRESSES TO AMERICANS

- - Following 18 Oct. 2003 Address to Americans:

- - 8 Nov. 2003 - Vehicular Bombing of the al-Muhaya Housing Compound - Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
- - 15 Nov. 2003 - Vehicular Bombings of Synagogues - Istanbul, Turkey
- - 20 Nov. 2003 - Vehicular Bombings of HSBC Bank HQ & UK Consulate -Istanbul Turkey

- - Following 6 Oct. 2002 Address to Americans:

- - 6 Oct. 2002 - Vehicular Bombing of Limburg Oil Tanker - off Coast of Yemen
- - 8 Oct. 2002 - Shooting Targeting US Marines - Failaka, Kuwait
- - 28 Nov. 2002 - SAM Strike & Vehicular Bombing in Mombasa, Kenya
______________________
Ben Venzke - IntelCenter
Voice (703) 370-2962
Fax (703) 370-1571
Primary Email - bvenzke@intelcenter.com
LEO - bvenzke@leo.gov
AKO - ben.venzke@us.army.mil
Web - http://www.intelcenter.com
PGP Public Key - available upon request

PO Box 22572
Alexandria, VA 22304-9257
USA

My personal thanks to Nena , my friend at Pure Pursuit and
http://www.intelcenter.com, the most reliable source for any intel

[MamaDearest]

Canada offers refuge to distraught Americans

US military gear on sale at dangerous Baghdad bazaar

Zarqawi appeals for release of Margaret Hassan

[Cindy]

ON THE NET...

http://news.google.com/news?q=%22Abu+Hafs%22&hl=en&lr=&sa=N&tab=nn&oi=newsr
http://www.google.com/search?q=%22Abu+Hafs+al+Masri%22&btnG=Search&hl=en&lr=
http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=%22Abu+Hafs%22&btnG=Google+Search
http://news.google.com/news?q=%22Abu+Hafs+al+Masri%22&hl=en&lr=&sa=N&tab=nn&oi=newsr

http://www.hostinganime.com/abu-hafs/
http://www.hostinganime.com/abu-hafs/1.zip
http://www.hostinganime.com/abu-hafs/mad.jpg

http://internet-haganah.co.il/harchives/002482.html

http://www.jihadwatch.org/archives/001259.php

http://www.islam-online.net/English/News/2001-09/25/article1.shtml

[Cindy]

That's interesting JP.
Thank you.

[Godzilla]

I'll do it tomorrow Godzilla. Will freepmail you then.

Please forgive me Oorang, reviewing your posts has driven my mind into hyper drive and I'll lay out the intial summary. Please everyone fill in the blanks and if I don't attribute something to someone, please forgive. I gotta go with the flow and haven't taken the time to properly attribute. However, the thread exists so the history is there.

From the www.TrackingTerrorism.com, British Chic posted the following excerpt of Jihadi traffic. I'll go and add comments after each pertinent paragraph.

Salaam brothers and sisters;After veiwing the video all i can do is smile;;Very good!!! Allah Akbar Allah Akbar
When is the edited video going to be passed to others?I have the upload site ready to share with others.
Pigs will not close this uplink!!!

This discussion appears to reference another video since the full Oct 29 OBL has been posted on the web for several days now. While Al-Jazeera has it on hold, AQ can by pass if need be to notify its cells via internet.

Sajid i pray you passed the word to those in Muslim lands not to visit the cyber cafes`!Most important that they use the SH to post for a while;the dragon blew fire,shakes the sand,nigh knew she cried and brother laughed.

First half of paragraph is a notice to observe operational security and not discuss the operation in the open. It was suggested by one of the TM'ers that SH stands for Secure Host. It is a likely interpretation from the context. The part begining with "the dragon blew fire, shakes the sand" is still speculative and I'll throw my two-bits and suggest that if revealed, the US could counter strike desert targets with bombs.

Septar necturly passed she lips on a lawn of golden jewels;Tip of the EarthX passes And She bled'

The first sentence is strangely poetic, but I think a translitration would suggest the following :

Over her lips passes Septar as a nectur

What is Septar, one TM'er found that Septar could represent Shell Exploration and Production, Technology and Research, a division of Shell Oil in the Middle East. Thus there is a possible link to the petrochemical industry and to oil. Thus the "oil" is the nectur. Her lips would be a reference to the US.
The last part of the first sentence "on a lawn of golden jewels" reminds me of what a large petrochemical facility looks like at night!

However, it appears that the terrorist couldn't stop there at leaving clues for his cohort. "Tip of the EarthX passes And She bled", the capitolized letters spell out TEXAS

Finally, lets review a couple of key points from OBL's video.
1. He wants to strike at a RED state. 2. He wants to strike at the US economy

Texas is the home state of the President. It is a RED state. It is home to a substantial petrochemical industry. Multiple strikes that damage/destroy a substantial portion of those facilities would send gas prices rocketing. Recently, the hurricanes damaged some of our Gulf petroleum facilities - causing a shortage that worsened a global shortage.

My brain is emptied out and I look forward to how you connect the dots since you folks did the work.

[Cindy]

http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&lr=&q=%22Omokunde%22&btnG=Search

http://www.google.com/search?q=%22Supreme+Solar+Allah%22&hl=en&lr=&filter=0
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http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1272539/posts/

[Cindy]

Thank you Godzilla.
I appreciate you putting that summary together.

[Godzilla]

Thank you Godzilla. I appreciate you putting that summary together.

They did the work. But I couldn't let it go cold until morning and this give something to build upon. I shake my head that I was laughing with Vel about this same post earlier today. Fortunately someone had a buckhead moment. See all tomorrow.

