Slight Bush Margin in Final Days of Campaign

Pew Institute ^ | 10/31/04 | Pew Institute

[nj26]

President George W. Bush holds a slight edge over Senator John Kerry in the final days of Campaign 2004. The Pew Research Center's final pre-election poll of 1,925 likely voters, conducted Oct. 27-30, finds Bush with a three-point edge (48% to 45% for Kerry); Ralph Nader draws 1%, and 6% are undecided.

The poll finds indications that turnout will be significantly higher than in the two previous presidential elections, especially among younger people. Yet Bush gets the boost Republican candidates typically receive when the sample is narrowed from the base of 2,408 registered voters to those most likely to vote. (Among all registered voters, Kerry and Bush are in a virtual tie: 46% Kerry, 45% Bush).

[Humal]

What do you think about the tradition that if the Redskins lose their game with Greenbay right before the presidential election, the incumbent (GW Bush) loses? If they win, the incumbent wins? This is supposed to go back 16 years. Also, Boston hasn't won in 80+ years. My husband says everything has to change sometime. NOW, I'm nervous. :-(

[Humal]

"remember the Red Sox curse!!!!! I think this is the years curses are broken!!!! :-)"

THIS is what I want to hear!! Curses broken! The thoughts of Kerry/Edwards in the driver's seat for 4 years scares me silly!!

[WOSG]

A poster analyzed the 2000 results and determined the real reason for the falloff was that Nader was polled at 3% but got only 1% ... the 2% went 2 to1 for Gore, boosting his margin a bit.

THERE IS NOT MUCH MORE WE CAN DO EXCEPT VOTE AND GET EVERYONE ELSE TO DO THE SAME.

[RockinRight]

Not true. In 1996, the Redskins lost to the Bills on Nov. 3, and Clinton was re-elected.

[eddiebear]

Here we go again…First, Drudge states that USA Today is reporting exit polls good for Kerry in FLA. Now, he just reported that CBS is reporting the exact opposite of USA TODAY regarding FLA. This is ridiculous!

[Just Lori]

Pew usually includes too many Democrats, so this isn't bad at all. Still waiting for the 800 pound gorill poll (Gallup).


Wait for Tuesday's poll! =)

[Non-Sequitur]

Not true. In 1996, the Redskins lost to the Bills on Nov. 3, and Clinton was re-elected.

I wasn't totally accurate. Apparently the curse is if the Skins lose their home game immediately preceeding the election. I think the 1996 game was a road game.

[Stateline]

This is pathetic...In a time of war almost half the country wants to elect a socialist???....

[Conservativegreatgrandma]

Not to worry. I heard Sean David Morton say that Green Bay carries George Bush's initials.

[Humal]

"I heard Sean David Morton say that Green Bay carries George Bush's initials."

LOL! Thanks! I needed that. :-)