Posted on 10/31/2004 1:41:04 PM PST by nj26
President George W. Bush holds a slight edge over Senator John Kerry in the final days of Campaign 2004. The Pew Research Center's final pre-election poll of 1,925 likely voters, conducted Oct. 27-30, finds Bush with a three-point edge (48% to 45% for Kerry); Ralph Nader draws 1%, and 6% are undecided.
The poll finds indications that turnout will be significantly higher than in the two previous presidential elections, especially among younger people. Yet Bush gets the boost Republican candidates typically receive when the sample is narrowed from the base of 2,408 registered voters to those most likely to vote. (Among all registered voters, Kerry and Bush are in a virtual tie: 46% Kerry, 45% Bush).
This is an improvement for Bush over their last poll which showed a 45/45 tie. And it was conducted from 27-30 October, which confirms Bush has some momentum.
This must be the poll with a 3 point lead mentioned in an earlier post.
It includes Friday and Sat also. Seems that should be worth +1 or 2 more points for the Pres.
This looks like an okay showing for Bush. I think Pew leans a little to the Rat side, so this is probably good news.
Last Pew poll was a dead on tie, so this shows Bush improvement . . . but it will temporarily lower the RCP average, as it bumps out a 5+ Bush poll from the average . . .
THE story that
ABC, AP, CBS, CNN, FOX, MSNBC, NBC, NY Times
DON'T WANT AMERICA TO KNOW!
BUT
ABC, AP, CBS, CNN, FOX, MSNBC, NBC, NY Times
made sure you knew about the "Bush" documents.
Q) Why did
ABC, AP, CBS, CNN, FOX, MSNBC, NBC, NY Times
NOT ask Kerry about why he wouldn't sign Form 180?
A) Because they are owned by Kerry campaign money!
Spread the word on the internet!
Post on internet boards AND e-mails!
John Kerry's Discharge
He won't sign Form 180
What is he hiding?
"There is overwhelming evidence that the Navy gave John Kerry either a dishonorable discharge
or an undesirable discharge which is the equivalent of a dishonorable discharge
without the felony conviction and that, as a result of such discharge,
he was stripped of all of his famous but questionable Navy awards and medals.
And the kicker? The evidence is on his website!"
http://worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=41200
Kerry's October Surprise (Missippi Press)
http://www.gulflive.com/opinion/mississippipress/index.ssf?/base/opinion/109904493874180.xml
THE Next Smoking Gun - the "proof"
http://www.combatvetsagainstkerry.com/proof.htm
Kerry's Military Discharge. What's Kerry Hiding?
http://www.humaneventsonline.com/blog-buzzcut.php?range=10/24/2004+-+10/30/2004
Kerry's Dishonorable Discharge
http://www.townhall.com/columnists/markalexander/ma20041023.shtml
Editorial Comments about Kerry's Discharge
http://www.combatvetsagainstkerry.com/dischargeeditorials.htm
Kerry Military Discharge Deception, look at the online documentation!
http://www.combatvetsagainstkerry.com/discharge2.htm
Mystery Surrounds Kerry's Navy Discharge
http://www.nysun.com/article/3107
The original article, posted 9/24/04
http://www.combatvetsagainstkerry.com/discharge.htm
The whole 42:09 Stolen Honor online FREE right now! E-mail it NOW!
Stolen Honor nails Kerry and the VVAW
and how they lied at Winter Soldier.
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Kerry and the DNC cannot stop
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Swift Vets and POW's
We Have Questions
Free Videos!
http://www.swiftvetsandpows.com/
Hanoi Approved of Role Played By Kerry and VVAW
http://www.nysun.com/article/3756
Timeline of John Kerry
http://www.archive-news.net/Kerry/JK_timeline.html
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http://ejsmithweb.com/fr/newsoldier/
The Swiftvets news conference on C-SPAN can be found here.
AND other valuable Video and Audio links.
http://www.peteandrews.net/media.htm
The Children of Viet Nam Veterans Video (Not an easy one to watch)
Please remember the 58,000 + Names on the Wall on Nov 2
Please watch this video
Thank You
http://kerrylied.com/otherdocs/flash.htm
Tick, Tick, Tick, Tick
from a 5 point lead to a tie back to a 3 point, I will take that especially from Pew.
Check out the last coll..
51-48 if you add the undecided vote.. Magic 51.
No. It will be either tonight or tomorrow.
It's time for the reluctant CYA polls showing 3-4 point W lead. Then, when it actually ends-up being 5-6 points they can say they were acceptably close.
Your right man.. its over.. im not even going to vote!
Washington won.. We might as all stay home..
;)
thank you!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Lost rather.
I'll tell you what, if Kerry wins, I'll give up on this country. I've got to believe that we are better than that.
it was reported by Joe Scarborough TONIGHT Gallup poll is coming out!!
Ping
I think it was Andrew Card that said earlier today that they felt the undecideds were breaking 60/40 Bush (of course, McAwful said on another show that it was about 65% sKerry).
I did hear a few weeks ago, and again this am that they are expecting a far larger turnout than normal and that all the poll models are for a much smaller number. So, if the votes are huge, all the poll #s can go out the window (don't ask me - I'm not a poller and don't know anything about polling models - I can guess, but that wouldn't be prudent.
But the Lakers were in the Finals this year, and when that happens the Republicans always win. I say the Cheesehead Gods are going to break the tie by punishing Kerry for calling it "Lambert Field" (not that the Green Bay Packers were the team that defeated the Redskins).
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