[MonaMars]

"Oorang, starting from your search I found that Septar is not just a U.S. Navy boat, but a specific type -- a SEaborne Practice TARget, operated out of Norfolk.

Ever seen the water at sunrise or sunset? it looks like a lawn of golden jewels. Lips? Mouth, as in the mouth of a body of water, like a bay or river."

I usually just lurk here, but I have to say that's a v. clever interpretation. You should pass it on to someone official, particularly since there have been those weird lighthouse arrests in the past which might be related.

[MonaMars]

"Oorang, if the capitalization is accurate, take a look at this:

Tip of the EarthX passes And She bled

The caps spell out TEXAS"

Okay. Now I really think you should get in touch with someone. lol.

[MonaMars]

"You should pass it on to someone official,"

Oops. I see you already did. Sorry, I got way behind in my thread reading.

[Chani]

Also, grizzfan pointed out a bit earlier there is quite a large al-q cell in Tuscon, Az. Just a hop over to Texas.


Wellll depending on how old and in shape one is, I'd add a skip and a jump to that hop. ;)

[Cindy]

http://www.trackingterrorism.com/Default.asp?dismode=article&artid=699

November 5, 2004

Insurgents Continue to Discuss new Bin Laden Video    
Source: Islamic Website | 7:15:15 AM EST


Talk is still just beginning to circulate Jihadi message boards regarding the new Osama Bin Laden video.  As we have said earlier, the video does appear to be online somewhere for a few Jihadi's to view.  They are just beginning to comment on the release of this video.

Message:
Salaam brothers and sisters;After veiwing the video all i can do is smile;;Very good!!! Allah Akbar Allah Akbar
 
When is the edited video going to be passed to others?I have the upload site ready to share with others.
Pigs will not close this uplink!!!
 
Sajid i pray you passed the word to those in Muslim lands not to visit the cyber cafes`!Most important that they use the SH to post for a while;the dragon blew fire,shakes the sand,nigh knew she cried and brother laughed.
 
Septar necturly passed she lips on a lawn of golden jewels;Tip of the EarthX passes And She bled'


<< Back

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Post no. 1232:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1268023/posts?page=1232#1232

To: penguino; Velveeta; Oorang; SlowBoat407; toomanygrasshoppers; The_Reader_David; fullwave; nwctwx; ..
I'll do it tomorrow Godzilla. Will freepmail you then.

Please forgive me Oorang, reviewing your posts has driven my mind into hyper drive and I'll lay out the intial summary. Please everyone fill in the blanks and if I don't attribute something to someone, please forgive. I gotta go with the flow and haven't taken the time to properly attribute. However, the thread exists so the history is there.

From the www.TrackingTerrorism.com, British Chic posted the following excerpt of Jihadi traffic. I'll go and add comments after each pertinent paragraph.

Salaam brothers and sisters;After veiwing the video all i can do is smile;;Very good!!! Allah Akbar Allah Akbar
When is the edited video going to be passed to others?I have the upload site ready to share with others.
Pigs will not close this uplink!!!

This discussion appears to reference another video since the full Oct 29 OBL has been posted on the web for several days now. While Al-Jazeera has it on hold, AQ can by pass if need be to notify its cells via internet.

Sajid i pray you passed the word to those in Muslim lands not to visit the cyber cafes`!Most important that they use the SH to post for a while;the dragon blew fire,shakes the sand,nigh knew she cried and brother laughed.

First half of paragraph is a notice to observe operational security and not discuss the operation in the open. It was suggested by one of the TM'ers that SH stands for Secure Host. It is a likely interpretation from the context. The part begining with "the dragon blew fire, shakes the sand" is still speculative and I'll throw my two-bits and suggest that if revealed, the US could counter strike desert targets with bombs.

Septar necturly passed she lips on a lawn of golden jewels;Tip of the EarthX passes And She bled'

The first sentence is strangely poetic, but I think a translitration would suggest the following :

Over her lips passes Septar as a nectur

What is Septar, one TM'er found that Septar could represent Shell Exploration and Production, Technology and Research, a division of Shell Oil in the Middle East. Thus there is a possible link to the petrochemical industry and to oil. Thus the "oil" is the nectur. Her lips would be a reference to the US.
The last part of the first sentence "on a lawn of golden jewels" reminds me of what a large petrochemical facility looks like at night!

However, it appears that the terrorist couldn't stop there at leaving clues for his cohort. "Tip of the EarthX passes And She bled", the capitolized letters spell out TEXAS

Finally, lets review a couple of key points from OBL's video.
1. He wants to strike at a RED state. 2. He wants to strike at the US economy

Texas is the home state of the President. It is a RED state. It is home to a substantial petrochemical industry. Multiple strikes that damage/destroy a substantial portion of those facilities would send gas prices rocketing. Recently, the hurricanes damaged some of our Gulf petroleum facilities - causing a shortage that worsened a global shortage.

My brain is emptied out and I look forward to how you connect the dots since you folks did the work.
1,232 posted on 11/05/2004 11:38:31 PM PST by Godzilla (The grass is always greener over the septic tank.)
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Google search term: "Sajid"
http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=%22Sajid%22&btnG=Google+Search

Google search term: "cyber cafes"
http://www.google.com/search?q=%22cyber+cafes%22&btnG=Search&hl=en&lr=

Google search term: "Septar"
http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&lr=&q=%22Septar%22&btnG=Search

Google search term: uplink down
http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&lr=&q=%22uplink+down%22&btnG=Search