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Slight Bush Margin in Final Days of Campaign
Pew Institute ^ | 10/31/04 | Pew Institute

Posted on 10/31/2004 1:41:04 PM PST by nj26

President George W. Bush holds a slight edge over Senator John Kerry in the final days of Campaign 2004. The Pew Research Center's final pre-election poll of 1,925 likely voters, conducted Oct. 27-30, finds Bush with a three-point edge (48% to 45% for Kerry); Ralph Nader draws 1%, and 6% are undecided.

The poll finds indications that turnout will be significantly higher than in the two previous presidential elections, especially among younger people. Yet Bush gets the boost Republican candidates typically receive when the sample is narrowed from the base of 2,408 registered voters to those most likely to vote. (Among all registered voters, Kerry and Bush are in a virtual tie: 46% Kerry, 45% Bush).


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: gwb2004; kewl; napalminthemorning; pew; polls
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To: nj26
What do you think about the tradition that if the Redskins lose their game with Greenbay right before the presidential election, the incumbent (GW Bush) loses? If they win, the incumbent wins? This is supposed to go back 16 years. Also, Boston hasn't won in 80+ years. My husband says everything has to change sometime. NOW, I'm nervous. :-(
101 posted on 10/31/2004 7:40:56 PM PST by Humal
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To: tagawgrag
"remember the Red Sox curse!!!!! I think this is the years curses are broken!!!! :-)"

THIS is what I want to hear!! Curses broken! The thoughts of Kerry/Edwards in the driver's seat for 4 years scares me silly!!
102 posted on 10/31/2004 8:12:38 PM PST by Humal
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To: IndependantVoter

A poster analyzed the 2000 results and determined the real reason for the falloff was that Nader was polled at 3% but got only 1% ... the 2% went 2 to1 for Gore, boosting his margin a bit.

THERE IS NOT MUCH MORE WE CAN DO EXCEPT VOTE AND GET EVERYONE ELSE TO DO THE SAME.


103 posted on 10/31/2004 8:54:00 PM PST by WOSG (George W Bush / Dick Cheney - Right for our Times!)
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To: Non-Sequitur

Not true. In 1996, the Redskins lost to the Bills on Nov. 3, and Clinton was re-elected.


104 posted on 10/31/2004 9:28:57 PM PST by RockinRight (Bush's rallies look like World Series games. Kerry's rallies look like Little League games.)
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To: nj26

Here we go again…First, Drudge states that USA Today is reporting exit polls good for Kerry in FLA. Now, he just reported that CBS is reporting the exact opposite of USA TODAY regarding FLA. This is ridiculous!


105 posted on 10/31/2004 9:57:17 PM PST by eddiebear
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To: kesg

Pew usually includes too many Democrats, so this isn't bad at all. Still waiting for the 800 pound gorill poll (Gallup).


Wait for Tuesday's poll! =)


106 posted on 11/01/2004 12:36:09 AM PST by Just Lori (Wake up already!)
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To: RockinRight
Not true. In 1996, the Redskins lost to the Bills on Nov. 3, and Clinton was re-elected.

I wasn't totally accurate. Apparently the curse is if the Skins lose their home game immediately preceeding the election. I think the 1996 game was a road game.

107 posted on 11/01/2004 3:35:32 AM PST by Non-Sequitur (Jefferson Davis - the first 'selected, not elected' president.)
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To: nj26

This is pathetic...In a time of war almost half the country wants to elect a socialist???....


108 posted on 11/01/2004 5:54:18 AM PST by Stateline
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To: Humal

Not to worry. I heard Sean David Morton say that Green Bay carries George Bush's initials.


109 posted on 11/01/2004 5:59:15 AM PST by Conservativegreatgrandma
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To: Conservativegreatgrandma

"I heard Sean David Morton say that Green Bay carries George Bush's initials."

LOL! Thanks! I needed that. :-)


110 posted on 11/01/2004 12:16:25 PM PST by Humal
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